Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i have no idea....WAG between today and 3/1 DCA: 4.8" IAD: 6.5" this is not the winter of many events....so I am thinking that comes in 2 events.....and then maybe 1 more in March Maybe time for a snow prediction contest between now and 3/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i hope in heaven, there is as section where i can just walk to at any time and there is always +SN falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show agreed i hope in heaven, there is as section where i can just walk to at any time and there is always +SN falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show This. That storm a few weekends ago didn't quite do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Looking at the CPC analog dates today for the upcoming couple of weeks, they listed 1991, 1999, and 1989. I don't know about this region, but down in swva each of those years turned cold at the end of Feb into March. I remember good snows in March in 99 and Feb 89, and a wicked cold front in 91 that zapped the leaf buds off of some trees in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 my goal is too see one storm where no grass blades show That's usually 3 to 4 inches. That would be sweet, especially if it would stick around for a couple of days before it all turns to mud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Wow, 7 out of 10 show at least two inches not bad... Its the GFS at Day 5. It will figure things out in a day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Doubt that it means much, but the SREFS are much colder for the weekend than the GFS. They actually bring in some light precip that I would think would have to be snow. That's a mean though, don't know how it's getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Maybe from the optimism of having snow and people still trying to be positive on getting snow has not worked out well. Maybe we should all say "NO MORE SNOW THIS WINTER" and watch we get it. Lol. Still got the fingers crossed for later this month but on the low side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Doubt that it means much, but the SREFS are much colder for the weekend than the GFS. They actually bring in some light precip that I would think would have to be snow. That's a mean though, don't know how it's getting there. New NAM 00z looks colder to me...also looks drier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I called snowless in December. Only off by like 1" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Well, the SREFS basically show colder, drier. There is one member that is giving a good solution in our area. It is really good, and that's why the mean is showing some precip overall. The srefs/nam would say that it is still close enough to be interested. But many here don't give those two much confidence at that time range, so I guess that's it for tonight. Here's to the GFS and Euro coming around. Hasn't been that way very much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 My hunch is that we see a weak ugly progressive sheared out monstrosity that gives us nothing or some very light rain. Hope I am wrong. Right now, using those two models, if we could get some precip late Sat into Sun it would look to be snow. It's always possible I guess. BTW, I agree with you that 5-6 weeks can be a long period. If we could get into a pattern that's colder and more active, we could have a seemingly good stretch of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 You can always tell when it wasn't a good model run by the lack of comments on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 overnight would be snow I think and low 30s....not a lot of moisture but better than it had looked..... flurries sound good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 We need euro to show a real storm even if it has no support and no chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I dont think thats what it is.....it would be -ra or -sn....not a lot of QPF...a few hundreths maybe?....but it gets precip over most of the area overnight....would be a light cartop type of event I think as depicted...maybe borderline measurable....but at least it is something?...who knows if it trends better or not Could be... but are you going to stay up for another cartop dusting of like 0.03 QPF? I guess it is something... we still have a few days... but i think you would agree that its probabky going to be nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 It's not as warm Monday as 12z was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Cmc looked somewhat interesting. I've called a timeout, but still in punt formation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Euro looks dry Day 6-7...is there anything brewing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 It looks as if the Euro is caving to the GFS' idea of bringing a warm, supressed, sheared POS through. So what does the JMA and the Brazilian show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 The Canadian looks somewhat interesting but is warm. Kills the primary and brings a low up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 how insulting...the GFS shows the Feb 9-10 storm in what it supposed to be our window for cold and snow as a warm rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Remember that according to one of the better forecasters that posted here our best days are still to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Remember that according to one of the better forecasters that posted here our best days are still to come! Wouldn't be hard to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 When none of the models show snow there is always the old desperate standby of checking each ensemble member. Well, that isn't even working either as none show anything for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 It looks as if the Euro is caving to the GFS' idea of bringing a warm, supressed, sheared POS through. So what does the JMA and the Brazilian show? The Brazilian shows a close shave. Nearly waxes us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 The groundhog saw his shadow - maybe there is still hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Remember that according to one of the better forecasters that posted here our best days are still to come! Says the groundhog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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