hckyplayer8 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 is this flakes or inches? They run weird ass parameters these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I think we had a total of 8 inches from both storms. Not been a snow capital up in these parts. 3.5 from the first, 8.0 from the second. The second one was a really band-driven storm. UNV got like 3.0 and I ended up with around what you got. This is a really good link for us: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ctp/features/snowmaps/index.php?tab=storms It has a fair amount of storm data - check it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Joe the Bastardi likes a storm going along that artic front and dumping us with some snow here in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. So it's going to be 75 on Sunday. lol 18Z NAM at the very end. It's like JB hacked into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 You guys realize that the unthawed ground will eat half of that up before it accumulates. So we're looking at an inch southern tier...maybe half inch in State College??? Ground temperatures, at least here in State College, have been hovering in the upper 30s (41 °F seems to be the average on paved surfaces) thanks to the persistent cloud-cover. When temperatures drop in the mid 20s tonight, ground temperatures will not have a problem falling below freezing; likely the same case for paved surfaces. Looks great for 1-2" for most of us near and south of DuBois/Centre County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 3.5 from the first, 8.0 from the second. The second one was a really band-driven storm. UNV got like 3.0 and I ended up with around what you got. This is a really good link for us: http://www.erh.noaa.....php?tab=storms It has a fair amount of storm data - check it out. Yea we got lucky with a band that sat over our area and turned what was about a 5 incher into an 8-12" storm. I remember leaving class that day to go home and the snow had pretty much stopped in State College that afternoon when they had around 4-5 inches. Took the back way for a bit of an adventure through Sinking Valley and almost regretted that. 2nd storm was a windy one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Are we looking at a mid morning-noontime start here in the SRV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Ground temperatures, at least here in State College, have been hovering in the upper 30s (41 °F seems to be the average on paved surfaces) thanks to the persistent cloud-cover. When temperatures drop in the mid 20s tonight, ground temperatures will not have a problem falling below freezing; likely the same case for paved surfaces. Looks great for 1-2" for most of us near and south of DuBois/Centre County. Looks like on the NAM and GFS we're getting .1" QPF right up to around our area. Assuming normal ratios and ground temps not too much of an issue I think an inch would be a good call here...with certainly some near-advisory amounts to our south if temps cooperate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Are we looking at a mid morning-noontime start here in the SRV? Noon or so sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Noon or so sounds about right Your neck of the woods and south is looking good for a nice lil event. Higher Laurels spots probably sneak in advisory amounts just like Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Final map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Your neck of the woods and south is looking good for a nice lil event. Higher Laurels spots probably sneak in advisory amounts just like Saturday. Yeah... if we can get things going early and stay steady there could be some 4" amounts. This should be a little colder and fluffier than Saturday. You guys should do ok too, at least by this winter's standards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah... if we can get things going early and stay steady there could be some 4" amounts. This should be a little colder and fluffier than Saturday. You guys should do ok too, at least by this winter's standards! If i get enough to last more than half a day i'll consider the storm a smashing success haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah... if we can get things going early and stay steady there could be some 4" amounts. This should be a little colder and fluffier than Saturday. You guys should do ok too, at least by this winter's standards! If i get enough to last more than half a day i'll consider the storm a smashing success haha Yeah, 1-2 is a moderate event this year What do you two think of this weekend? Any chance of a wave on the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah... if we can get things going early and stay steady there could be some 4" amounts. This should be a little colder and fluffier than Saturday. You guys should do ok too, at least by this winter's standards! If i get enough to last more than half a day i'll consider the storm a smashing success haha Yeah, 1-2 is a moderate event this year What do you two think of this weekend? Any chance of a wave on the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Just wanted to mention the last couple days I have been working in Liberty Pa. And for the most part the ground has stayed pretty much froze. Today the temp up there was about 38 with cloud cover.with about 6mph wind. And I would 80% of the ground was froze or solid. With a few places where the sun didn't hit had 2-4" of frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Just wanted to mention the last couple days I have been working in Liberty Pa. And for the most part the ground has stayed pretty much froze. Today the temp up there was about 38 with cloud cover.with about 6mph wind. And I would 80% of the ground was froze or solid. With a few places where the sun didn't hit had 2-4" of frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 NAM @ HR84... tries to churn that puppy out of the GOMEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 FOX 43 JUST SAID .5 INCH TOTAL FOR YORK AND SOUTH. