40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Maybe we'll get a cutter next week..lol. Another screw job on the GFS. Oh the humanity if something like that were to transpire...I just hope that if we get porked again, it's owed to the colder underperforming, as opposed to cutters interrupting arctic dry heaves. The latter would prompt the deletion of my account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:23 PM, ChrisM said: This model is so bad. Yet folks continue to look at it and use it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:24 PM, CoastalWx said: The weekend screw job is very possible. Interesting to see what the ensembles do. That ridge folding over and forming the cut off low is a screw job and a half. Congrats Duluth, MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:25 PM, CT Blizz said: Yet folks continue to look at it and use it Why criticize it if nobody knows if it's right or wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 beautiful. 06 vs 12z. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Why criticize it if nobody knows if it's right or wrong? If it was ever right we wouldn't have to. When it goes from a blizzard to OTS to a cutter over Chicago in the course of 3-4 runs ..it should be thrown into the ocean off the coast of Plymouth , Mass with bricks tied to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:30 PM, CT Blizz said: If it was ever right we wouldn't have to. When it goes from a blizzard to OTS to a cutter over Chicago in the course of 3-4 runs ..it should be thrown into the ocean off the coast of Plymouth , Mass with bricks tied to it Euro has done the same. Toss that too I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 whole country is a torch with no cold air anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro has done the same. Toss that too I guess. When has the Euro shown this storm being a cutter into the upper midwest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I could see the Euro spitting out this result if it's know SW bias comes into play. The Euro holds onto that ULL in the SW longer than the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:32 PM, CT Blizz said: When has the Euro shown this storm being a cutter into the upper midwest? 24 hrs ago it gave us two snowstorms. 36 hrs ago it furnaced us with the first low. Last night was congrats Bermuda. How is that consistent? The point is all models have struggled. The 12z run has not come out yet, so it's early to judge. I'm also not saying the GFS is right, but it's also silly to claim its solution is garbage. It does look weird, but there are things going on to cause such crazy depictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 fwiw, I believe the GFS was the least adamant about giving our area snow for Friday. It's had an OTS solution for that storm for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:34 PM, CoastalWx said: 24 hrs ago it gave us two snowstorms. 36 hrs ago it furnaced us with the first low. Last night was congrats Bermuda. How is that consistent? The point is all models have struggled. The 12z run has not come out yet, so it's early to judge. I'm also not saying the GFS is right, but it's also silly to claim it's solution is garbage. It does look weird, but there are things going on to cause such crazy depictions. Tip told us 2 days ago to toss the 12z Euro run as gentle breezes and warm high angle January sunbeams tickled his nape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:36 PM, CT Blizz said: Tip told us 2 days ago to toss the 12z Euro run as gentle breezes and warm high angle January sunbeams tickled his nape LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:36 PM, CT Blizz said: Tip told us 2 days ago to toss the 12z Euro run as gentle breezes and warm high angle January sunbeams tickled his nape LOL, well in regime changes..things are always moving around so it can take time for everything to get adjusted and get in place. Things are moving along and progressing under the old pattern regime and then all of the sudden you build a huge ridge. When that happens..things can get cutoff and all whacked out until everything is flushed out and the new pieces of the puzzle are in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 In other news, the op run goes weenie in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:42 PM, CoastalWx said: In other news, the op run goes weenie in the long range. The ever present fantasy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 Feb will be on OK month, a bit better than Jan imo.....nothing epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Well we know that we'll get our jollies in 6 hours. The 18Z never fails to get a rise out of weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:36 PM, CT Blizz said: Tip told us 2 days ago to toss the 12z Euro run as gentle breezes and warm high angle January sunbeams tickled his nape LOL Since that nice Oct pattern recognition, he has had a winter to forget. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I think the point being missed is that forgetting the wild swings it's pretty clear sometime around the 8th or 10th a series of significant threats will evolve. Will they be fish storms or record making storms, who knows...but they'll be on the east coast of off it somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:12 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This general trend so far this season is for the pattern to get to you. Wow, the GFS now shows our second storm cutting northward and torching New England. Who would have ever thought that would happen. Oh wait, that's right, I did. Give it up. Winter ended on November 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:47 PM, weathafella said: Well we know that I'll get my fix in 6 hours. The Lifetime Channel never fails to get a rise out of my weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 at least is consistent with the 2/11 storm. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:51 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Wow, the GFS now shows our second storm cutting northward and torching New England. Who would have ever thought that would happen. Oh wait, that's right, I did. Give it up. Winter ended on November 1st. JI?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:42 PM, CoastalWx said: In other news, the op run goes weenie in the long range. Oh wow, that makes me feel a lot better about this month, because we have had so much success with massive weenie storms in the long range verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:53 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Oh wow, that makes me feel a lot better about this month, because we have had so much success with massive weenie storms in the long range verifying. The pattern has clearly gotten to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Well Sam has gone swimming in the Pemi. Who's next, after hoping they were getting a SB blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2012 Author Share Posted January 30, 2012 On 1/30/2012 at 4:51 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Wow, the GFS now shows our second storm cutting northward and torching New England. Who would have ever thought that would happen. Oh wait, that's right, I did. Give it up. Winter ended on November 1st. And who called for a record setting storm. Oh wait, that's right, snowNH. You showed him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I'm glad I might get an inch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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