weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:44 PM, snowNH said: How do you feel that you have had less snow than you hair length this year? Nah...he got a foot in October. I otoh got 2 inches. Then again mpm's wife's getting an inch and liking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 More then likely if we see anything it will be wave 2, Thats where my money is on besides the coin flip, How long it will take to sing the national anthem and what color gatorade gets dumped on the winning coach on SB sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: I still think wave 1 could produce...but more likely wave #2 will be the best bet for anything. The trend of cutting off the energy completely in the southwest is a bit disconcerting, but very often we see models take it too far in the medium range and even just a piece of that energy escaping to the northeast will produce something...almost like the Euro showed for Saturday. Yeah I like a solid advisory event Sat like Euro has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: I still think wave 1 could produce...but more likely wave #2 will be the best bet for anything. The trend of cutting off the energy completely in the southwest is a bit disconcerting, but very often we see models take it too far in the medium range and even just a piece of that energy escaping to the northeast will produce something...almost like the Euro showed for Saturday. Definitely looking like second low is the threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:52 PM, CT Blizz said: Yeah I like a solid advisory event Sat like Euro has Here's the response to this interpretation of the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 11:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Definitely looking like second low is the threat It's # 1 or none..like the Euro ens today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 11:15 PM, CT Blizz said: It's # 1 or none..like the Euro ens today You are getting it confused. 1st low seems OTS on Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 11:15 PM, CT Blizz said: It's # 1 or none..like the Euro ens today Euro ensembles liked wave #2 more and so did the OP...the first wave whiffs us to the south on Thursday night...then a piece of the southwest energy ejects and we get a light snow event on Saturday on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 11:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro ensembles liked wave #2 more and so did the OP...the first wave whiffs us to the south on Thursday night...then a piece of the southwest energy ejects and we get a light snow event on Saturday on the Euro. Oh to me it sounded like wave 1 was delayed until Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 What will probably happen is the hills will get a lame 1-3" and the cp\vallies will get largely non accumulating glop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:34 PM, weathafella said: Let's do justice to the original.....playing on the radio 50+ years ago... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REwm-t5dvgY I remember it well! That really hit the spot! Good find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 10:46 PM, weathafella said: Nah...he got a foot in October. I otoh got 2 inches. Then again mpm's wife's getting an inch and liking it. LOFL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Nice to see the gfs bounce back north and scrape the south coast with some light snows thur am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Looks like the GFS is getting off the closed low bandwagon for this weekend. Or at least trying to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:19 AM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the GFS is getting off the closed low bandwagon for this weekend. Or at least trying to. Much more progressive now as compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 2/6......anniversary of 78 storm. It is fitting, 78 will be 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Still risky as it warms ahead of it...hopefully as we get closer, it ejects some energy sooner. But this run might be pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:23 AM, CoastalWx said: Much more progressive now as compared to 12z. good it eased off on the cut off progressive is good....now lets get some continuity and trend it 125 or so miles north and get advisory snows lock it up 66 -72 hr hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:31 AM, cpick79 said: good it eased off on the cut off progressive is good....now lets get some continuity and trend it 125 or so miles north and get advisory snows lock it up 66 -72 hr hrs out Not from 00z. LP just south of LI at 162. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Nice little snow bomb for SNE on Feb 6 for the GFS. I don't expect any consistency in these solutions though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:29 AM, weathafella said: 2/6......anniversary of 78 storm. It is fitting, 78 will be 34. thats deep....and I hope true! Just to make it even more intriguing, 78 and 34 add up to 112...so we clearly get a combo of 78 and 34 this very Feb! You could also multiply 2x6 and that gets 12 too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs850mbTSLPp06162.gif looks yummy enuf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:33 AM, ORH_wxman said: Nice little snow bomb for SNE on Feb 6 for the GFS. I don't expect any consistency in these solutions though. 1978, 2012, 2046.... The year I turn 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I guess Blizz is tossing this run cause its the GFS At least as coastal said... the GFS is more progressive, which is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 another day, another solution. wow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:23 AM, CoastalWx said: Much more progressive now as compared to 12z. That's a stretch. This run barely works because of an impulse diving down from northern Canada on the backside of the trough departing the Northeast that helps lower heights ahead of the big closed low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 MicroSecs at 168hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 This looks familiar ...like the 17 other "threats" this season that have had 14,000 different model forecasts before they inevitably settled on the one that screws us the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 On 1/31/2012 at 4:33 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Not from 00z. LP just south of LI at 162. i'm talkin hour 66-72 not 162 but i'm sure we agree lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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