CAPE Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 haha I wish it was even had that, no i had a dream about it, and i was just trying to be the local prophet, shame on me lol oh boy. well then.. if we don't get something good by the 14th, it may be tough, as it looks to get milder and probably stay that way for a while per Euro ensembles. Yeah the models suck and are always subject to change, but we have not seen more than brief cold shots all winter long and not much has changed to support the idea of any sustained cold, especially for the eastern third of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 This winter has been so warm, that If shearing wasn't so strong in the gulf we might need to start a new thread on possible tropical development in February!? You know it's bad when Algerian capital, Algiers in Northern Africa 10cm of snow surpasses anything we've gotten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Do not believe anything that is on the models more then 4 or 5 days out. This winter has been a big bummer, but what can you do? There is nothing we can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Can anyone update me on the 12 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 nada this weekend.. cold on monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 nada this weekend.. cold on monday Thx. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 nada this weekend.. cold on monday Is it time to give up on the weekend storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 6, 2012 Author Share Posted February 6, 2012 Is it time to give up on the weekend storm? What are you 12? It will either snow or it won't. We are going to keep looking at model runs for the next month+ so nothing changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Is it time to give up on the weekend storm? Um... Adam said on DBM that the Euro gives you and I 1" to 1.5" of snow. edit: sorry, that was for wednesday. nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Again, I don't care what models show at this stage. With this pattern, they've been thrashing around up until like 24-48 hours before an "event". Yeah, yeah, the models have mostly shown this OTS, but the evolution changes every 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Again, I don't care what models show at this stage. With this pattern, they've been thrashing around up until like 24-48 hours before an "event". Yeah, yeah, the models have mostly shown this OTS, but the evolution changes every 6 hours. The 18z gfs ens members did show more with a system getting closer. 4 was the count I believe. There was only one at 12z I believe. Long way out in time. 120 hours is what I was looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Its pretty much all she wrote with this weekends threat. Guidance has really converged on a solution that there will be no interaction between the branches. The only hope is for norther stream driven dynamics, or early next week perhaps the next s/w around the PV can phase up. Our luck the PV will grow to massive size and shear any wave out as it passes to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Its pretty much all she wrote with this weekends threat. Guidance has really converged on a solution that there will be no interaction between the branches. The only hope is for norther stream driven dynamics, or early next week perhaps the next s/w around the PV can phase up. Our luck the PV will grow to massive size and shear any wave out as it passes to our south. GFS looks good for the second s/w for early next week. It may be trying to pull something this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Looks like a SECS to me at the end of the run before truncation. Excellent setup on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 What the hell is that on the GFS at 183 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Before truncation, the GFS pops an Icelandic High. This would be a classic Heather A signal storm (going positive to negative). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 What the hell is that on the GFS at 183 A big A** snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 That would be a very cold snow here in that setup on the GFS: HP in southern Quebec with -30C 850s in Maine - temps no warmer than 20 at least the first half of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 Its pretty much all she wrote with this weekends threat. Guidance has really converged on a solution that there will be no interaction between the branches. The only hope is for norther stream driven dynamics, or early next week perhaps the next s/w around the PV can phase up. Our luck the PV will grow to massive size and shear any wave out as it passes to our south. it's only monday dude....there is no convergence on anything at day 5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I'm back from deep creek Snow is good but not the same when you have to drive to it They have a general 1-4 inches (elevation dependent). Pretty pathetic. In fact if it had not been from this weekend storm they would of had barren ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Official thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Sadly, we don't have the thermal profiles to go along with the juicer look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Good call, stormtracker, on it being in time for SNE though in that run. Hour 54 will make them happy up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Good call, stormtracker, on it being in time for SNE though in that run. Hour 54 will make them happy up there. ...if they like rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 ...if they like rain They will manufacture their own cold. It's what they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 This is so sad that in mid feb with a perfect low track and a 1048 high in the Midwest we have temp issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Sadly, we don't have the thermal profiles to go along with the juicer look I don't know, it is snow after 06z on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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