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February storm threat discussion


Ellinwood

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Could you calm down just a bit? Its just weather... sometimes you act like this is life or death. No wonder people leave this subforum and follow others... the constant attacks on each other in here is absurd.

I won't complain if some leave

Feel free to do that in the banter thread. But otherwise, we want some reality based discussions (notwithstanding mapgirl's talk of 384 hr weenie storms :P)

Was just pointing out how ridiculous it is to take GFS fantasty storms seriously.

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I don't know why I keep getting sucked in. The ec trough just doesn't want to set up this year at all. Even with a +pna. Just can't get the high latitudes to cooperate. A couple days ago I was kinda confident in getting a 7-10 period to lock in but it's become quite elusive again. Last nights euro didn't look good at all with the big features in the lr.

It is what it is though so no biggie. We could still score this coming weekend so that should keep us interested for the week. I think even with a perfect scenario, the wed system won't be able to do much. Not enough juice and of course temp problems are a broken record.

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I don't know why I keep getting sucked in. The ec trough just doesn't want to set up this year at all. Even with a +pna. Just can't get the high latitudes to cooperate. A couple days ago I was kinda confident in getting a 7-10 period to lock in but it's become quite elusive again. Last nights euro didn't look good at all with the big features in the lr.

It is what it is though so no biggie. We could still score this coming weekend so that should keep us interested for the week. I think even with a perfect scenario, the wed system won't be able to do much. Not enough juice and of course temp problems are a broken record.

I got sucked in and wrote a CWG piece saying I thought we'd have a two week period with colder than normal temps and a better chance at getting snow than we've had. Now it looks like a one week period that probably will end up being dry. The euro ens mean 240 certainly does not look good. The gefs isn't as bad but has a positive nao.

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Could you calm down just a bit? Its just weather... sometimes you act like this is life or death. No wonder people leave this subforum and follow others... the constant attacks on each other in here is absurd.

The reason people are getting frustrated with you is that you don't listen to ANYBODY. You can apologize all you want but actions speak louder than words -

You don't have to post about every model or respond to every post. It's not about the high post counts...it's about the quality. It's just good advice to read more and post less until you get your bearings here. It's not me being mean - we've all been there. It's ok to be a weather weenie but don't go overboard. Just remember...not EVERYTHING requires a post from you.

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The reason people are getting frustrated with you is that you don't listen to ANYBODY. You can apologize all you want but actions speak louder than words -

You don't have to post about every model or respond to every post. It's not about the high post counts...it's about the quality. It's just good advice to read more and post less until you get your bearings here. It's not me being mean - we've all been there. It's ok to be a weather weenie but don't go overboard. Just remember...not EVERYTHING requires a post from you.

Its okay, Kenny. The weather is life or death for me and him posting the 00z NOGAPs that gives us snow, should have made me happy. I suck. :(

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12z GFS says again perhaps some flurries/sprinkles Wed afternoon/evening

flurries to start, then change to sprinkles?

Agree, take the sidebar about Millz to banter, I just moved the last 5 or 6 posts there. Thanks

sorry... and thanks.

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Looks like 39 with light precip at 1PM but if the precip were a little heavier we migh drop into the mid 30s. Splatty snowfalkes or light rain/sprinkles look to be the call.

This winter sucks

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The reason people are getting frustrated with you is that you don't listen to ANYBODY. You can apologize all you want but actions speak louder than words -

You don't have to post about every model or respond to every post. It's not about the high post counts...it's about the quality. It's just good advice to read more and post less until you get your bearings here. It's not me being mean - we've all been there. It's ok to be a weather weenie but don't go overboard. Just remember...not EVERYTHING requires a post from you.

Agreed, Kenny. Take a look at my post count.

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GFS has the weekend storm, but it's going to be well OTS. Need the eastern trough and western ridge axes to be farther west to get a coastal.

Yea, I was looking at that. There no reason to discount either solution at this point (i do have a knack for stating the obvious...). There some ridging poking into the east side of greenland. Not ideal or anything but it's still there.

Finally getting an ec trough with a bit of a -nao and the storm is shunted (at least on this run anyway). Should be an interesting week nonetheless.

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the gfs is pretty craptacular till the superbomb that goes to our west. maybe we'll get a dusting on the backend.

Yeah, we can ask dtk to be sure, but I think that must be part of the GFS programming. Offer a snowporn run at 6z and then a dousing of coldwater at 12z.

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