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February Winter Storm Prospects


WeatherX

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hopefully that gets a little stronger and bumps north a few more notches for you and me

The models are flopping like a fish on dry land and you're hoping for a north bump on a storm that wasn't even there on 12z? The energy that dives down after that little nugget is the one to watch

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GFS looks great here on Friday. Has very little chance of verifying. We'll see a variety of solutions the next few days for sure.

The reality is we may be entering a very, very active period if the long range models are correct.

Looks like the pattern change you and isotherm have been talking about back in jan. This winter will pick up where last winter ended. In regards to next weekends potential i expect a ton of changes and wouldn't put any stock in anything until we get run to run consistency

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well GEFS thoroughly unethused as a mean, but a few :weenie: solutions in the individuals. Fact is, all this energy is on the other side of the world, so who knows how many true vortimus maximus' there are and how strong they are.

Well you atleast gotta be encouraged that the model is still showing something still. Its gonna be a while still before all players are on the field so fun times ahead this whole week.

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If the pattern evolves as modeled we should not worry about run to run differences. The reality is the setup will be the most favorable we have seen all winter and it will just be a matter of seeing which shortwave becomes the main focus.

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You have to like the way the 18z GEFS establish and then gently back up the PNA ridge towards the latter portion of the run with downstream troughing beautifully teleconnected . It leaves our area just enough troughing to imagine that a few shortwaves that dive in and perhaps produce snow.

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You have to like the way the 18z GEFS establish and then gently back up the PNA ridge towards the latter portion of the run with downstream troughing beautifully teleconnected . It leaves our area just enough troughing to imagine that a few shortwaves that dive in and perhaps produce snow.

Here...sorry about that. Load the entire sequence and then run it....

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSHGTAVGNH_18z/f72.html

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