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February 2012 General Discussion


Nic

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To my untrained eye, this is starting to show some major changes. Since as long as I can remember, it has advertised above normal temps for most of the east half of the country. Looks like more average temps ahead. By summer the dark blues will be over Saukville.

2012021100_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png

What is the white area? If temperatures are not normal, above normal.or below normal what are they?

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I'm assuming the areas that are shaded for prob normal are areas that are highly confident in receving normal probs. In other words >50%. The areas in white would consist of <50% certainty for all three probs, which we can assume would lean more towards a more "normal" probability based on the law of averages. Anyway, that's my interpretation lol.

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Made it down to 4 here and only managed 19! So yeah a few of those would be good.

Looks like we will be fighting a split flow pattern for the next week which means things are highly fluid with respect to the models at this point. I wouldn't latch onto anything beyond 72 hrs right now.

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