North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 In honor of trixie, the trend is there, were so effing close, idk but we can do it now...just maybe. Can't you just let well enough alone, please? Or contain it to the banter thread. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Surface freezing line at 12z Saturday from around IAD through north-central MD it looks like. Temps at 6z were in the 30s for everyone, but the freezing line was farther north. Good trend on the GFS, perhaps it will continue. http://raleighwx.ame...s2mtemps048.gif when you look at that map and see all that cold to the north and yet we can barely eek out a freezing temp, it suggests we are being punished for something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 maine.. go to maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 when you look at that map and see all that cold to the north and yet we can barely eek out a freezing temp, it suggests we are being punished for something Karma in this thread most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 the double barrel low isn't likely going away...the first low develops in response to the southern stream wave, the second low (closer to the coast) develops in response to the northern stream....there isn't really any phasing until things get well north of here... and regarding trends, i don't see a scenario (outside of a very unlikely early phase) where this thing can come much farther west, the giant PV in eastern canada won't allow the flow to back enough to allow that to happen Thanks WES LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Can't you just let well enough alone, please? Or contain it to the banter thread. Good lord. meanie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Brrr - Sunday low in the teens, highs in the 20s per GFS, even for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 the double barrel low isn't likely going away...the first low develops in response to the southern stream wave, the second low (closer to the coast) develops in response to the northern stream....there isn't really any phasing until things get well north of here... and regarding trends, i don't see a scenario (outside of a very unlikely early phase) where this thing can come much farther west, the giant PV in eastern canada won't allow the flow to back enough to allow that to happen I've heard that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 the double barrel low isn't likely going away...the first low develops in response to the southern stream wave, the second low (closer to the coast) develops in response to the northern stream....there isn't really any phasing until things get well north of here... and regarding trends, i don't see a scenario (outside of a very unlikely early phase) where this thing can come much farther west, the giant PV in eastern canada won't allow the flow to back enough to allow that to happen Other than if the strength and configuration of the PV is not correctly modeled as has happened so many times in the past Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I've heard that before. hopefully we get a WSW from lwx before it boxing day's us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 just in case this one dosent work out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 maine.. go to maine ya..lets just go to Maine....lets go to Europe while were at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The 120 panel shows some promise. Low near the gulf, and a high to our north, altho the high may be sliding too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 btw...the JMA showed this scenario first a few days ago. I remember making a post that the JMA looked very threatning for this weekend for the east cosat #dontforgetJMAmention And you were derided for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Other than if the strength and configuration of the PV is not correctly modeled as has happened so many times in the past To be honest here, if anything, the lp development isn't correctly modeled. The PV is a much larger and more stable feature and while it may not be modeled perfectly, don't bet on that feature coming around to save the day. So far it's nice seeing the models go this way but setting expectations beyond a nice little period of snow that may or may not stick is probably not a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 ya..lets just go to Maine....lets go to Europe while were at it maine is close than europe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Is Ian drunk? Brookings Institute Brunch? lol.. sorry im not a model hugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 lol.. sorry im not a model hugger. If the Euro jumps west one more time you will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 DT aleet. Moderate snow event for dc to Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If the Euro jumps west one more time you will be. We don't need a west jump...we need the low to develop and be stronger further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If the Euro jumps west one more time you will be. so far it's going basically exactly as i expected but we'll see. phases are usually late... and this thing is in no hurry to go big right away to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The 120 panel shows some promise. Low near the gulf, and a high to our north, altho the high may be sliding too far east. It did til it gets sheared/weakens. 180 looks interesting.. but thats a weak H in C Canada... and prob too far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 so far it's going basically exactly as i expected but we'll see. phases are usually late... and this thing is in no hurry to go big right away to start with. At least it is a different look from events we've seen already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 12z UKIE looks very GFSesque at 48 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If the Euro jumps west one more time you will be. He'll do more than hug it. What he'd do is illegal in most places, except WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 At least it is a different look from events we've seen already. i suppose.. our luck with big coastals in a nina is not superb. i still sorta like next week's chance tho it doesnt seem to want to come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 TAKE WITH HUGE GRAIN OF SALT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 IF that were right above... GEFS says DC is SNOW at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 IF that were right above... GEFS says DC is SNOW at 12z Yeah but what do the ensembles say about the surface temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah but what do the ensembles say about the surface temps? Raleigh's site doesn't have that I don't think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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