yoda Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 .05 meh. More flurries I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 No way we are getting anything good next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 No way we are getting anything good next weekend That would certainly seem to be the prognosis right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 The 12z euro is too progressive for with the nrn stream for a good storm. That is a good problem to have 7 days out. The bigger concern I have with this setup can be seen in the map below highlighted in yellow. The Euro is predicting that next Sunday will be in the year 2012!!!. This is a big showstopper since 2012 is the crapiest winter ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 That would certainly seem to be the prognosis right now. Hopefully it doesn't transition into a .5" snowfall i have to track all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 No way we are getting anything good next weekend -Cosgrove Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 No way we are getting anything good next weekend How do you know six days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 How do you know six days out? Persistence can be a good forecasting tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 How do you know six days out? i knew at least that far out about this weekend's coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Persistence can be a good forecasting tool. It sure can, it usually makes you 90% correct automatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Persistence can be a good forecasting tool. not to mention it's hard to get a good coastal here in nina generally.. and it's hard to get one more generally. and the pattern is still too fast with too many shortwaves to allow for amplification. and this winter sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 the JMA shows a severe noreaster. Big Gulf Low that goes up the coast...993 just east VA beach. 1-2 feet for most of I 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 this Gulf Low explodes and destorys I95 at 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 the JMA shows a severe noreaster. Big Gulf Low that goes up the coast...993 just east VA beach. 1-2 feet for most of I 95 When the NOGAPS and the CRASS jump on board i will start getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 When the NOGAPS and the CRASS jump on board i will start getting excited. the fact that a model can show this means their is potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 the fact that a model can show this means their is potential. I know there is potential but the chance of it happening are probably less than 1%, except for one storm in 2006 i think and in 09/10 when every model was right when has the JMA pulled a coup?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I know there is potential but the chance of it happening are probably less than 1%, except for one storm in 2006 i think and in 09/10 when every model was right when has the JMA pulled a coup?. Jma usually has the right idea. It's as good as the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 the fact that a model can show this means their is potential. keep us posted on the 12z euro control run today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 We need midlos pic of the models as models again to remind us about the JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 God help Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 keep us posted on the 12z euro control run today. Abc123 should be along shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Jma usually has the right idea. It's as good as the gfs Your core is about to go critical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 keep us posted on the 12z euro control run today. Don't even know what a control run is but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 God help Ji I'm hugging whatever gives me snow this week. What do I have to lose? Getting no snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Don't even know what a control run is but ok you should check it out...its right in your wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 keep us posted on the 12z euro control run today. Don't worry the 0Z was a huge cutter, but since i do not have accu pro i cannot tell you what 12Z did even though you are waiting with baited breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Jma usually has the right idea. It's as good as the gfs I doubt DTK or Chris would agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Cras ensembles show a becs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Cras ensembles show a becs Link please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Link please. This winter is so bad I've learned of 2 new models in the past 2 days. Cat5 desperation. Unless this model shows a year other than 2012 for next Saterday, it's not worth looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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