Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:27 AM, ravensrule said: If you do not like conversational snow then you picked the wrong city to live in. I'm 7" below normal-- actually probably more since I have elevation. Seeing snow flakes that melt on contact was so october Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:29 AM, Ian said: I'm 7" below normal. Seeing snow flakes that melt on contact was so october I am guaranteeing you will see 1 decent storm before the winter is out, 3" or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:30 AM, ravensrule said: I am guaranteeing you will see 1 decent storm before the winter is out, 3" or bust. i think so too but i wouldnt be surprised if not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 168 is setting up a triple phase hecs later in the run. or more cold and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:32 AM, Ian said: i think so too but i wouldnt be surprised if not I would be surprised if we did not get one. If we do not i may have to take up severe weather season with you, Mark, Yoda and Kenny because i can not take waiting 9 months for winter and then getting total S**T ones like this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Cmc looks like a no go too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 This weekends threat is by far the best potential of a decent storm, by far, in this putrid winter. The problem is we can't buy a phase to save our lives, and the pattern is such that leaving the energy cut off over Mexico/SW has been the rule this year and it's hard to think we will be the benefits of good fortune this time around. If we do get lucky- it'll be a quick shot of heavy snow, ala Feb 06'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:38 AM, ravensrule said: I would be surprised if we did not get one. If we do not i may have to take up severe weather season with you, Mark, Yoda and Kenny because i can not take waiting 9 months for winter and then getting total S**T ones like this winter. the pattern is still too fast with too many shortwaves. it might be we need to time something perfectly. i guess when you get it wrong every time you gotta score eventually. the northern stream blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 long range gfs looks ok but not like the other night that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 With just a couple of exceptions the 06Z Nam is basically a dry run for all of the US through 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 GFS also shows a dry run for the next 3 1/2 days with the only exceptions being CA and southern FL. The GFS and NAM both show a little something coming through late Wed but nothing more then sprinkles or a couple of flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 GFS has nothing for this weekend. But it does have a couple of fantasy storms later in the run. A Miller B @ day 10 and 2 days later a Miller A. Edit: He!! it even brings in another Miller B 2 days after the Miller A. Could this be BB's 20 to 40 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 The Euro shows possibility for Wed. We need to speed it up by about 6 hours though. I hope it keeps that look at 12z. Even the latest srefs have trended more organized for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 06Z is pure Snow Porn. It sets up a strong West based -nao after the first Miller B and holds it with also a 50/50 set up for each storm. It also looks as if it is setting up for another Miller A after the 3rd storm goes through. GFS Fantasy machine in full swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 11:32 AM, showmethesnow said: 06Z is pure Snow Porn. It sets up a strong West based -nao after the first Miller B and holds it with also a 50/50 set up for each storm. It also looks as if it is setting up for another Miller A after the 3rd storm goes through. GFS Fantasy machine in full swing. This time it will verify. Need to mark these words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Weather porn 200+ hours does not interest me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 12:05 PM, H2O said: This time it will verify. Need to mark these words Awesome - 384hr gives me 9 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 12:05 PM, H2O said: This time it will verify. Need to mark these words would be nice to see some op/ens agreement to help the verification or the "porn" will end up being your spouse in sweats and an old Wham t-shirt telling you not tonight and don't forget to let the dog out and lock the front door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 12:23 PM, mapgirl said: Awesome - 384hr gives me 9 inches of snow. Good thing. 276hr shows less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 high res NAM @ 60hr (e wall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 BUFKIT for BWI GFS 120208/1500Z 57 01003KT 32.7F RASN 120208/1800Z 60 VRB01KT 33.6F RASN 120208/2100Z 63 VRB02KT 35.8F RASN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 the 0z NOGAPS loves us and wants us to be happy..... 999 SLP off ILM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 6, 2012 Author Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:26 PM, MillzPirate said: the 0z NOGAPS loves us and wants us to be happy..... 999 SLP off ILM Keep us posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Can we ban the words NOGAP, CMC, JMA, and every other horrible model in this thread, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Complete whiff Baltimore and south on the 12z NAM for Wednesday's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:41 PM, MN Transplant said: Complete whiff Baltimore and south on the 12z NAM for Wednesday's system. If anything does fall north of Baltimore on Wednesday, it won't be snow. Surface temps in the 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:37 PM, mapgirl said: Can we ban the words NOGAP, CMC, JMA, and every other horrible model in this thread, please? I was using it in an anecdotal sense to lighten the mood and help morale on the board..... sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:45 PM, MillzPirate said: I was using it in an anecdotal sense to lighten the mood and help morale on the board..... sorry No. All you are doing is adding more weenie posts to this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:47 PM, mapgirl said: No. All you are doing is adding more weenie posts to this thread. Could you calm down just a bit? Its just weather... sometimes you act like this is life or death. No wonder people leave this subforum and follow others... the constant attacks on each other in here is absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:45 PM, MillzPirate said: I was using it in an anecdotal sense to lighten the mood and help morale on the board..... sorry Feel free to do that in the banter thread. But otherwise, we want some reality based discussions (notwithstanding mapgirl's talk of 384 hr weenie storms ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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