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Assorted Amorphous Threats


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Joe D'Aleo lives in NH ...he would be a prominent NE met....

From facebook

"the scary thing there were Numerous folks folks posting here and on the web site and in other forums who were talking about the coming cold because of another well known but over valued private Meteorologist in New England ... still waiting for that cold"

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I have no idea who he was talking about though.....

DT could be in a bind because he disavowed his own forecast totally and cancelled winter. Now if it does mount a comeback..he looks kinda silly.

No neither do I. I cant get over the typos, repeated words, and run on sentences that don't make any sense. I like to get my weather info from professionals like Will, Scott and many others who present their ideas in an intelligent way.

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Good eeeeevening everybody

Surprised you knew about Al. He always did the best he could on a low budget channel with cheesy graphics and such. In real life his voice is nothing like the weather segments.

Back on topic, how awesome would it be if we did get this storm to dump on SNE and NNE (ray didn't make it SNE centric yet did he) and have a nice couple week stretch. There's been a lot of great discussion to be hopeful about in Wills Feb thread.

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12z GFS is coming in a lot slower..the whole ridge axis out west is farther west. Not sure how that will translate downstream but I would guess something may for pretty close to the coast.

It's got a fold over ridge into the Canadian Plains wioth confluence to our northeast. At hr 156, looks like it will be squashed south for now, on this run.

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GFS is a mess for late week, weekend. The first wave gets squashed south ans a big cutoff low is left behind as shown above. Then it gets its act together and cuts west of us..lol.

I know the solution has basically no chance of verifying Scott, but do you think that could be an icing scenario with the strong Canadian high? It certainly looks that way before truncation.

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I know the solution has basically no chance of verifying Scott, but do you think that could be an icing scenario with the strong Canadian high? It certainly looks that way before truncation.

Well anytime you have a big high, interior icing is always a threat, but honestly...can't really comment much more being so far out.

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GFS is a mess for late week, weekend. The first wave gets squashed south ans a big cutoff low is left behind as shown above. Then it gets its act together and cuts west of us..lol.

LOL.....I was concerned that I might miss a storm (or drive through one on Friday) as I'm heading up to the Carnival in Quebec for the weekend. Maybe the GFS will give me snow up there while SNE has a driving rain.

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LOL.....I was concerned that I might miss a storm (or drive through one on Friday) as I'm heading up to the Carnival in Quebec for the weekend. Maybe the GFS will give me snow up there while SNE has a driving rain.

Or....that can be the pattern changer. You drive up there and the storm cuts through Detroit. You arrive there in the new pattern of -20f days while the attacked snow pack waits for replenishment for when you,'re safely back in GC. Then the replenishment comes..Lin a system that crushes eastern NE while GC gets 4-8. The storm winds up and actually retrogrades a bit beyond our latitude burying Quebec. But the next one progged 5 days later whiffs...and you start crying. Never...ever wish for this on SNE. Ole man winter will exact his revenge.

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Well as we firgured. Ensembles are way different. They still have the fold over ridge look in the Canadian Plains, but have a low right near the BM, on Saturday morning. Still pretty much means nothing at this point, considering how complicated the flow is.

LOL..I like it..This is a new one we can use.. AWF

A snowstorm looks likely next Friday

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Or....that can be the pattern changer. You drive up there and the storm cuts through Detroit. You arrive there in the new pattern of -20f days while the attacked snow pack waits for replenishment for when you,'re safely back in GC. Then the replenishment comes..Lin a system that crushes eastern NE while GC gets 4-8. The storm winds up and actually retrogrades a bit beyond our latitude burying Quebec. But the next one progged 5 days later whiffs...and you start crying. Never...ever wish for this on SNE. Ole man winter will exact his revenge.

Not wishing anything--just looking at the GFS. I think if SNE gets a big snow, I might be seeing that -20's day on Saturday. Bundle up, i guess.

LOL..I like it..This is a new one we can use.. AWF

A snowstorm looks likely next Friday

Nothing worse than arriving back home after a storm and not being able to get into the driveway. Everyone will be watching the Superbowl and I"ll be running the snowblower. I take that back--there is something worse. Not getting a storm at all.

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Well as we firgured. Ensembles are way different. They still have the fold over ridge look in the Canadian Plains, but have a low right near the BM, on Saturday morning. Still pretty much means nothing at this point, considering how complicated the flow is.

Nice. When I saw the op I was hoping that the ensembles would paint a different picture. Scooter caution flags are displayed, but there's optimism that hasn't been here in a long time.

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Nice. When I saw the op I was hoping that the ensembles would paint a different picture. Scooter caution flags are displayed, but there's optimism that hasn't been here in a long time.

I think as far as the upcoming change goes, it seems like an 8-15 day window or so, where we'll have some chances. If the tropical forcing comes back around to the Indian ocean quicker, or the pesky AK low tries to hang around a bit longer, it will be the shorter end of the window. But there is a chance that the tropical forcing may takes it's time moving to, and beyond the date line. If that happens, then the window for fun is larger.

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