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February storm threat discussion


Ellinwood

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Ji is just jealous, he wishes he could live in Worcester. I think you got more on Oct 29th than he got the past 2 winters combined.

Eh, October sucks now...this winter is horrific.

Ji also gets the crappy players in our baseball league to make the worst trades in his favor...that's why he does so well. Just thought I'd let everyone know. :guitar:

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At least you didn't tell me my surface temps were too high

They are kind of high in that one too...but you are west of the fall line...you'd probably get some snow...just like the Saturday event...you will probably get at least some snow while the city might struggle.

In this winter, flakes in the air is like following a 3-6" event in '09-'10 for you. I'm hoping for 2-4" up here like a 10" event in the last several winters. I remember you got like a 4-6" wet snow event on Feb 2 before the Feb 5 event and people didn't even care...they acted like it was flurries.

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They are kind of high in that one too...but you are west of the fall line...you'd probably get some snow...just like the Saturday event...you will probably get at least some snow while the city might struggle.

In this winter, flakes in the air is like following a 3-6" event in '09-'10 for you. I'm hoping for 2-4" up here like a 10" event in the last several winters. I remember you got like a 4-6" wet snow event on Feb 2 before the Feb 5 event and people didn't even care...they acted like it was flurries.

Yup i got 6" IMBY and it was like there was some light snow showers going on here. My how 2 years change things.

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They are kind of high in that one too...but you are west of the fall line...you'd probably get some snow...just like the Saturday event...you will probably get at least some snow while the city might struggle.

In this winter, flakes in the air is like following a 3-6" event in '09-'10 for you. I'm hoping for 2-4" up here like a 10" event in the last several winters. I remember you got like a 4-6" wet snow event on Feb 2 before the Feb 5 event and people didn't even care...they acted like it was flurries.

I miss the winter where we would punt a 5 inch storm. I am almost 95% sure do will not see a 3 inch or more storm this winter

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Yup i got 6" IMBY and it was like there was some light snow showers going on here. My how 2 years change things.

I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events.

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I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events.U

We only got 3 KU events that winter

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I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events.

Yea i got 26" more than you that winter, i have a feeling that will be the last time in the next 100 years that happens.

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We only got 3 KU events that winter

It seemed like 20...and even those 6" events that we whiffed on. My best event of the season was 11.7" on Feb 23-24, 2010 that was washed away the next couple days while I got to watch NYC get 10-20" of snow while I was 41F and rain...that was the nail in the coffin. Nevermind missing out on several KUs, its one thing to whiff high and dry...its another to to watch NYC get 10-20" of snow while its raining here...that might not happen in the next 200 years.

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While the 06Z NAM shows a slight improvement on the surface from the 00Z, with a slightly stronger low that is a little closer to the coast, the 500's are what are interesting. It sharpens the trough coming down from the lakes and digs it a lttle farther south on this run. It also has a stronger consolidated piece of southern energy whereas the energy on the 00Z was strung out and weak. It still misses the phase on the 06Z but it sure looks close.

post-1191-0-48316100-1328783588.gif

post-1191-0-37444000-1328783604.gif

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6Z RGEM at 48 hrs......look familiar?

it's ovah'

http://www.weatherof...YPES_t6_048.png

Strictly based on what the modelling shows, this one looks too far east/ENE for our region. But folks will spend every available hour reviewing this and "wishing" it W-ward.

Wonder how many man-hrs were spent by this board stressing over the 2/8 non-event. :whistle:

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I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events.

A lot of us around here felt the same about 04-05............it was average around here but we kept getting screwed while SNE kept getting storm after storm after storm. That said, it was still far, far better than this winter, even here.

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