hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 DIdn't the GFS undergo some kind of update today? Not that I saw? I think this suite was the first to add in the OBS taken from the extra dropsondes from the recon flights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 I think DT needs to catch his breath, haha: via F-book Wxrisk.com HANS again weeneis forget that the GFS s and E bias which we saw ONLY 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 hrs ago is STILL in effect. Meteorologists do NOT. The s and e Bias does not stop simply because NOW suddenly the GFS has the solution so desired. If you ate the 0z GFS you STILL have to adjust it to the n and w ... which takes the 850 Low over or west of DCA PHL NYC and BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Ultimate fate of this storm....lol...eastbound and Newfoundland bound!! "D'er is no way...no way you could have come from my loin. Soon as I get home, the first thing imma gonna do is punch yo momma in the mouff" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 "D'er is no way...no way you could have come from my loin. Soon as I get home, the first thing imma gonna do is punch yo momma in the mouff" LOL...classic. Buford T. Justice says to bring the storm north!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 This is the first time all winter that I'm staying up just to see the ECMWF. Pretty sad it took so long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 This is the first time all winter that I'm staying up just to see the ECMWF. Pretty sad it took so long. Haha, welp text is just starting to roll in so i'll know pretty shortly what we're dealing with QPF wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Who wants to bet the Euro has a southeast scooter......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Who wants to bet the Euro has a southeast scooter......lol Shut up. Hate hate hate hate. I'm going to spit in your soda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Shut up. Hate hate hate hate. I'm going to spit in your soda. New run of the Chicken Capital WRF shows 3ft for everywhere but Shippensburg. Odd runs lately... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 New run of the Chicken Capital WRF shows 3ft for everywhere but Shippensburg. Odd runs lately... Ain't much to be said about that run that has not already been said about Afghanistan. It looks bombed out and depleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like its more amplified than the 12z but still slides to our SE. Boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like its more amplified than the 12z but still slides to our SE. Boo. Fine with me. We shall get there. More steps in right direction. I heard it backed off through out west more which is good. Let it slowly come together. We don't want models showing bombs 4 days out to only disappoint. Rather it be not much but slowly trend to a OMG like 1 day out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Nevermind. Joe B is calling for big east coast storm this weekend. We can just cancel this thing now. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 Looks like its more amplified than the 12z but still slides to our SE. Boo. Whyyy don't chu click your heels three times..... and go back to Africa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Whyyy don't chu click your heels three times..... and go back to Africa. Of course that is Beautiful talking. On the weekend he does stunts for Little Richard in gay movies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 15, 2012 Author Share Posted February 15, 2012 Consider me kinda glad that everything didn't suddenly jump on board ala the GFS 4-5 days away. However I would love to see the GFS evolution complete with that sidecar low as that would help anchor a decent precip shield for even our northern folks like potter. Most options are def on the table with this potential event, and shortwave issues will be abound for awhile..so expect a rollercoaster the rest of the week. I will say that if we can ultimately get this gulf wave to track inside (by inside i mean tracking a developed low thru GA into the eastern Carolinas) we have a good chance at a decent hit. That is an aspect that makes me a bit more confident in the potential. You take the Boxing day storm last winter for example which pretty much missed most of us in here... that was a storm that crossed the FL panhandle and turned outside just off the GA/SC coast before exploding and moving straight up off the coast. Simple matter of trajectory. You have a storm that cuts the corner and just plows inland from the AL/FL coast to say Norfolk, your going to at least get the southeastern half of the area with the expansive shield that typically accompanies this type of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 DIdn't the GFS undergo some kind of update today? Mag here is the news release. http://www.nws.noaa....ncrease_aab.htm I guess once we get the track of the weekend storm figured out. Then we can worry about temps. All my snow cover is gone this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 i'm pulling for PD3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 F.T.W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 HAHAHAHAHAHAHA this is great. I don't know whats funnier, the I 95 predictions or the fact you have IPT at 10-14. That really depends on ratios. Could be 12-16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Whyyy don't chu click your heels three times..... and go back to Africa. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 My temp Saturday is slated to be 50, with sun. Not gonna lie, I'll be kinda pissed if it's not that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 Of course that is Beautiful talking. On the weekend he does stunts for Little Richard in gay movies. You mad Capitals blow dick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 screw that. I've had enough sunny and 50 degree days this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 My temp Saturday is slated to be 50, with sun. Not gonna lie, I'll be kinda pissed if it's not that. same, early season golf ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 lol NAM range looking a tad better this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 My temp Saturday is slated to be 50, with sun. Not gonna lie, I'll be kinda pissed if it's not that. You'll take your 2 feet of snow and like it! Booooo anything > 32F until April 7! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 for me, when the weather gets like this, in my mind i start to ease out of winter mode and start seeing myself on the softball field. Its almost like i'm being tricked that its spring. I can smell fresh cut grass, i can see the dampness on my cleats for a early morning game or practice.......its almost like, like heaven...........then we get smacked across the face we reality that its only February, temps will drop into the teens and a storm blows in......but, thats just me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 screw that. I've had enough sunny and 50 degree days this month. lol I know, thought the same. There were even 9 days above 50 in January for Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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