famartin Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 NAM is south a smidge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 It's very thread the needle, but still has some chance if the GFS is correct. Still would like to see the Euro come around. Go buy a papa johns pizza...this was never really a threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Go buy a papa johns pizza...this was never really a threat I'd go with Angelo's, but otherwise strongly agree... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 gfs coming in a little further north... this looks like a m/d line to the turnpike dusting event. south of the m/d line has a chance of a coating to an inch, but p type issues could be a concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 gfs coming in a little further north... this looks like a m/d line to the turnpike dusting event. south of the m/d line has a chance of a coating to an inch, but p type issues could be a concern granted this is a weather discussion board, but this pathetic storm is just pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 granted this is a weather discussion board, but this pathetic storm is just pathetic. lol +1...in this winter pathetic storms make the bucket list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Nothing to get excited about at this time. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf_24hr/prb_24hsnow_ge01_2012020400f048.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxphanatic Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 gfs coming in a little further north... this looks like a m/d line to the turnpike dusting event. south of the m/d line has a chance of a coating to an inch, but p type issues could be a concern lol "dusting event" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 gfs coming in a little further north... this looks like a m/d line to the turnpike virga event. south of the m/d line has a chance of a coating to an inch, but p type issues could be a concern FIFY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Models finally converging. Decent shot of measurable from ilg/phl south and west. Iffy beyond that. Have the virga effect that Tombo mentioned yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Nothing to get excited about at this time. http://www.hpc.ncep....2020400f048.gif I have a <5% chance of seeing one inch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I have a <5% chance of seeing one inch... A 5% chance of a half inch of snow is impressive this winter. I like our chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I'd go with Angelo's, but otherwise strongly agree... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z NAM keeps precip Wilmington-Egg Harbor south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z NAM keeps precip Wilmington-Egg Harbor south. I used to kid Jack that systems like this were Hammonton cut-off specials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Between limited precip and warm BL going to be lucky to see a few flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.facebook.com/WxRisk#!/photo.php?fbid=307854685928463&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.facebook....&type=1 Am I crazy or does his last call still show 1-3" for much of central/south Jersey all the way up to 195? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Am I crazy or does his last call still show 1-3" for much of central/south Jersey all the way up to 195? You are not crazy. I was shocked when i saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 is it not snowing in S central PA today....radar looks good from harrisburg down to york over to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Current Wxsim shows a light mix to Snow with 0.03" liquid equiv falling by late this evening Also shows a 1 to 2" event by rush hour on Thursday morning here in NW Chesco Currently Virga Temp 38.8 RH 67% DP 28.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 is it not snowing in S central PA today....radar looks good from harrisburg down to york over to the west. Pittsburgh and Johnstown are both reporting Light Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 is it not snowing in S central PA today....radar looks good from harrisburg down to york over to the west. Its snowing in Pittsburgh, Indiana, Johnstown. Doesn't seem to be making it east or north of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 is it not snowing in S central PA today....radar looks good from harrisburg down to york over to the west. Further west should do better. Models predict drying as it heads east. Also may start as rain east of mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Based on the obs and the radar returns from State College, my guess is there won't be a flake of snow (or drop of rain) north or northeast of Center City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I used to kid Jack that systems like this were Hammonton cut-off specials. sigh... Based on the obs and the radar returns from State College, my guess is there won't be a flake of snow (or drop of rain) north or northeast of Center City. This is what the latest HRRR is showing. I'm not sure about p-type, but it shows a brief period of precip making it as far north as Trenton...Not saying that's what's going to happen, just trying to find DT's rationale for the call he's making. My point and click has a chance of drizzle and we don't go below freezing, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 To the HRRR's credit (it's been good this year) radar might show that...but virga may be an issue. Dewp's are in the lower/mid 20's. FWIW, if DT put a decimal point in front of that 1-3 he'd be closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Flurries just started falling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I know I won't see a flake from this thing. But the weenie in me will still turn on the porch light and squint as I look out the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 lol i think someone should change the title of this thread from winter storm threat to virga alert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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