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Assorted Amorphous Threats


40/70 Benchmark

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I still think wave 1 could produce...but more likely wave #2 will be the best bet for anything. The trend of cutting off the energy completely in the southwest is a bit disconcerting, but very often we see models take it too far in the medium range and even just a piece of that energy escaping to the northeast will produce something...almost like the Euro showed for Saturday.

Yeah I like a solid advisory event Sat like Euro has

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I still think wave 1 could produce...but more likely wave #2 will be the best bet for anything. The trend of cutting off the energy completely in the southwest is a bit disconcerting, but very often we see models take it too far in the medium range and even just a piece of that energy escaping to the northeast will produce something...almost like the Euro showed for Saturday.

Definitely looking like second low is the threat

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It's # 1 or none..like the Euro ens today

Euro ensembles liked wave #2 more and so did the OP...the first wave whiffs us to the south on Thursday night...then a piece of the southwest energy ejects and we get a light snow event on Saturday on the Euro.

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