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February storm threat discussion


Ellinwood

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Euro is a little slower, so it lets it get up into the low 40s on Saturday per the wunderground maps.

it's backed off on the cold.. sun/mon maybe mid-30s dc and colder nw? yesterday it was mid-20s on monday with -22c 850s for a brief minute.

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They're better when they don't comprise your top events of the season. 0.5" events that fall on top of snowpack after a 5" event and preceding another nice event are cool. Events at 35 degrees that accumulate for 30 minutes at the tail end of the event are kind of lame.

even worse is when it starts to snow and the back edge on the radar is already in clear view

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the PV is pretty south on the euro but we are dry through 7 days. I guess when moisture ever comes back in...the cold will have retreated?

The block and PV are there, but the s/w is still squashed by hr 168. Then, as another s/w comes in at hr 180, the PV retreats and the airmass ahead of the s/w becomes garbage.

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They're better when they don't comprise your top events of the season. 0.5" events that fall on top of snowpack after a 5" event and preceding another nice event are cool. Events at 35 degrees that accumulate for 30 minutes at the tail end of the event are kind of lame.

fair point. i'll be glad to see snow but it won't move me much at this point in the winter.

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Snow tomorrow is a no go for Prince William County Va. Either we get a major winter storm before winter is finished. If not we will all pay a price come spring. With the looks of the gulf temps we are going to have an active severe weather pattern playing out this spring. Time to roll the dice soon!

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Snow tomorrow is a no go for Prince William County Va. Either we get a major winter storm before winter is finished. If not we will all pay a price come spring. With the looks of the gulf temps we are going to have an active severe weather pattern playing out this spring. Time to roll the dice soon!

I disagree. It will snow, it just won't stick more than a dusting to half an inch, but we've been surprised before with these events.

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Snow tomorrow is a no go for Prince William County Va. Either we get a major winter storm before winter is finished. If not we will all pay a price come spring. With the looks of the gulf temps we are going to have an active severe weather pattern playing out this spring. Time to roll the dice soon!

Why do you think it is a no go? I have lived here a long time.... that precip coming from that direction with the currently predicted thickness will give us something. It will snow tomorrow at least in the western part of the county that may begin as a mix south of rt 28. We'll get between a half inch and inch on the grass and some stickage on the neighborhood roads after dark and the precip will wind down around 8pm with temps that will hover around 37 until sunset...at times it will look better than it is and you will think "over performer??" Weenie Intellicast radar will get you excited but when it is done it will underperform ...but you will have seen snow. Central Maryland will do better and you will hate reading their obs...they always do better and you will wish you could move. But we'll likely do better than Wes in southern MD. There may or may not be a WWA depending on

what happens in the eastern part of the county which is usually different than the west. Schools may

delay 2 hours. That is just a wag from a guy who has lived here for 15 years.

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