40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 Sam needs a TO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I'm glad I might get an inch tonight. I think I heard your wife mutternig the same thing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 The negativity is silly. This whole thing follows the tropical forcing timeline as well. That big PNA ridge is going to develop and the biggest changes were not supposed to happen until after the 1st week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I think I heard your wife mutternig the same thing.... I just lost it in an Optical Mineralogy class. Thanks hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 FWIW the GEFS don't really cutoff the low and squish it east..almost like what the 00z euro op does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 FWIW the GEFS don't really cutoff the low and squish it east..almost like what the 00z euro op does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Ensembles are at a lower resolution so who knows if they are right, but just saying what they show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 A PSA for the board in troubling times such as these. Just Unplug It. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 A PSA for the board in troubling times such as these. Just Unplug It. lol. The brutal truth continues to flourish this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I think I heard your wife mutternig the same thing.... LOL. If that's what it takes..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 12z GGEM is SE of the BM @96h. Throws light qpf back into SNE. http://www.weatherof...ast/134_100.gif Last nights run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 12z GGEM is SE of the BM @96h. Throws light qpf back into SNE. http://www.weatherof...ast/134_100.gif Last nights run. Even worse at 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Even worse at 12z today. Follow up system is similar to the op GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On the plus side, at least it's wintry out there this afternoon. 28.3/10 with weenie flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Not negativity, just reality. We have what looks like a beautiful +PNA ridge at face value, a solidly negative AO, and a neutral NAO which shouldn't be an issue in New England. So what's the problem? We still have the l/w trough over the Aleutians and extending into the GOA. Disturbances within the trough track northeastward, constantly knocking down the +PNA ridge, and triggering anticyclonic wavebreaking ...which is what is trapping our Feb 6 storm in the southwest. "Change" the pattern as many times as you want, but if we keep that un-La Nina-like trough over the North Pacific, we're always running into problems. But I'm just being negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Not negativity, just reality. We have what looks like a beautiful +PNA ridge at face value, a solidly negative AO, and a neutral NAO which shouldn't be an issue in New England. So what's the problem? We still have the l/w trough over the Aleutians and extending into the GOA. Disturbances within the trough track northeastward, constantly knocking down the +PNA ridge, and triggering anticyclonic wavebreaking ...which is what is trapping our Feb 6 storm in the southwest. "Change" the pattern as many times as you want, but if we keep that un-La Nina-like trough over the North Pacific, we're always running into problems. But I'm just being negative I mentioned that in the pattern outlook thread. I do agree that's something to watch going forward, but then again..it was an 8-15 day window where it would be favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Euro with another solution....looks a little like 00z EC ensembles for that second low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Oh wow, that makes me feel a lot better about this month, because we have had so much success with massive weenie storms in the long range verifying. Sam...there doesn't have to be a snowstorm for you to draw pictures of weenies...relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Euro has some light qpf mid day Saturday but the bl looks awfully warm. How can it be that warm with 534 thickness near the south coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Sam...there doesn't have to be a snowstorm for you to draw pictures of weenies...relax. lol "It's not even that big of a deal, something like 8% of kids do it." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 2nd low moves off east off the coast around Maryland.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Smells like snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 lol "It's not even that big of a deal, something like 8% of kids do it." Then you, while not unique, are at least special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Smells like snow Good thing I didn't step in it. Above normal temps Saturday and Sunday in all of SNE. Monday-Wed as well? We should adjust expectations to 2/10 and all will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Good thing I didn't step in it. Above normal temps Saturday and Sunday in all of SNE. Monday-Wed as well? We should adjust expectations to 2/10 and all will be fine. "pattern change begins 2/10 and winter is complete 2/25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 "pattern change begins 2/10 and winter is complete 2/25" Good one! Who knew we'd be waiting 2 months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Good thing I didn't step in it. Above normal temps Saturday and Sunday in all of SNE. Monday-Wed as well? We should adjust expectations to 2/10 and all will be fine. Who cares? It still snows which is all anyone cares about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 LOL, what is the euro doing. It develops a third low just offshore..although airmass over everyone sucks. But, redevelops another one behind it as more energy reloads into the trough. This is why nobody should believe anything beyond 96 hrs out. This is nuts..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 don't worry guys, we still have a snow storm at day 7 on the Euro. As long as we have that d7 spot filled, we have reason to waste away our lives watching the models with high anticipation in lieu of accepting the inevitable failure of the atmosphere to produce any excitement of the wintry variety in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 don't worry guys, we still have a snow storm at day 7 on the Euro. As long as we have that d7 spot filled, we have reason to waste away our lives watching the models with high anticipation in lieu of accepting the inevitable failure of the atmosphere to produce any excitement of the wintry variety in New England. Don't worry. Hacky sack weather will be here before you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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