yoda Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Lower level.......lol - 850 is not the surface. I figured it out after lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Look lower? I don't understand we are probably wet snow at 111 hours...at 108 hours it may be rain...the column is really warm from 900mb down.....I think the general idea though is the lack of cold air.....the progressive solution would probably be a rain event maybe ending as some wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Models always have a tough time with CAD events.. Look for colder/snowier solutions going forward. I think you've got a good handle on the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I think you've got a good handle on the situation. Of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 18z GFS ensemble mean looked better for us re cold air... but I can't find the individual ensembles on E-wall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 18z GFS ensemble mean looked better for us re cold air... but I can't find the individual ensembles on E-wall... Would you shoot a link for that? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 funny how people forget....i keep hearing people say how last year was a blockbuster winter for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 funny how people forget....i keep hearing people say how last year was a blockbuster winter for us You really need therapy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 18z GFS ensemble mean looked better for us re cold air... but I can't find the individual ensembles on E-wall... Likely there are 1 or 2 torchy cutters and a bunch way out to sea that makes it seem colder than reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Individual ensembles look very interesting for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Individual ensembles look very interesting for Sunday. They are very consistent with the storm, if not the timing. Funny to see so many of them with the storm on the NC coast just like HPC had said 3 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 They are very consistent with the storm, if not the timing. Funny to see so many of them with the storm on the NC coast just like HPC had said 3 days ago. Go Member p001 That one always gives me the most snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Well 0z not looking as good as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Well 0z not looking as good as 18z It looked like a sheared mess.. prob some light rain and that's it. We shall see shortly if it has an idea for a feb 10-13 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This pattern may not be snowy, but it is prtty bizzare, I'll give it that. ECMWF had the storm going west of Lake Superior, 00z GFS shoves it over Norfolk. The southeast ridge favors a cutter but the ridging over south central canada is blocking the path on the GFS at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 It looked like a sheared mess I can honestly say I've never seen a 500 map with that configuration before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This one isn't going to be clear until very close to game time. Temps look iffy even in the best scenarios anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 For the weekend,00Z GFS says: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This one isn't going to be clear until very close to game time. Temps look iffy even in the best scenarios anyway. The fact that there's no real cad sig on the 0z isn't a positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This pattern may not be snowy, but it is prtty bizzare, I'll give it that. ECMWF had the storm going west of Lake Superior, 00z GFS shoves it over Norfolk. The southeast ridge favors a cutter but the ridging over south central canada is blocking the path on the GFS at least. EC has been following GFS this season more times than GFS following EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This one isn't going to be clear until very close to game time. Temps look iffy even in the best scenarios anyway. I have basically moved on to the poss mid feb storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 I have basically moved on to the poss mid feb storm tease fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 on a brighter note, CFS is back to an all out blowtorch for FEB http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/usT2mMon.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 http://news.yahoo.com/alaska-volcano-lava-dome-forms-alert-level-raised-010355852.html Maybe a volcano in Alaska can help our prospects! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 This is just so depressing. I wish this winter would just end already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 back to back storms this run 10th and 12th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 For the weekend,00Z GFS says: Come back 1 year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Everytime I come here to see whats going with this sucky winter, the mood is always different. One day its optimistic and then its depressing. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 ^ The Northeast is bi-polar. Well I guess I'll take some nice weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 They've got flowers blooming and green grass growing up in SNE. It's over folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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