MillzPirate Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 18Z GFS different again, with an inch of cold rain on Friday for DC, then a clear weekend... Its not a bad look 6 days out.... Better just be glad it still has a storm with the way things have gone this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Actually, to be honest, I'm getting really excited about next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 ..Wait a sec, what's that at hr 162...? if it happens.. probably a miller b screwjob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 So to summarize - this run (a) divides the system into two separate lows; (b ) accelerates the first one eastward, running it right over the DC area as a cold rain before shooting it off to Cape Cod; ( c ) completely loses the cut off low over southern Texas - it just vanishes; and then; (d) for no apparent reason pops up a new low just off Norfolk VA. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 the fri sys is worth watching tho it seems unlikely we'd seriously cash in on the front end of any pattern betterment.. on this run the 500 vort is too far north. tho details are unimportant for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Stressing over any specifics from 6 days out on the 18z GFS is laughable. Facts of the run: still shows a system to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Stressing over any specifics from 6 days out on the 18z GFS is laughable. Facts of the run: still shows a system to track powerful insight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 I'm not so much stressing as warming up my pbp weenie skills for later this week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 And while I'm flexing those recently-unused weenie muscles, check this out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 00z gfs looks game at 120hrs. Not a lot of cold air but it maybe just enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Going to be close... looks like some CAD tries to appear at 138.. 1032 H may be a tad too far west this run to help us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 GFS does NOT look the same as 18z, don't listen to Amped. Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 GFS does NOT look the same as 18z, don't listen to Amped. Not even close. He said it looked interesting for once oddly enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Going to be close... looks like some CAD tries to appear at 138.. 1032 H may be a tad too far west this run to help us... Yeah, probably not enough to save us, but it's a marked improvement over 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Oh my... too bad surface temps suck... but its a nice hit of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 He said it looked interesting for once oddly enough What thread are you reading??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Too far out to focus on surface temps (which suck), but it's getting better. Trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 What thread are you reading??? Look above. He said 00z looked game at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I did say it looked okay. It looks a lot better @ 144. a 1036 high suddenly developed over Ontario and shoved cold air down the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Too far out to focus on surface temps (which suck), but it's getting better. Trends! Def agree. its a nice run... and we shall run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Look above. He said 00z looked game at 120 Oh crap..i thought he said "same". This is what I get for clicking the "view anyway: on ignored posts. And the 4 beers didn't help. Anyway,....trends on GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Still long way to go, but is trending well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 .75ish QPF on the weeniemeter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Still long way to go, but is trending well. it's not trending at all .. it's bouncing wildly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The gfs snow maps are purty. What was the upper air look for pd2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 rain to snow if you look at the surface maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Shh, gotta keep the excitement to a minimum 'round here. Stop bouncing around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The gfs snow maps are purty. What was the upper air look for pd2? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 Shh, gotta keep the excitement to a minimum 'round here. Stop bouncing around. before you get passive agressive maybe you should read back ... i have not dismissed this threat. but it's not trending. every run of recent handles the 500 energy differently even if there are similarities. changes from one run to the next to not make a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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