MJO812 Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 12z Nogaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 12z nogaps has also joined the northern branch phasing. Seems like all the 4dvar models are picking up on it today at 12z. You tell me that the CRAS and SHIPS have it then I'm all in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 The no gaps has officially been posted in this thread. What a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 12z Nogaps go away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 is your avatar a picture of a man doing a bear from behind? Yes, super troopers. I like to make my avatar as interesting and unique as possible. Yes, as NE Balti said, its from the movie Super Troopers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Remember mountain highs and valley lows? This year, we have been under the dirt of the valley. deepest valley ever....we dont even know what the mountain looks like:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 You tell me that the CRAS and SHIPS have it then I'm all in the cras is always north and wound up it's probably showing severe weather here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 go away Heavy heavy heavy 3sm sn coming. expect heavy accums up to 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 the cras is always north and wound up it's probably showing severe weather here hmm maybe they fixed it http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/images/cras45na_pcp_066m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 NO. no... no. NO, Ian... NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 per Wunderground maps, no snow east of the mts.....at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 per Wunderground maps, no snow east of the mts.....at all like that is ever right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 3/4 of the sh*ttiest models show something that will only end up being <1" and you'd think the _______(insert fave football team here) just won the SB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 the euro dumps some big cold in next weekend now .. -20 850s make it to DC on Saturday the 11th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 like that is ever right just one more model depiction, that's all this year, 60-72 hrs is a lifetime this has just as much chance of 6" as no" at least we have something to follow.....and, it's the weekend......YAY!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 why do people look at snow maps?.... because they are there, for free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 plus some -SN as well....the models are so bad this winter....72-96 hours is the time to pay attention I think.....beyond that is just guesswork yup.. looks transient but a good bit colder than last run. not that it means anything at all i guess.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I declare a Stage 3 watch for this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 per Wunderground maps, no snow east of the mts.....at all Are you calling the mountains the Blue Ridge? If so, yes. If no, then no. It has snow in the Harrisonburg area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 well...dont agree there but I like the trend of punching moisture well ahead of a weak low in the TN valley...the setup could work.... OK, then change the 6" to 3" or 4" my point is there's plenty of time for this to improve or fail NINA says there will be a north trend within 72 hrs, which may not be bad because the more precip would cool the atmosphere better (as long as it's not too far north with the entire system, of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Are you calling the mountains the Blue Ridge? If so, yes. If no, then no. It has snow in the Harrisonburg area. unless someone removed Skyline Drive and every other mt east of Harrisonburg, then Harrisonburg is in the mts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 OK, then change the 6" to 3" or 4" my point is there's plenty of time for this to improve or fail NINA says there will be a north trend within 73 hrs, which may not be bad because the more precip would cool the atmosphere better (as long as it's not too far north with the entire system, of course) you've got a long way to go to even 3-4". this is a small event at best imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 well...dont agree there but I like the trend of punching moisture well ahead of a weak low in the TN valley...the setup could work.... 09-10 was fun because the storm would show up a week in advance on the models and never leave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 you've got a long way to go to even 3-4". this is a small event at best imo. Gfs says 0" Euro says 1" CMC says 7" No gaps says 1-3" Take your pick. I'll go with car topper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 well...dont agree there but I like the trend of punching moisture well ahead of a weak low in the TN valley...the setup could work.... Could this be one of those situations where the precip gets here ahead of the weak low and cools the atmosphere.. so whatever precip comes later is snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Gfs says 0" Euro says 1" CMC says 7" No gaps says 1-3" Take your pick. I'll go with car topper Canadian says 7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Gfs says 0" Euro says 1" CMC says 7" No gaps says 1-3" Take your pick. I'll go with car topper i dunno.. the idea posted before the euro of T-.1" still seems logical imby.. could go up a bit sure. i dont see where this system will get a lot of moisture from tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Gfs says 0" Euro says 1" CMC says 7" No gaps says 1-3" Take your pick. I'll go with car topper You may be right, we'll see. Nogaps a bit more than 1-3" for bal not that it matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 We are clearly seeing the models correct. More changes to come I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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