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Central PA Winter 11-12 cont'd


MAG5035

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  On 1/29/2012 at 10:44 PM, stormspotterlive said:

ya Noticing that now but if it was colder it would of been double digit snow fall. Also to see this much QPF on the GFS is big it is not a model of choice for convective banding.

Something is going to happen this weekend, just not sure what. My bet is on rain. lol

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..A DANGEROUS LINE OF SNOW SQUALLS WILL AFFECT BEDFORD...BLAIR...

CENTRE...CLINTON...EASTERN CAMBRIA...EASTERN CAMERON...EASTERN

CLEARFIELD...EASTERN SOMERSET...FULTON...HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...

POTTER...SOUTHEASTERN ELK...SOUTHWESTERN JUNIATA...TIOGA...WESTERN

FRANKLIN AND WESTERN LYCOMING COUNTIES...

AT 612 PM EST...A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS EXTENDED FROM

JAMESTOWN NEW YORK SOUTHWARD TO CLARION...GREENSBURG AND INTO THE

WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE. THE SQUALLS MARKED THE LEADING EDGE OF A

STRONG COLD FRONT SLICING ACROSS THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU AND RAPIDLY

PUSHING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN REGION.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL.

THE SNOW WILL RAPIDLY DROP VISIBILITIES IN THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL

TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE. IN ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL

FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER THE LINE OF SQUALLS EXITS...CAUSING

UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES TO FREEZE.

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  On 1/29/2012 at 9:29 PM, Wmsptwx said:

Who wants to make a bet. I say accumulating snows don't make it east of Clearfield to Johnstown. My bet 5 bucks sent to you're address lol.

  On 1/29/2012 at 9:40 PM, EasternUSWX said:

So you are saying at least .25-.5" won't even make it to State College? Ya i'll take that bet.

  On 1/29/2012 at 10:18 PM, PSUHazletonWx said:

I hope it survives to Hazy...haven't seen a good snowburst since last March.

Do any of you think it'll make it this far east? It looks quite solid at the moment, but what do the mountains do to it?

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  On 1/29/2012 at 11:25 PM, Voyager said:

Do any of you think it'll make it this far east? It looks quite solid at the moment, but what do the mountains do to it?

http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus15min/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_15min:&runTime=2012012921&plotName=cref15min_t3sfc&fcstInc=15&numFcsts=61&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3&wjet=1

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I ended up with just a hair over an inch, and its the type that caked on everything. I'm sure roads are a mess.

Haven't been extremely vigilant on seasonal totals but with 4" from the Oct and 9.2" from the two events on the 20th/21st plus the 3" from that one lake effect event that had the overachieving squall plus about 4 inches of bs snows from everything else including this one. So yea round 20ish for the season...I guess it could be worse. Actually using UNV's seasonal totals this ones already at/exceeded 1999-2000. Which had 19.8" for the whole season at UNV.

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