Santa Clause Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 hahahhaha owned touche jamie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Thanks....figured I'd have fun with our Willamsport friend, poor snowless bastard. So, why is NWS CTP so bullish on the snow this weekend? They only have the heavy snow wording in to account for possible snow squalls. They say a coating to an inch in the valleys, which sounds pretty realistic. A coating to an inch that will stick to everything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 hahahhaha owned touche jamie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 They only have the heavy snow wording in to account for possible snow squalls. They say a coating to an inch in the valleys, which sounds pretty realistic. A coating to an inch that will stick to everything... I was talking more about their AFD and HWO. They are talking a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 12z gfs zomg. Wow good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Okay, I am so confused what is going on with this Saturday snow talk? I thought it was just going to be snow showers with the cold front, what is this I hear of a coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 GFS would be a bomb if it could get the phasing accomplished. Same adage that has plagued the whole winter. Need better blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Okay, I am so confused what is going on with this Saturday snow talk? I thought it was just going to be snow showers with the cold front, what is this I hear of a coastal? Models creating more phasing. We get some light snow with first wave and some from a upper level low. 2-4" over southern pa this run with higher amounts in mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Okay, I am so confused what is going on with this Saturday snow talk? I thought it was just going to be snow showers with the cold front, what is this I hear of a coastal? The past couple runs have tried to phase a wave along the southern stream with the energy of the front to then bring a low up the coast. Currently still a miss east but if wave is able to phase sooner there could be legit talk for accumulating snow. The models really didn't get a good grip on yesterdays event until within 48 hours so it will be interesting to see what 12z Euro and the 0z runs tonight try to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Models creating more phasing. We get some light snow with first wave and some from a upper level low. 2-4" over southern pa this run with higher amounts in mountains. Just to be clear, it is first snow showers with the cold front passing and then the possible coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Just to be clear, it is first snow showers with the cold front passing and then the possible coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Come on man, don't start getting me excited like you always do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Come on man, don't start getting me excited like you always do! lol hey each run looks better and ens are nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Eric Horst's (Millersville University) latest update regarding this weekend, posted just a few minutes ago. Noon Friday update: A big "thank you" goes out to all of our snowfall reporters! Looks like areas south of Route 30 had a coating to 1 inch, while the northern part of Lancaster county got 1 to 2 inches. The higher snowfall totals (2 to 4 inches) fell just a few counties to our north and west.... If you felt jipped, you have another good chance of getting 1 to 4 inches of snow Friday night into Saturday. It's a complex set up, but here's how I see things coming together... A strong Arctic front will cross the Commonwealth on Saturday, but ahead of this front a significant plume of Gulf moisture will surge northward across the region Friday night. If the Arctic front and the Gulf moisture phased completely, we'd get 6-inch-plus snowfall. More likely, however, these two systems will move through separately. The first will bring a light rain-snow mix Friday evening that will turn over to a period of steadier snow overnight. 1 to 2 inches is the best bet with this first system. By midday Saturday, the Arctic front will be entering the Susquehanna Valley from the west. An intense squall line is likely to organize with this front, so I expect a couple hours of snow early Saturday afternoon. With the frontal passage, the snow may fall heavily for a short time--combine this with increasing winds and falling temperatures, and it could be kind of wild a little while. Flurries and snow showrs will linger into Saturday night as temps drop into the teens. Sunday will be very cold with highs in the 20s and wind chills in the single and teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Come on man, don't start getting me excited like you always do! Was that your Chris Berman impersonation? Is Zak toying with your emotions? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 This winter don't believe it until you see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Was that your Chris Berman impersonation? Is Zak toying with your emotions? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 "Looks like Wmsptwx has thrown the red flag to challenge the ruling on the board that he proved he was actually right for once....let's look at the tape" "Well, Al, I think he got more than a dusting, he got .8. That's more than a dusting, clearly. Not Snowmaggedon, but still off." "Cris, do we count easternwx's report of over 3 inches as officially the highest? " "Al, he's so big of a weenie he's like a dachshund on steroids, but Cashtown in Adams County did get a report of 3.2. Still though, that dusting...c'mon." "Looking at qpf numbers for UNV, they got .23 qpf and about two inches of snow. That's a good call about thicker cloud cover but he said the ground would eat up half of it. That's what he said, Cris, so he's wrong here." "Yeah, Al." "Well, Al, this is inconclusive because 'half of a flake' might have been a reference to some of the posters in the NYC subforum." "Okay, now here comes the referee stormtracker with the official call" "Upon further review, nothing wmsptwx said leading up to what was an okay event in this lame-ass winter was correct. Therefore the call on the board stands - he's a weenie dumbass and should be thankful we like him so he doesn't get a five-post penalty." DAMN THAT'S HATEFUL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 anyone have the Euro? show anything good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Let's be honest though, 1 to 3 inches is nothing to get excited about. I know I'm a weenie and gladly accept it. But isn't getting excited over an inch of snow just as bad lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Let's be honest though, 1 to 3 inches is nothing to get excited about. I know I'm a weenie and gladly accept it. But doesn't getting excited over an inch of snow just as bad lol. No reason to bring your personnel business into this.. only kidding the weekend looks a little dryer then it did earlier, or is it me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Hahahahaha....good one. But back to my point, I can see skiers maybe being excited for any snow. As a weather nerd though, I like more dynamic and interesting storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 anyone have the Euro? show anything good? depends what you mean as good... good - that it has not drastically changed and completely lose potential system since 0z... not so good - that it has not changed since 0z to bring potential system westward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 depends what you mean as good... good - that it has not drastically changed and completely lose potential system since 0z... not so good - that it has not changed since 0z to bring potential system westward The low did shift west.a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 Haha I told you kids twice in the last 5 days that this storm might suddenly sneak into the picture late in the game, don't make me have to go all DT with the ALLEEEEEET! crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Haha I told you kids twice in the last 5 days that this storm might suddenly sneak into the picture late in the game, don't make me have to go all DT with the ALLEEEEEET! crap. Air raid sirens!!!! Aleeetttttttt aleeeeeeet!!!!!!!! Huge east coast storm! Aleeeet!!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The low did shift west.a step in the right direction. exactly the same as 0z location wise on what I am looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Haha I told you kids twice in the last 5 days that this storm might suddenly sneak into the picture late in the game, don't make me have to go all DT with the ALLEEEEEET! crap. Yes dad, you did! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Euro looks the same to me. This one is going to have to change a lot in a little bit of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Hahahahaha....good one. But back to my point, I can see skiers maybe being excited for any snow. As a weather nerd though, I like more dynamic and interesting storms. The problem is, in a winter like this, you can't wait for those. Gotta take what you can get. I keep telling you - follow this creed: Keep your expectations tiny, then you won't be so whiny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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