ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 On 2/5/2012 at 10:30 PM, MillzPirate said: Well since the gulf of Mexico encompasses about 2000 square miles, asking for a simple slp somewhere in it doesn't seem that absurd. Read more, post less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 18z has a slp east of HAT... Mod snow falling at 162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 On 2/5/2012 at 10:34 PM, MillzPirate said: 18z has a slp east of HAT... Mod snow falling at 162 It does look pretty on that one frame but I think everyone is worn down from this winter. Nothing has worked out for us so unless it is on the Euro and GFS come Friday night the excitement level will be zilch. Just not our year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 On 2/5/2012 at 10:51 PM, BristowWX said: It does look pretty on that one frame but I think everyone is worn down from this winter. Nothing has worked out for us so unless it is on the Euro and GFS come Friday night the excitement level will be zilch. Just not our year Also even then, it's pretty east and also not a ton of precip either. Fringe not that it matters at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 I think the main thing here is that there is "something". There's really no way to know what that may be. Remember that in the past weeks "event" we went from a full blown coastal to a low near Iowa to a weaker low tracking e-w south of us. This time it seems the GFS, and not the Euro, is throwing out at least some hope, but it probably the best bet to just focus on Wed and maybe a little light snow and by then we might have some idea about the weekend. Edit: GFS ens members don't support the op solution for the weekend at all. I guess if I'm going to post HPC disco when it says what I like, then I guess I'll post it when it isn't so pretty. CANADA IS COOLED TREMENDOUSLY VIA THE CROSS-POLAR FLOW INTO THE COUNTRY...BUT THE ARCTIC AIR HAS NO MECHANISM BY WHICH TO INFILTRATE THE UNITED STATES TO ANY APPRECIABLE DEGREE. THE FLOW IS ALSO NOT CONDUCIVE TO SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS...SO EXPECT NO SPRAWLING AREAS OF ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 That's a pretty potent little 500v swinging through here Thursday morning too. Looks like the upper levels are bone dry. 3 of the latest gfs ens members do create what would this year be an "event" out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 On 2/5/2012 at 11:18 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: I think the main thing here is that there is "something". There's really no way to know what that may be. Remember that in the past weeks "event" we went from a full blown coastal to a low near Iowa to a weaker low tracking e-w south of us. This time it seems the GFS, and not the Euro, is throwing out at least some hope, but it probably the best bet to just focus on Wed and maybe a little light snow and by then we might have some idea about the weekend. Edit: GFS ens members don't support the op solution for the weekend at all. I guess if I'm going to post HPC disco when it says what I like, then I guess I'll post it when it isn't so CANADA IS COOLED TREMENDOUSLY VIA THE CROSS-POLAR FLOW INTO THE COUNTRY...BUT THE ARCTIC AIR HAS NO MECHANISM BY WHICH TO INFILTRATE THE UNITED STATES TO ANY APPRECIABLE DEGREE. THE FLOW IS ALSO NOT CONDUCIVE TO SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS...SO EXPECT NO SPRAWLING AREAS OF ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/5/2012 at 10:16 PM, Kmlwx said: ... It's nearly a week out. Even expecting that kind of consensus is outrageous especially in a year where the models have been bouncing around as much as they have. Come on...at least let rational thoughts prevail over weenie thoughts. You're asking for quite a lot there, Kenny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 12:23 AM, mapgirl said: You're asking for quite a lot there, Kenny. :| lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Something brewing in the Gulf? Nam is bringing the southeast LP closer to the coast at 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 NAM snowy for wednesday, well best run we've seen so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:45 AM, Eagle Man said: Something brewing in the Gulf? Nam is bringing the southeast LP closer to the coast at 36 hrs. And the Gulf is starting to heat up later in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:51 AM, ddweatherman said: NAM snowy for wednesday, well best run we've seen so far. Keep them 1-2" events coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 2:51 AM, ddweatherman said: NAM snowy for wednesday, well best run we've seen so far. i agree it does look promising for us in central maryland but i want to see more models agree before i get excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 im pretty sure that's rain on the nam till about the pa border even there it's iffy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:28 AM, Ian said: im pretty sure that's rain on the nam till about the pa border even there it's iffy yep, nearly every time it looked like snow here in central md, it was up near pa line and it ended up being mostly rain here. just that kind of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Verbatim the freezing line is just north of the mason Dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:32 AM, CRAZYBLIZZARD said: Verbatim the freezing line is just north of the mason Dixon line. yep,.. and so goes the winter of 2011-2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:30 AM, jack_frost said: yep, nearly every time it looked like snow here in central md, it was up near pa line and it ended up being mostly rain here. just that kind of winter The vort pass is OK. I guess it could be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:33 AM, Ian said: The vort pass is OK. I guess it could be something. yes Ian that is true bud.. but.. the models have been terrible this winter, i guess well have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:33 AM, Ian said: The vort pass is OK. I guess it could be something. It is in a good spot nevertheless for this run... and the sim radar at 60 is nice to look at... too bad we cant touch it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:41 AM, yoda said: It is in a good spot nevertheless for this run well im waiting to see if euro and gfs at least come on board with NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 3:43 AM, jack_frost said: well im waiting to see if euro and gfs at least come on board with NAM. the euro has something too but mainly further nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 GFS says you win flurries/sprinkes for Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Lets see what the GFS has in store for the wknd... h5 low in Baja and some h5 energy in CA/AZ at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 The NAM looks cold enough for snow to me. Cold enough at all levels with the exception of the surface. It can snow in the upper 30s, lower 40s and temps could trend cooler with these systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Wed may be our only hope this week... No wkend storm on gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:23 AM, snowdude said: The NAM looks cold enough for snow to me. Cold enough at all levels with the exception of the surface. It can snow in the upper 30s, lower 40s and temps could trend cooler with these systems. i maybe should have said non accumulating snow. it could trend colder but there's no high to the north really. time for something other than conversational snow. or let's just end this battle.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:25 AM, MillzPirate said: Wed may be our only hope this week... No wkend storm on gfs im not sure the weekend pattern is that great.. i like where it goes after more if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 On 2/6/2012 at 4:25 AM, Ian said: i maybe should have said non accumulating snow. it could trend colder but there's no high to the north really. time for something other than conversational snow. or let's just end this battle.. If you do not like conversational snow then you picked the wrong city to live in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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