winterymix Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Why are you not banned? Of his 7000+ posts, how many would you consider "non-essential"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Cause we want snow and it might be bad luck. Some thought the same of rainstorm once.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Why are you not banned? someone thinks he's a bigshot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Euro ensembles like my window. Good thing that you are not a weenie. Weenies and windows can be dangerous, especially if the window closes on the weenie. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 http://ggweather.com/loops/gfs_18z_slp_all.htm Will/Matt's KU storm on February 11th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Anything we get before February 7th doesn't count towards the 20-40". I'll now leave the thread. Goalpost shifting again I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Goalpost shifting again I see If the ravens could have done that they would be in the superbowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Goalpost shifting again I see I haven't changed anything, actually. From January 26 in the locked solar thread: 1) Transition period is January 30th to February 7th, pattern will be "hit and run" here in the MA. Models will begin showing 'fantasies' in the long range starting on the 5th-7th period. MJO shifts into octants 6 and 7 as upward motion becomes eastward predominate. SSTAs in the EPAC and tropical Atlantic warm, Atlantic ENSO being in La Nina mode will shut down a complete loop, though.2) MJO makes the first healthy transition into Octant 8 mid Month, pattern becomes rapidly better as +PNA strengthens, vortex in Alaska takes a hit and retrogrades Westward, ridging pushes to the pole or near it by the 20th. Trough develops from the great lakes, TN valley, south-central US, to the east coast. 3). Strong, full-phasing coastal storms begin in earnest between the 12th and the 23rd, cold air will be easily attainable and adequate in availability. MJO will push into octant 1. Why do you feel the need to fabricate and lie? I just don't get it, I haven't "moved the goalposts" once...like wtf, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 If the ravens could have done that they would be in the superbowl. Maybe next year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I haven't changed anything, actually. From January 26 in the locked solar thread: Why do you feel the need to fabricate and lie? I just don't get it, I haven't "moved the goalposts" once...like wtf, really? Take your own advice. I'll now leave the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Take your own advice. I always take my own advice. There is a code of ethics though, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 can there be please be one thread in the MA wx forum that isn't take over by BB? thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I'm not "taking over" anything, I was trolled, and responded. If you have a problem with that, just don't do it in the first place. Ain't that hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 can there be please be one thread in the MA wx forum that isn't take over by BB? thanks. My fault Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 6z GFS runs says nothing to see for these dates as of yet. Tick tock tick tock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 6z GFS runs says nothing to see for these dates as of yet. Tick tock tick tock Unless you are a fish. The fish weenies are hugging that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 12z GFS has the zwyts storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 lol....LR GFS has the 0C line in Palm Beach and continuous snow in VA for 90 hours, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Yes please. I think this is the first LR storm that's made it past hr288... Just. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 If only it wasn't 300+hrs away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Sweet! GFS says only 10 days until winter really starts! Have I heard that before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 If only it wasn't 300+hrs away Bullseye on DT's house = kiss of death That and it being the 324hr GFS and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 mark my words. it will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Bullseye on DT's house = kiss of death That and it being the 324hr GFS and all. Worse - 348hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Worse - 348hr That is the snow depth map, it comes through at 276 (the main snow frame at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Bullseye on DT's house = kiss of death That and it being the 324hr GFS and all. Yay! We all know it will trend n&w. Bullseye will end up being mt. vortmax area but we'll cash nicely down here too while dt needs a canoe to get the mail. Jokes aside, there are alot of signs pointing to this general timeframe. Enough to say that we stand a decent chance even @ 10+ days away (by decent chance I mean like 10% or so but still). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 That is the snow depth map, it comes through at 276 (the main snow frame at least) Well then, if it is at 276h it will most certainly happen!!!! Huge difference! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 That is the snow depth map, it comes through at 276 (the main snow frame at least) Oh well in that case, lets take the 276hr map that shows less snow depth than the 348hr snow depth map. whatever works for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Well then, if it is at 276h it will most certainly happen!!!! Huge difference! Here's the 264 hr ensemble mean and spaghetti plot. See how different they are from the Operational (white line). It's pretty much on its own on how much it pulls the trough west. It could still be right but having it out on a limb means it usually gets cut off on the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Here's the 264 hr ensemble mean and spaghetti plot. See how different they are from the Operational (white line). It's pretty much on its own on how much it pulls the trough west. It could still be right but having it out on a limb means it usually gets cut off on the next run. Isn't the ensemble mean usually flatter/colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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