buckeye Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 BTW...I have been watching the arctic front Friday. Models have been very consistent in bringing very light qpf with the front, but last nights Euro and now the NAM want to do a little more than that with it. Certainly something to keep an eye on. I will be absolutely thrilled if I get 1"+ from this arctic front, as we have not had snow on the ground since morning of Jan 31st. (Excited about 1 inch of snow LOL, last year at this time 16 inches on the ground and unknown to me then but Ma Nature still had 4 more advisory/warning snowstorms up her sleeve yet). yep...granted its the nam at 84 I like a nice squall line preceding an arctic front. Been a long time since we've had one of those, they can offer up a surprise now and then. After a seriously cold weekend ahead, the moderation next week looks almost as serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 @buckeye 12z CMC model looks like it wants to put some heavier snow near 1-70 tommorow with the clipper. Take a look.. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Good lord is that a 264 hr gfs ensemble you just posted? It's February and we're pointing to a 264 hr gfs map? This is usually the type of post you see occurring in early November and everyone poking fun at. You need no other evidence of just how bad this winter has been. I think this might be our first fantasy storm that has been shown all winter, or at the very least one of a very small number. 12z Euro wound up quite a storm 216 hours out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Euro is sweet on Deedler's GFS Bomb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 Euro is sweet on Deedler's GFS Bomb... Yes, a huge storm and all I get is rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Yes, a huge storm and all I get is rain. rain vs. snow means essentially nothing on a fantasy storm 7+ days out. It might as well show frogs+ coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 @buckeye 12z CMC model looks like it wants to put some heavier snow near 1-70 tommorow with the clipper. Take a look.. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html canadian is a bit more bullish further west than the other models, (including the euro), which want to blossom heavier precip east of us. Funny to see a clipper expand precip on the east side of the apps as the euro and other models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastWind Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Sun angle may play a role in how long snowcover lasts, and it also may inhibit a very light 32-34 degree snowfall from sticking much during the middle of the day, but it will not affect a true snowstorm for a while. Does the increased sun angle not create more convection resulting in more snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 18z NAM has a lot of qpf with the arctic front on saturday, enough for a 2-4 in event. I probaly just jinxed it by saying something about it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Actually had a normal high today of 32°F! Been above normal since the 29th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Had some off and on freezing sprinkles this afternoon. Now getting some very light snow fall. A non-event, but still nice to see. Ground is actually turning a little white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Had some off and on freezing sprinkles this afternoon. Now getting some very light snow fall. A non-event, but still nice to see. Ground is actually turning a little white. I had some graupel just before dark. Like you said, it's nice to see some white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Any truth to this in Indiana? I find it hard to believe that there's still a swath of 2" of snow left. Even in Ohio, there's no way that a trace of snow is left after two sunny days in the upper 40s. I guess it's how they define a trace, but that 2" blob in Indiana looks to cover about 4 or 5 counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Any truth to this in Indiana? I find it hard to believe that there's still a swath of 2" of snow left. Even in Ohio, there's no way that a trace of snow is left after two sunny days in the upper 40s. I guess it's how they define a trace, but that 2" blob in Indiana looks to cover about 4 or 5 counties. That is overblown. I am located at the southern edge of that blob. We have had zero snow on the ground for thew past 2 days. Fort Wayne, to my northeast, did have some heavier snow Saturday morning. In fact 3 CoCoRaHS reports around Ft. Wayne still showed 1"-2" as of 7 AM this morning. We have experienced quite a bit of stratus/fog, which held temps down to just above freezing, so it's plausible that there is a little snow left, but not the extent that the map is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 rain vs. snow means essentially nothing on a fantasy storm 7+ days out. It might as well show frogs+ coming down. GFS Bufkit shows some +TSFROG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Upcoming Arctic Surge: http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/02/another-arctic-air-pest-to-visit-for.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Idot is currently salting insterstatw 39 as if they are expecting a blizzard... Sounds like sleet so much salt is tinging off my windshield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 It is funny that people are giving up on a major snow as soon as it gets cool enough for all snow events. I know angle of sun plays a role, but an event big enough to be worth watching would be able to overcome this. It looks like the MJO is moving into a favorable octave, from my amateur eyes. I think that the MJO may drive the AO NAO from what I have read around here. Forgive me if I have this wrong, I have not had the education in atmospheric science most of you have had since I am only a senior in high school. Do you honestly see most of the posters here having Red Tags?? A majority of this board has no formal training in "atmospheric sciences".. SMH.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Upcoming Arctic Surge: http://weatherhistor...-visit-for.html Thanks for the great read! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 For you SE Michigan folks, saw this in the main forum: Looks like an AWOS for Lapeer: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KD95.html The DTX CWA sure has been getting a lot of new AWOS stations up the past 5-10 years ... This one fills in a nice gap for that part of the thumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Reminds me about how long it took for Howell to have a modern AWOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Do you honestly see most of the posters here having Red Tags?? A majority of this board has no formal training in "atmospheric sciences".. SMH.. SMH at you being such a d-bag. He's a highschool kid who comes here because he's enthusiastic to learn about and discuss weather. He's not pretending to know more than anyone here, in fact quite the opposite. You need to grow up, not him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 So anyway...looks it may snow here overnight/tomorrow morning. That'll be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Probably a few tenths so far here. Steady very light snow/small flakes continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 SMH at you being such a d-bag. He's a highschool kid who comes here because he's enthusiastic to learn about and discuss weather. He's not pretending to know more than anyone here, in fact quite the opposite. You need to grow up, not him. SMDH Where the fook did you get that from my post? I was merely saying that a majority of us have no training whatsoever and can refrain from the nonsense that he often posts.. He is the one with the inferiority complex who thinks everyone here has their damn pHD's in MET when in reality its quite the opposite.. A lot of use here started posting even younger that that guy and we weren't as terrible as he is at posting.. Sitting back, reading a little, learning, and letting the stuff soak stuff in before posting every 2 hours was something a lot of us did starting out... As long he stays within the very generous "guidelines" for posting here he should have no trouble "fitting in" and making a decent contribution while learning some stuff.. And if I think "Nic" is who he is, he should already know better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 waiting patiently here in Charleston, if I wake up and the ground is covered then yay, if not, ehhh so what! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 For you SE Michigan folks, saw this in the main forum: http://www.americanw...-now-available/ Looks like an AWOS for Lapeer: http://www.srh.noaa....story/KD95.html The DTX CWA sure has been getting a lot of new AWOS stations up the past 5-10 years ... This one fills in a nice gap for that part of the thumb. This is good in multiple ways. With the influence of lake boundaries on this regions weather its important to have the thumb pinging out OBSs. Lake Huron brings a number curve balls into the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 For you SE Michigan folks, saw this in the main forum: http://www.americanw...-now-available/ Looks like an AWOS for Lapeer: http://www.srh.noaa....story/KD95.html The DTX CWA sure has been getting a lot of new AWOS stations up the past 5-10 years ... This one fills in a nice gap for that part of the thumb. Sweet! Yes, this certainly does fill a gap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 lets get this back to one big central/western forum. It was much better then IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 lets get this back to one big central/western forum. It was much better then IMO. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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