CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The fact that garbage Americana has this storm is frightening enough. if the Euro has it today..I'll be interested I wouldn't get excited one bit right now, even if every piece of guidance had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 The gulf connection around that time frame is pretty impressive as Scott already mentioned...the airmass to the NW is really frigid...there will be a tight rope being walked as that system comes up the coast (if it does at all). There actually like a 1025-1026 high in Quebec as that low approaches so I think LL cold would not be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I wouldn't get excited one bit right now, even if every piece of guidance had it. Nope..weenies limp and dangly and swimming in the north atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Congrats to the interior for Feb 11 on the GFS. Better hope that one pans out because the storms coming after it out in weenie land look lovely. So much for a brutal cold pattern for mid-February... each run keeps getting warmer in that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 Better hope that one pans out because the storms coming after it out in weenie land look lovely. So much for a brutal cold pattern for mid-February... each run keeps getting warmer in that time period. I'm not concerned at all with what it is showing from the 2/14-2/17 period...that period hasn't looked favorable...pretty much ever unless we are talking about maybe back on Jan 30th or something. The brutal cold idea was never a focus of this thread either (see first post)...mostly the storm potential. There have been brutal cold shots off and on on the models but without a sustained -NAO (which we said was a wildcard for sustained cold), we aren't going to see days and days of arctic air over us. Hopefully the storm threats can materialize during the Feb 8-12 time frame and then get something after the hopefully brief relaxation centered near Vday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Looks like ensembles are mixed about 10-12 and then have somethingt on the 13th perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 LOL..look at what Margusity wrote in is column today. I mean..this is like SNownh wrote it or something. How this guy has a job in meteorology is mind boggling. Cold air will be plentiful for what could be a large area of snow in the East. The NAO is trying to go negative, and if we can get the blocking, that will just ice the cake in regards to the end run of winter and snowstorms for the snow lovers. I will say, when you see the cold and snow in Europe and Japan, it's usually just a matter of time before the eastern U.S. gets crushed. Come on, Big Daddy(s)! I just think it will be wild 4-6 weeks of weather as we close out winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Even if he is right, there are not enough buns to weenie that post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Even if he is right, there are not enough buns to weenie that post. LOL..I can't believe even Acuuwx would allow something like t be published from a degreed met. I mean..there isn't any weenie on the board that could possibly outdo that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 LOL..look at what Margusity wrote in is column today. I mean..this is like SNownh wrote it or something. How this guy has a job in meteorology is mind boggling. Cold air will be plentiful for what could be a large area of snow in the East. The NAO is trying to go negative, and if we can get the blocking, that will just ice the cake in regards to the end run of winter and snowstorms for the snow lovers. I will say, when you see the cold and snow in Europe and Japan, it's usually just a matter of time before the eastern U.S. gets crushed. Come on, Big Daddy(s)! I just think it will be wild 4-6 weeks of weather as we close out winter. i can't tell you how much I hate that term he uses... "big daddy". i remember years ago i used to read his stuff and watch his videos and he used to say that all the time. wtf is a "big baddy"??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Boy the differences continue! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Big daddy LOL sounds like a leather biker bar in ptown prolly just a short drive for you phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The gulf connection around that time frame is pretty impressive as Scott already mentioned...the airmass to the NW is really frigid...there will be a tight rope being walked as that system comes up the coast (if it does at all). There actually like a 1025-1026 high in Quebec as that low approaches so I think LL cold would not be an issue. 24 hours ago it didn't... In this latest solution the upper levels stay mostly unphased, but it's the surface high sliding offshore on Wednesday night that drives the turn up the coast. Fortunately as you mentioned the second hp pops in Quebec in time to save the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 i can't tell you how much I hate that term he uses... "big daddy". i remember years ago i used to read his stuff and watch his videos and he used to say that all the time. wtf is a "big baddy"??? I rarely read his nonsense..unless I'm super bored at lunch. I will never watch any videos that clown is on. It's almost like every single thing he posted in that column today are 100% wrong. if you gave it to someone and said read this and then assume exactly the opposite of what he saying will happen..you'd pobably have a pretty good forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 GEFS basically have no warmup (maybe a brief one around the 15th)...I think they might even be slightly colder in the post-Feb 15th time range than the 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 If you were to only see the GEFS and had no access to EC ensembles, you'd throw a parade..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 If you were to only see the GEFS and had no access to EC ensembles, you'd throw a parade..lol. yeah they even look better longer range too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 If you were to only see the GEFS and had no access to EC ensembles, you'd throw a parade..lol. Yeah...too bad they've been full of you know what all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I'm not worried about a relaxation in mid Feb...it looks short and quite frankly if we get the true pattern change to snowy, then that relax might shrink, go away, or not be a big deal. If we dont' get the pattern change to snow, then I have that relaxation over performs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Congrats to the interior for Feb 11 on the GFS. What’s interesting about this run is that it was signaled 6 days ago during that interval of overall fantastic runs we had that lasted a day and a half worth of runs. It’s back on this run, and it’s a convective induced Gulf low that rides up and gets entangled in the emerging +PNA flow. Notice how it is a weak system with a big PWAT signal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 If you were to only see the GEFS and had no access to EC ensembles, you'd throw a parade..lol. What kind of a parade? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 What kind of a parade? the best kind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 What kind of a parade? Figure 6' bald men wearing high heals...or something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Figure 6' bald men wearing high heals...or something like that. LOL..so you're into Rob Halford from Judas Priest type parades?I guess i could see you in one of those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Figure 6' bald men wearing high heals...or something like that. Well Kev will not be there we know he is not 6 foot, ask the amazon in the bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 <p> Well Kev will not be there we know he is not 6 foot, ask the amazon in the bar. LMAO I forgot I had this pic, she is 6 foot> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 <p>LMAO I forgot I had this pic, she is 6 foot > LOL I forgot all about that 6'5" bohemoth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 LOL I forgot all about that 6'5" bohemoth We need a pic of her and Kenny G together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 LOL I forgot all about that 6'5" bohemoth good times good times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 good times good times I was ripped that night.Heavy heavy beers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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