Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 That is what I'm hoping to see. This GFS depiction is nice, but without the Doctor giving his blessings I'm wary. All the GFS does at this time range is get people excited thinking a huge strm is on the way. All th news stations tonite will all base their forecasts off of it..and call for big hit. Until Friday i don't care what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS has had a long duration signal when it showed a hit. No HP to the north. How's this all snow? There's pretty decent UL confluence to our north with all that energy in vortex stretched out. Although you're not seeing a high pressure center (because the energy is strung out and not organized in a s/w per se) there is pretty decent higher pressure to our north that will keep cold air locked in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The prob here is once we gat a front end dump we cahnge over as the marine air gets in here and erodes the cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The prob here is once we gat a front end dump we cahnge over as the marine air gets in here and erodes the cold air You have five days to fix that.....no worries. 17.0/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 LOL...like yesterday's 18Z run it never stops....until Thursday night..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 DT says GFS looks like Feb 1983 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 You have five days to fix that.....no worries. 17.0/6 Yeah. GFS at 144 hours says a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Well hopefully the 12z euro comes a little west anyways. I'm out for some Christmas shopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 There's pretty decent UL confluence to our north with all that energy in vortex stretched out. Although you're not seeing a high pressure center (because the energy is strung out and not organized in a s/w per se) there is pretty decent higher pressure to our north that will keep cold air locked in place Is there not a high in the great lakes that is funnelling cold air in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 DT says GFS looks like Feb 1983 Refresh my memory? 16.9/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Refresh my memory? 16.9/5 Widespread 20+ inch strm from DCA to BOS.. One of my favorites growing up. A crusher in an otherwise awful winter that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Widespread 20+ inch strm from DCA to BOS.. One of my favorites growing up. A crusher in an otherwise awful winter that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Widespread 20+ inch strm from DCA to BOS.. One of my favorites growing up. A crusher in an otherwise awful winter that year Wow! The 12z GFS is pretty freaking sweet for us! System closes off to our south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I vote for the 12Z GFS. That is a dream storm for just about everyone and nobody gets left out from what I can see from DC to BOS and out to here. Different animal from last year's Mid Atlantic things because we do get a northern stream phase ultimately and the 50/50 low does get put of dodge finally to allow it up here. Widespread 20+ inch strm from DCA to BOS.. One of my favorites growing up. A crusher in an otherwise awful winter that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 That would be a disappointment up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS ensembles are maybe 100 mi SE of the BM...so a trend NW from previous runs. It looks like it tries to go out to the east but then hook back north. I'd imagine its probably a pretty good hit for E/SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Not a perfect analog to the 12Z gfs. That storm stayed further south/east as confluence held tougher I think. But of course a great storm ...got a foot below Albany ...was in High School. We had a foot from a previous Noreaster in ENY in early Feb. 1983...so it was a two storm winter here. Then the only other notable event was the Spring snowstorm on April 17th or 19th... Widespread 20+ inch strm from DCA to BOS.. One of my favorites growing up. A crusher in an otherwise awful winter that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS ensembles are maybe 100 mi SE of the BM...so a trend NW from previous runs. It looks like it tries to go out to the east but then hook back north. I'd imagine its probably a pretty good hit for E/SE areas. Good trend to start the 12z runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I was a spry high school junior at the time. Move it NW 50 miles, please:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Just started following this thread (as a result of the latest GFS ) What have the Euro and Canadian models been showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS ensembles are maybe 100 mi SE of the BM...so a trend NW from previous runs. It looks like it tries to go out to the east but then hook back north. I'd imagine its probably a pretty good hit for E/SE areas. just a guess, but based on what the individual members looked like previously, i'm assuming there are a couple of members still pretty far NW like the Op run with the majority much flatter...but maybe a hair closer (based on the fact that the precip seems more smoothed this run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 That would be a disappointment up here. How much did you get? I was a spry high school junior at the time. Move it NW 50 miles, please:) I was a sophomore, one of my all time favorite storms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Just started following this thread (as a result of the latest GFS ) What have the Euro and Canadian models been showing? out to sea for the most part, lack of strong PV phasing early enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GGEM is extremely flat...literally just a weak wave about 600 miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GGEM is extremely flat...literally just a weak wave about 600 miles offshore. I guess that would be 1 for 2 on the afternoon runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GGEM is extremely flat...literally just a weak wave about 600 miles offshore. Unbelievabe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 GGEM is extremely flat...literally just a weak wave about 600 miles offshore. And Nogaps is a huge bomb about running outside the BM which just grazes the outer Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Gibbs says Euro should look better today..and that since this is southern stream that it's having it's usual issues with energy in the sw. Thoughts on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 How much did you get? I wasn't living in the northeast at the time, but according to that accumulation map ... 1-4". No concerns by me, though. There's lots and lots of time to go before the first flake falls ... if indeed there is one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.