daddylonglegs Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 .SHORT TERM...UPDATE 444 AM CST MON FEB 6 2012 HAVE MADE A QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST AS SOME FLURRIES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE AREA. THESE FLURRIES SHOULD END LATER THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND THE STRATUS DECK THINS OUT. ALSO...A FEW MORE RUNS OF THE HRRR HAVE COME IN AND CONTINUE TO KEEP THE CLOUDS IN THIS AFTERNOON...SO HAVE BOOSTED THE CLOUDINESS A BIT MORE. So 5 out of the last 6 days will have had no sun..no precip...just fog/low clouds...nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 So 5 out of the last 6 days will have had no sun..no precip...just fog/low clouds...nice. Yup, there goes what could've been a beautiful day. Instead we have 20s with fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 well looks like another yawner for at least another week weather wise. Every yawner we have is less chance of something exciting unless you are into severe weather I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Only good thing is we will probably start over achieving temp wise with the high pressure at the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 I might pay some money to lock in the 12z GFS at 264-288. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 I might pay some money to lock in the 12z GFS at 264-288. Yes, a great looking storm..too bad so far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 I might pay some money to lock in the 12z GFS at 264-288. That's my katodog storm right there. Bingo bango. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Yes, a great looking storm..too bad so far out That thing might be the real deal. All major models are showing something and ensembles are hinting at it. The question of course is where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 That's my katodog storm right there. Bingo bango. Thank you. lol I remember your dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Sun is starting to break through! Not blue skies yet but we're probably getting enough heating to create good thermals, which would blow out the stratus inversion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 lol I remember your dream I think that's the first fantasy land big snowstorm the GFS has shown for us this winter. At least as far as I can recall...not that I've looked at every run. Anyways, first call...18-24". We'll revisit later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 LAF still holding onto less than a mile visibility at noon. Been that way since 3:00AM. Hazy at best here on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 I think that's the first fantasy land big snowstorm the GFS has shown for us this winter. At least as far as I can recall...not that I've looked at every run. Anyways, first call...18-24". We'll revisit later. yep. best fantasy storm of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Turtle- We've had some sun now for about half hour...really breaking up...lots of blue around. Nice to see. Temps not doing much under full sun...i see MSP is only 35F and they've had sun all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 LAF still holding onto less than a mile visibility at noon. Been that way since 3:00AM. Hazy at best here on the east side. Airport loves them some fog. I can't remember exactly when it was but it seems like a couple years ago there was a day where they were socked in with fog and were much cooler than other parts of LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 12z GFS not as strong with the cold later this week...extended looks mild, but maybe not as warm as previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Woke up to Clouds and some fog this morning. Still cloudy and chilly at 31°F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 LAF still holding onto less than a mile visibility at noon. Been that way since 3:00AM. Hazy at best here on the east side. Perfectly clear at the house this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Airport loves them some fog. I can't remember exactly when it was but it seems like a couple years ago there was a day where they were socked in with fog and were much cooler than other parts of LAF. It's a strange micro-climate at the airport sometimes. As for today, despite the current lack of fog on this side of town, my thermometer isn't far off from LAF (a degree or two higher). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 and the extra layer for a lock on the 2-16/18 storm........ I'm out of town that weekend LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 yep. best fantasy storm of the year. Oh yeah for sure. I'm with Hoosier, I'll drop some money down to lock that one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Clouds are starting to break. Temperatures haven't really responded yet. Forecast is for Upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 What a great day for walking around! Up into the mid 30s with full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Not hard to figure who is dealing with fog/clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Surprised no one here is talking about the Nice Little Lake Snow event for SEWI/NEIL tomorrow... IFR CIGS TO PREVAIL THIS AM BUT BELIEVESTRATUS DECK IS SHALLOW AND WILL SEE SCT CLOUD COVER DEVELOPING BY MID AFTERNOON WITH AREAS OF MVFR CIGS STILL POSSIBLE HOWEVER. MVFR VSBYS THIS AM WILL BECOME VFR BY MID TO LATE MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN ARRIVE THIS EVENING WITH MVFR TO IFR STRATUS FOLLOWING BEHIND IT. SCT FLURRIES WILL OCCUR IN ADDITION TO LAKE EFFECT SNOW THAT WILL ORGANIZE LATE AT NIGHT ALONG THE LAKE COUNTIES. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL MAXIMIZE ON TUE FROM MILWAUKEE SOUTH TO THE IL BORDER WITH 1-2 INCHES POSSIBLE BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. IFR CIGS AND IFR TO LIFR VSBYS EXPECTED WITHIN THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR TUE AT KMKE AND KENW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 <498 dam heights (basically the core of the PV) ready to slide into Lk Huron at 144 on the 12z EURO. 0z run had the core of the PV up near Baffin Island and just a lobe of vorticity dropping south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Surprised no one here is talking about the Nice Little Lake Snow event for SEWI/NEIL tomorrow... I heard about it earlier on WGN, but just now saw that graphic! In a winter that is devoid of snow, this will be welcome! Inversion heights aren't the best, but should get some light snow on and off in a single plume. Update on Lake Effect from MKE: LOW LEVEL RH PROGS SHOW AN INCREASE IN RH ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE FRONT AS WINDS BECOME NNE. LOW LEVELS BECOME SATURATED WITH NO ICE CRYSTALS IN THE MODEL SOUNDINGS. WILL INTRODUCE FZDZ POTENTIAL LATE TONIGHT. TRAJECTORIES THEN BECOME FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN 8-12Z. LAKE TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40...4-5C. 850 COLD AIR ADVECTION BRINGS IN TEMPS AROUND -8C...SO VERY CLOSE TO THE 13C DELTA T THRESHOLD VERY LATE TONIGHT. HI-RES ARW PRETTY BULLISH ON BRINGING IN STEADIER LAKE SNOWS BETWEEN 9-12Z. LOOKS A TAD AGGRESSIVE ON QPF AMOUNTS AND SOUTHERN PLACEMENT GIVEN A MORE CONSERVATIVE DELTA T AT THAT TIME FRAME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Was supposed to be in the 40s today, but a thick stratus deck has us stuck in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 It's a strange micro-climate at the airport sometimes. As for today, despite the current lack of fog on this side of town, my thermometer isn't far off from LAF (a degree or two higher). This morning and yesterday I saw quite the variation in fog when driving about. Both mornings the visibility was extremely low at my place then just down the road it was several miles. This morning it was clear along the river but then as I went up the hill into campus visibility dropped quite a bit again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 and the extra layer for a lock on the 2-16/18 storm........ I'm out of town that weekend LOL I'll be driving back to Elkhart from a meeting in Indpls. Arctic air? Maybe some polar but with no snow around for hundreds of miles I'd be more inclined to watch this thing drift westward over the next two weeks and be a good svr wx maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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