chris21 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 At least the 18z GFS shows plenty of potential threats... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I am with WxUSAF on next winter Rockin. I went in detail about winter 2012-2013 and some people got angry, because this winter is not over with. Anyway my hopes are slim without the(-NAO) no big snows. 75% of winter is over in my book with the pattern. Hope we can squeeze something out soon. if it's another nina we might have to shut the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 if it's another nina we might have to shut the board Can we honestly vote that if it's showing Nina signs in Sept that we just shut er down for a while? It takes a toll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Can we honestly vote that if it's showing Nina signs in Sept that we just shut er down for a while? It takes a toll. we're in a -PDO regime....there wont be a lot of ninos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 we're in a -PDO regime....there wont be a lot of ninos So you're thinking we go 3 Nina's in a row... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 So you're thinking we go 3 Nina's in a row... probably, but i dont know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 probably, but i dont know jb is calling for a moderate Nino next year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 zwyts..how much snow are we getting in February? I am not willing to punt this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 zwyts..how much snow are we getting in February? I am not willing to punt this month 20-40, or part of that at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 20-40, or part of that at least is your name zwyts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 is your name zwyts? probably less than 10 in dc. 90% confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 zwyts..how much snow are we getting in February? I am not willing to punt this month i have no idea....WAG between today and 3/1 DCA: 4.8" IAD: 6.5" this is not the winter of many events....so I am thinking that comes in 2 events.....and then maybe 1 more in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 probably less than 10 in dc. 90% confidence. I thought you were going for a semi-big DCA winter....no big February storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I thought you were going for a semi-big DCA winter....no big February storm? January was my month if that thought had any real basis. I like your numbers I think. Meant 10 total not 10 in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i have no idea....WAG between today and 3/1 DCA: 4.8" IAD: 6.5" this is not the winter of many events....so I am thinking that comes in 2 events.....and then maybe 1 more in March pretty aggressive..id be happy with 1/2 of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i have no idea....WAG between today and 3/1 DCA: 4.8" IAD: 6.5" this is not the winter of many events....so I am thinking that comes in 2 events.....and then maybe 1 more in March Maybe time for a snow prediction contest between now and 3/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i hope in heaven, there is as section where i can just walk to at any time and there is always +SN falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show agreed i hope in heaven, there is as section where i can just walk to at any time and there is always +SN falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show This. That storm a few weekends ago didn't quite do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Looking at the CPC analog dates today for the upcoming couple of weeks, they listed 1991, 1999, and 1989. I don't know about this region, but down in swva each of those years turned cold at the end of Feb into March. I remember good snows in March in 99 and Feb 89, and a wicked cold front in 91 that zapped the leaf buds off of some trees in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show That's usually 3 to 4 inches. That would be sweet, especially if it would stick around for a couple of days before it all turns to mud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Wow, 7 out of 10 show at least two inches not bad... Its the GFS at Day 5. It will figure things out in a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Doubt that it means much, but the SREFS are much colder for the weekend than the GFS. They actually bring in some light precip that I would think would have to be snow. That's a mean though, don't know how it's getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Maybe from the optimism of having snow and people still trying to be positive on getting snow has not worked out well. Maybe we should all say "NO MORE SNOW THIS WINTER" and watch we get it. Lol. Still got the fingers crossed for later this month but on the low side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Doubt that it means much, but the SREFS are much colder for the weekend than the GFS. They actually bring in some light precip that I would think would have to be snow. That's a mean though, don't know how it's getting there. New NAM 00z looks colder to me...also looks drier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I called snowless in December. Only off by like 1" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I called snowless in December. Only off by like 1" so far. It's hard to get shutout with a fairly docile pacific. That's pretty much the only reason I favor another event or 2 even if minor. We have 5-6 weeks or so. That is actually a pretty long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Well, the SREFS basically show colder, drier. There is one member that is giving a good solution in our area. It is really good, and that's why the mean is showing some precip overall. The srefs/nam would say that it is still close enough to be interested. But many here don't give those two much confidence at that time range, so I guess that's it for tonight. Here's to the GFS and Euro coming around. Hasn't been that way very much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Well, the SREFS basically show colder, drier. There is one member that is giving a good solution in our area. It is really good, and that's why the mean is showing some precip overall. The srefs/nam would say that it is still close enough to be interested. But many here don't give those two much confidence at that time range, so I guess that's it for tonight. Here's to the GFS and Euro coming around. Hasn't been that way very much. My hunch is that we see a weak ugly progressive sheared out monstrosity that gives us nothing or some very light rain. Hope I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.