weatherpsycho Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 MOTS Thank God for the X-Box Kinects & Wii ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 February looks to continue the same pattern. Lack of upstream blocking on both sides creates for a underwhelming troughs and lack of cold air. Sun angle will begin to bake soon as well. I blame the EPO. Its persistant + phase really messed this winter up considering there were good signs the Atlantic was going to take the season off. +PNA looks solid on the ensembles, of course depends on how far west, or east, or north it sets up...but lack of Atlantic blocking will make for much of the same in sensible weather for a good chunk of the region seemingly. Have to hope for a miracle...though I think there will be another 10 day period in February where wintry fun can be found. Better make due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Severe season had better be a whopper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 +pna sucks.. maybe toronto can make a nice comeback with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 +PNA with the vortex locked up over E. Siberia and Alaska is a terrible setup, or a great setup if you like repeated torches. Need to keep these SW closed lows going, as at least they bring some chances for severe down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Warministas should enjoy the long range GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Warministas should enjoy the long range GFS Sure do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Can't wait for those may days where its 48 in saukville and 74 in la crosse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Yeah..the 18z GFS last night was a torch... We are going to pay for this boys. Non stop clouds and rain in June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 The rain is probably going to be much need though for much of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Severe season had better be a whopper. This, I actually am starting to lean this way though at least in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Big tnad outbreak this spring. Warm Gulf of Mexico...plenty of cold air will be streaming down over Saukville all May and June...the air masses will clash over southwest WI, where numerous F5 tornados will form and zoom north eastward, only dying as the plow into the snowcovered areas of SE Wisconsin in mid June I just wonder if this snow pack is going to last all of Feb...sure is melting good today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Severe season had better be a whopper. Since we've already had tors up into southern IN so far this year and LaNina still in place I think you may get your wish, although certainly not like the extreme numbers from 2011. I'm supposed to be in the St. Louis area the first week of May. Should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I hope the big t-storm action this spring is futher north then the past several years. Being on the extreme northern edge like the past several years gets annoying unless I am getting a snowstorm or true ice-storm out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 I'm really starting to wonder if we'll do any better then -11F. Record wise, we have until mid March... This would be one of the warmer (for low temps) winters in a while. The number of days below 0F has also been lacking. 12Z GFS is just a blowtorch. I wouldn't doubt we see 50F again in the not too distant future, especially if most the snow gets knocked back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 The last time we had a winter with little snow like this (04-05) was followed by a very hot and dry summer. Not saying it will happen again, but I wouldn't be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 The last time we had a winter with little snow like this (04-05) was followed by a very hot and dry summer. Not saying it will happen again, but I wouldn't be surprised. I wish it was 04-05 here in NW Oakland County as we had well over 100" of snow that year (two 14"+ storms & several 5-8" storms). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 Lol we just had a hot and dry summer cyclone! Central illinois saw next to nothing rain wise for summer 2011. This winter is boring and dull, everything is dead but yet it's still warm outside, bring on spring baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 26, 2012 Share Posted January 26, 2012 The last time we had a winter with little snow like this (04-05) was followed by a very hot and dry summer. Not saying it will happen again, but I wouldn't be surprised. 2004-05 was a banner year here. Southeast Michigan saw 60-100" of snow that season, and I believe the excessive snowfall buried the east as well. Most winters see things like that, where some areas do well and others dont, but the last 2 have not. Last winter above normal snowfall covered a very large portion of the country, an anomaly as well, but not quite as widespread as this years snow deficits (so far), which run nearly across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 2004-05 was a banner year here. Southeast Michigan saw 60-100" of snow that season, and I believe the excessive snowfall buried the east as well. Most winters see things like that, where some areas do well and others dont, but the last 2 have not. Last winter above normal snowfall covered a very large portion of the country, an anomaly as well, but not quite as widespread as this years snow deficits (so far), which run nearly across the board. Ended up with 85" that year. Kind of was inflated by a late April event that brought 16" in 3 days. Only collected over night. If it was 3 weeks sooner, would have been over 24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Hopefully its a very dull severe season here again..no need for that junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Warministas should enjoy the long range GFS Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Warm and Dry "start" to Feb. http://www.crh.noaa....=78177&source=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Warm and Dry Feb. http://www.crh.noaa....=78177&source=0 You left out a word per their headline, just to be clear. "Warm And Dry Start To February" Not that I have high hopes for the Midwest/Lakes in February anyway... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 You left out a word per their headline, just to be clear. "Warm And Dry Start To February" Not that I have high hopes for the Midwest/Lakes in February anyway... Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 12z EURO and 00z GFS say cold comes in.... How many times have we seen this only for it to fail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Lol we just had a hot and dry summer cyclone! Central illinois saw next to nothing rain wise for summer 2011. This winter is boring and dull, everything is dead but yet it's still warm outside, bring on spring baby! Last summer was pretty hot too, but '05 had it beat here locally. We had a very bad drought that year up in this area. Every year/season is different though, so I have absolutely no idea what to expect later in the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Last summer was pretty hot too, but '05 had it beat here locally. We had a very bad drought that year up in this area. Every year/season is different though, so I have absolutely no idea what to expect later in the year. Whatever is the opposite of the consensus forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Might as well watch paint dry. The 0z GFS was boring. Looks like a quasi more of the same pattern. Looks like some torching really ramps up. One exception would be around late next week. Something looks like it might go up the coast slamming NY-Bos or roll back into the apps giving the eastern lakes a fighting chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 27, 2012 Share Posted January 27, 2012 Before anyone gets too hung up on the models i suggest reading this post from HM.. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/30013-aam-and-gwo-discussion/page__view__findpost__p__1317228 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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