Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 They are kind of high in that one too...but you are west of the fall line...you'd probably get some snow...just like the Saturday event...you will probably get at least some snow while the city might struggle. In this winter, flakes in the air is like following a 3-6" event in '09-'10 for you. I'm hoping for 2-4" up here like a 10" event in the last several winters. I remember you got like a 4-6" wet snow event on Feb 2 before the Feb 5 event and people didn't even care...they acted like it was flurries. I miss the winter where we would punt a 5 inch storm. I am almost 95% sure do will not see a 3 inch or more storm this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yup i got 6" IMBY and it was like there was some light snow showers going on here. My how 2 years change things. I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events.U We only got 3 KU events that winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events. Yea i got 26" more than you that winter, i have a feeling that will be the last time in the next 100 years that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Dc KU 79 83 87 93 96 03 10 We usually have to wait 5-6 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 We only got 3 KU events that winter It seemed like 20...and even those 6" events that we whiffed on. My best event of the season was 11.7" on Feb 23-24, 2010 that was washed away the next couple days while I got to watch NYC get 10-20" of snow while I was 41F and rain...that was the nail in the coffin. Nevermind missing out on several KUs, its one thing to whiff high and dry...its another to to watch NYC get 10-20" of snow while its raining here...that might not happen in the next 200 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 While the 06Z NAM shows a slight improvement on the surface from the 00Z, with a slightly stronger low that is a little closer to the coast, the 500's are what are interesting. It sharpens the trough coming down from the lakes and digs it a lttle farther south on this run. It also has a stronger consolidated piece of southern energy whereas the energy on the 00Z was strung out and weak. It still misses the phase on the 06Z but it sure looks close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 06Z GFS is very similar to the 00Z run for the weekend event. It has the low a touch further off the coast and the trough diving not quite as far south for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 6Z RGEM at 48 hrs......look familiar? it's ovah' http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/06_054_R1_north@america_I_QPFTYPES_t6_048.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Total Ji meltdown. Time to put him into the padded weenie room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 6Z RGEM at 48 hrs......look familiar? it's ovah' http://www.weatherof...YPES_t6_048.png Strictly based on what the modelling shows, this one looks too far east/ENE for our region. But folks will spend every available hour reviewing this and "wishing" it W-ward. Wonder how many man-hrs were spent by this board stressing over the 2/8 non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I think 95% of MD got more snow than me that winter (in my sig)...it was actually a pretty average winter here, but it seemed so much worse because we kept getting screwed while just to our south was getting 20 KU events. A lot of us around here felt the same about 04-05............it was average around here but we kept getting screwed while SNE kept getting storm after storm after storm. That said, it was still far, far better than this winter, even here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Most of the 6z members put a low pretty much in chesapeake bay so idk why anyone would punt this yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Uh..anybody see the 12z NAM at H5 vs 0z??? It keeps getting closer and closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Uh..anybody see the 12z NAM at H5 vs 0z??? As mitch would say, very interesting randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Uh..anybody see the 12z NAM at H5 vs 0z??? It keeps getting closer and closer yeah, watching the run unfold now. It's a decent look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I mean, it is markedly different at H5...soooo close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Most of the 6z members put a low pretty much in chesapeake bay so idk why anyone would punt this yet The rest must put the low in Spain because the mean is offshore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If I were in New England, I'd be jazzed about the NAM now. Well wait, it's the NAM, nevermind. But it's close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Hey... 0.25+ QPF!! Of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Hey... 0.25+ QPF!! Of rain The usual "North and West" areas might scrape out an inch or so of snow per that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Holy crap the NAM is brutally warm at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The usual "North and West" areas might scrape out an inch or so of snow per that run. North and west of Buffalo, NY, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 The bl is so wtf, why. Anyways, so close to getting the actual coastal moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Holy crap the NAM is brutally warm at the surface. Yeah, not really understanding that with pretty much a due N or NW wind the whole time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 North and west of Buffalo, NY, maybe. Eh, if it's like the rest of our "winter", it will end up cold enough for mangled flakes for most and an inch or so above the fall line. Which, frankly, I am more than sick of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Nam crushes my childhood home figures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 What can be done to get some cold air in here? If the storm intensifies quicker, what else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 What can be done to get some cold air in here? If the storm intensifies quicker, what else. i don't get it. The NAM has an plenty of cold to the west...low off ORF...850s -2...thickness 534...even time of day is good being early morning how could we not get some minor snow out of that? Frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 i don't get it. The NAM has an plenty of cold to the west...low off ORF...850s -2...thickness 534...even time of day is good being early morning how could we not get some minor snow out of that? Frustrating. I personally think minor snow is a distinct possibility as the main energy swings through. Just nothing major worth pouring over the data for hours -- would need a drastic change in what most of the models are spitting out (snd "spitting" may be an apropriate verb at this time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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