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 FOX 43 JUST SAID .5 INCH TOTAL FOR YORK AND SOUTH. LOL! Fox43 has to be the worst news broadcast station. I prefer WHTM. But yeah that's lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Looking at current radar there seems to be a better moisture from the gulf then what is currently being depicted by the models at this time. Doubt it will make a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Hopefully it starts snowing before 3pm. Work from 3-11 tomorrow, so a start time around 11-12 would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSTWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah, 1-2 is a moderate event this year What do you two think of this weekend? Any chance of a wave on the front? I can see a fast moving wave on the front Saturday morning. Things stay progressive and positively tilted at 500, so I don't think anything big will happen for us. New England will be a different story. But a few inches are certainly possible with the fluff factor. The EC ensembles and GEM have a nice thump, and the nam is starting to catch on (but it's of course a few days off for the nam) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah, 1-2 is a moderate event this year What do you two think of this weekend? Any chance of a wave on the front? The 18z DGEX at 84 and 90 looked pretty robust for especially the west and north taking a nice band of snow associated with arctic front nw-se across the state. New 0z NAM was meh. Todays Euro looked like it wanted to incorporate some southern energy and almost could've made for more of an actual legit wave running the Arctic boundary..almost. I think at the very least we will have some snows with the passage of the arctic front as the cold air presses down, prolly the typical bs up to an inch or so variety fading to scattered coatings in the far se. I could see a wave suddenly appearing. Remember I had said several days ago that this is type of pattern where might not see the storm in this timeframe show up till late in the game and maybe suddenly. Being a colder system wouldn't need a ton of QPF to work out some decent amounts via higher ratios either. Either way should be seeing back to back snow events for a change, 1/2-1 flurry on top of our 1-3 flurry event tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Wow CTP ramped up amounts in the south with their new map... nearly 3 inches in Altoona and over 2" in State College. Wonder if there's enough 3-4" coverage in Cambria and somerset that they may consider throwing up a low end advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Wow CTP ramped up amounts in the south with their new map... nearly 3 inches in Altoona and over 2" in State College. Wonder if there's enough 3-4" coverage in Cambria and somerset that they may consider throwing up a low end advisory. Seems pretty optimistic...I don't even know if any model shows this much especially around I-80. Would be a nice surprise though. 2" goes a long way when you've had a few weeks of brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 OMGZ.... .8" lol. This winter is in the words of Charles Barkley...TURRIBLEE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Seems pretty optimistic...I don't even know if any model shows this much especially around I-80. Would be a nice surprise though. 2" goes a long way when you've had a few weeks of brown. Seems pretty reasonable. Looking at 18z GFS ensembles, not a single member gives KUNV <0.1" liquid equivalent with plumes showing a clustering around 0.2" liquid. SREFs look to average between 0.15"-0.2". NAM is about 0.15". Edit: Euro coming in with 0.17". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 There are countless......countless.....examples of snow accumulating just fine after temps in the 60s. Yes, it can be a factor sometimes. But it's not a dealbreaker. Besides.....here the top layer of ground will be frozen with lows in the mid-20s and highs in the low 30s. i thought the same thing. I lost count (Here and Eastern) of how many times jamie has had to give the speach! I know right? I remember one morning a few years back. I took my wife to work and when I left the house it was 62 degrees and raining. An hour and a half later (and a frontal passage) I returned home and it was snowing with a coating to one inch on everything. Granted that was a bit of a heavier snowfall, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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