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February 10-13 Storm Obs/Discussion


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Odds are, you're right. But don't tell me that "ooooooh" in your post immediately before was entirely sarcasm... I know you had a tinge of something more genuine there, if only for a second! :pimp:

no.. 100% sarcasm. i dont live and die by every run. we'll get some enhancement if we're good little weenies. the storm will not impact us heavily. FRIGGEN BOOK IT.

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This is so so close.... One more of these trends.... I agree the double barrel look the gfs is trying screws it up at 48

indeed. a single or even half barrel would be so uber. so uber.

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This is so so close.... One more of these trends.... I agree the double barrel look the gfs is trying screws it up at 48

the double slp structure of the GFS messes with the development of the closer slp

if that changes, then we're really in business

the double barrel low isn't likely going away...the first low develops in response to the southern stream wave, the second low (closer to the coast) develops in response to the northern stream....there isn't really any phasing until things get well north of here...

and regarding trends, i don't see a scenario (outside of a very unlikely early phase) where this thing can come much farther west, the giant PV in eastern canada won't allow the flow to back enough to allow that to happen

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