ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2012 Author Share Posted January 26, 2012 I suppose we will have one more disaster to go through next week, before anything starts to change. Yeah I mentioned that in the opening post...we could def see an ugly few days right before the pattern shifts...still uncertain though...that low may try to ride over us or south of us which would be cooler, or the one after it...but both could ride up the St. Lawrence valley too and we would have some pretty mild days. The first week of February is really when things are getting aligned...so it could be messy with some systems to our northwest. Hopefully one tracks under us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I remember 492 thicknesses over us in Jan '04. I don't think I've ever seen in the 480s down into SNE...mostly up near Vim Toot and prob in N VT/ N NH back in that '04 outbreak. wonder what the record low 5 h is in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yeah I mentioned that in the opening post...we could def see an ugly few days right before the pattern shifts...still uncertain though...that low may try to ride over us or south of us which would be cooler, or the one after it...but both could ride up the St. Lawrence valley too and we would have some pretty mild days. The first week of February is really when things are getting aligned...so it could be messy with some systems to our northwest. Hopefully one tracks under us though. Well a low moving over us, is never as bad when the pattern looks better down the road..lol. Maybe we can get some sort of predecessor WAA deal on the 30th or 31st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 single digit highs for feb 8/9 across all SNE if GFS verifies.. lol. cold nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Nice weenie GEFS run. Lots of bagginess and low pressure to our east. Lets hope that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Intriguing to see the models trying to get a nice MJO wave to start hauling across the West Pac. First time I've seen that all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Intriguing to see the models trying to get a nice MJO wave to start hauling across the West Pac. First time I've seen that all year. Yeah, it's one of the reason this change may have legs for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2012 Author Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yeah, it's one of the reason this change may have legs for once. If we can get a wave to circle around to 8,1,2 then this might not be only a 8-10 day thing...could be a nice 3 week period or something...HM hinted that he thought it could go into 8,2,1 after the 15th. But that's getting ahead of ourselves a bit...but at least it looks like we'll definitely see a period of strong +PNA...hopefully its a longer lasting pattern shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2012 Author Share Posted January 26, 2012 2/3 looks interesting on the Euro. It squashes the vortmax south of us and would def be potential for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 ... Otherwise its probably more like a Feb '06 pattern where its probably seasonal cold but with the western ridging, obviously some chances. At this point seasonal cold will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Looks like it's trying to set up for some sort of SB storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Looks like it's trying to set up for some sort of SB storm. "SB"? It's probably ultra obvious, but I'm bad with the abbreviations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 "SB"? It's probably ultra obvious, but I'm bad with the abbreviations. Super Bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Super Bowl Like I said, "Ultra obvious". To me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Too much jager Garth? LOL. I should have probably said SB Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 From the Anchorage AFD, sweet LONG TERM FORECAST... THE ALASKAN UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT WESTWARD INTO THE BERING SEA BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 2/2-2/3 snowstorm followed by SB sunday snowstorm...lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Still looks good in the long term. Even some signs of split flow just offshore of SOCAL, which could be interesting later in the month, regarding disturbances crossing the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Man I can't believe how good the vibe is in here today. It might be time to chuck in eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Still looks good in the long term. Even some signs of split flow just offshore of SOCAL, which could be interesting later in the month, regarding disturbances crossing the south. Rain in LA in a split flow, 4 days later is our snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Man I can't believe how good the vibe is in here today. It might be time to chuck in eyes About as good as I've felt all winter. It doesn't mean an epic period, but we should have some shots. I still would like to get more ridging in the NAO region, but we'll take this for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Man I can't believe how good the vibe is in here today. It might be time to chuck in eyes [insert post involving being careful because caution would still be advised here] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Rain in LA in a split flow, 4 days later is our snowstorm. Yup. Observed it many times. I always wanted to get hit with windy heavy rain in LA and snow in the mountains and then take a flight the next day east and get hit again by snow. Didn't have the resources then so it was typically out of the question. One thing I did do though is based on the map in the LA Times sometime around 1980 or 1981 I on the spur of the moment took the red eye to BOS, crashed at my friends, and watched the storm become a colossal dud. We did go to the Bruins game though....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 If these storms end up surpressed someone's getting shanked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yup. Observed it many times. I always wanted to get hit with windy heavy rain in LA and snow in the mountains and then take a flight the next day east and get hit again by snow. Didn't have the resources then so it was typically out of the question. One thing I did do though is based on the map in the LA Times sometime around 1980 or 1981 I on the spur of the moment took the red eye to BOS, crashed at my friends, and watched the storm become a colossal dud. We did go to the Bruins game though....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Too much jager Garth? lol - not enough this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 If these storms end up surpressed someone's getting shanked. I think if the NAO is more neutral, the chance is for more cstl huggers. I don't think suppression is the worry for any larger storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I think if the NAO is more neutral, the chance is for more cstl huggers. I don't think suppression is the worry for any larger storms. This all sounds good, and I'm hopeful. Coming late to the thread, but the title of "another" shift seems superfluous, though I may be missing the point. At least for sensible wx in my area, the pattern's been pretty much the same since the pre-Thanksgiving storm - lots of quick-change temps averaging +2 to +4, and no strong storms to speak of. Lots more snow in Jan than Dec, but maybe that's just because climo temps are 6-8F colder, turning some Dec liquid to Jan frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Weeklies say the fun doesn't last too long. They bring back lower heights in AK again, albeit weak, by week 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I'm going to effectlively end any potential of this by merely bringin it up ... there's a nifty little IB snow heading east of NYS right now - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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