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First half of February...another pattern shift?


ORH_wxman

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The gulf connection around that time frame is pretty impressive as Scott already mentioned...the airmass to the NW is really frigid...there will be a tight rope being walked as that system comes up the coast (if it does at all). There actually like a 1025-1026 high in Quebec as that low approaches so I think LL cold would not be an issue.

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Better hope that one pans out because the storms coming after it out in weenie land look lovely.

So much for a brutal cold pattern for mid-February... each run keeps getting warmer in that time period.

I'm not concerned at all with what it is showing from the 2/14-2/17 period...that period hasn't looked favorable...pretty much ever unless we are talking about maybe back on Jan 30th or something.

The brutal cold idea was never a focus of this thread either (see first post)...mostly the storm potential. There have been brutal cold shots off and on on the models but without a sustained -NAO (which we said was a wildcard for sustained cold), we aren't going to see days and days of arctic air over us.

Hopefully the storm threats can materialize during the Feb 8-12 time frame and then get something after the hopefully brief relaxation centered near Vday.

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LOL..look at what Margusity wrote in is column today. I mean..this is like SNownh wrote it or something. How this guy has a job in meteorology is mind boggling.

Cold air will be plentiful for what could be a large area of snow in the East. The NAO is trying to go negative, and if we can get the blocking, that will just ice the cake in regards to the end run of winter and snowstorms for the snow lovers. I will say, when you see the cold and snow in Europe and Japan, it's usually just a matter of time before the eastern U.S. gets crushed. Come on, Big Daddy(s)! I just think it will be wild 4-6 weeks of weather as we close out winter.

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LOL..look at what Margusity wrote in is column today. I mean..this is like SNownh wrote it or something. How this guy has a job in meteorology is mind boggling.

Cold air will be plentiful for what could be a large area of snow in the East. The NAO is trying to go negative, and if we can get the blocking, that will just ice the cake in regards to the end run of winter and snowstorms for the snow lovers. I will say, when you see the cold and snow in Europe and Japan, it's usually just a matter of time before the eastern U.S. gets crushed. Come on, Big Daddy(s)! I just think it will be wild 4-6 weeks of weather as we close out winter.

:lol:

i can't tell you how much I hate that term he uses... "big daddy". i remember years ago i used to read his stuff and watch his videos and he used to say that all the time.

wtf is a "big baddy"???

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The gulf connection around that time frame is pretty impressive as Scott already mentioned...the airmass to the NW is really frigid...there will be a tight rope being walked as that system comes up the coast (if it does at all). There actually like a 1025-1026 high in Quebec as that low approaches so I think LL cold would not be an issue.

24 hours ago it didn't... In this latest solution the upper levels stay mostly unphased, but it's the surface high sliding offshore on Wednesday night that drives the turn up the coast. Fortunately as you mentioned the second hp pops in Quebec in time to save the interior.

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:lol:

i can't tell you how much I hate that term he uses... "big daddy". i remember years ago i used to read his stuff and watch his videos and he used to say that all the time.

wtf is a "big baddy"???

I rarely read his nonsense..unless I'm super bored at lunch. I will never watch any videos that clown is on. It's almost like every single thing he posted in that column today are 100% wrong.

if you gave it to someone and said read this and then assume exactly the opposite of what he saying will happen..you'd pobably have a pretty good forecast

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Congrats to the interior for Feb 11 on the GFS.

What’s interesting about this run is that it was signaled 6 days ago during that interval of overall fantastic runs we had that lasted a day and a half worth of runs. It’s back on this run, and it’s a convective induced Gulf low that rides up and gets entangled in the emerging +PNA flow. Notice how it is a weak system with a big PWAT signal?

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