Chicago Storm Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Saturday, February 4th: Hi: 43F Lo: 27F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 13MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Buy it: I'm not buying anything. No one has come close to nailing this winter except Roger Smith who called for cold in late winter. If I were to buy anything, it would be his forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Dead calm and frosty morning. Frost is covering everything in abumdance. At first I woke up and though a dusting of snow happened. Not a single cloud in the sky either. Beautiful sunrise in SeMi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 The visibility at my place just dropped to about 100 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Fog here too... I see part of Wisconsin is clear, but MN/iA look completely covered... Hopefully we can get rid of this crap at some point today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Completely sunny here this morning. First time in several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Sunny here and 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Sunglasses are a must today. Looks like 40 ish is a given. Just amazing stretch of weather. This is stretch of weather reminds me of 1998 all over again. I believe we had strings of sunny days in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Sunglasses are a must today. Looks like 40 ish is a given. Just amazing stretch of weather. This is stretch of weather reminds me of 1998 all over again. I believe we had strings of sunny days in the 40s. Progress on my home is unbelievable. Its a blessing in disguise that its this warm. Although the mud in the afternoon is un bareable. Its important that it stays below freezing until at least 11am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Doesn't look like these clouds are moving here... Its a roll of the dice with sun this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 12z GFS looks warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Sunglasses are a must today. Looks like 40 ish is a given. Just amazing stretch of weather. This is stretch of weather reminds me of 1998 all over again. I believe we had strings of sunny days in the 40s. Actually I think 1998 was extremely cloudy. BTW I too noticed the thick frost having that dusting of snow appearance lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 12z GFS looks warm... Net gain of ice on the lakes 12z run.. Outside the warmup mid-month thats been modeled for awhile I can dig it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Already 40 here. Looks like mid 40s today and near 50 again tomorrow. No snow in sight. MLI still at 9.0" for the season. Still a few inches away from the all-time least snowfall record, so it's still possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Doesn't look like these clouds are moving here... Its a roll of the dice with sun this winter. We lucked out in Madison, we're in one of the clear spots. Only up to 36 °F though, colder air from the surroundings fog must be mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Had a little sun this morning, now mainly cloudy and in the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Actually I think 1998 was extremely cloudy. BTW I too noticed the thick frost having that dusting of snow appearance lol. There was plenty of sun if I remember. You could almost tan on some of those weekends. Not sure I'll have to check the OBS. Either way with this month expected to torch Feb 98 is its distant cousin. Interesting that I might get my chance at a Blizzard this year. As I'm headed to Maryland next weekend. I've been in. Nor'easter before and they own anything we get around the lakes...( GHD obvious exception) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Some interesting looking images from the 12z Euro at 240hrs. Obviously a long ways out, but kind of nice to look at. With enough instability this could be an interesting setup. Lack of snow cover and open gulf would contribute to a possible severe weather setup me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 I'm about 75% sure my plans of heading to the UP Feb 13th is changing to Ontario. Probably ride in Algoma provincial park. What a terrible winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 I wouldn't trust any model past 84 hrs this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 It would take one hell of a siberian cold outbreak to wipe this out... THE DETROIT MI CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 33 51 1993 1962 1944 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 20 -16 1918 SUNRISE AND SUNSET FEBRUARY 5 2012......SUNRISE 743 AM EST SUNSET 552 PM EST FEBRUARY 6 2012......SUNRISE 742 AM EST SUNSET 554 PM EST - INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT. && TEMPERATURE DATA... MONTHLY AVERAGE......... 36.9 DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL... 12.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 It would take one hell of a siberian cold outbreak to wipe this out... [/b][/u][/color][/size] Toasty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Toasty! And it's pretty difficult to completely flip an anomaly like that when you're already almost 1/4 of the way through the month. So there's a good chance this February will mark the 9th month in a row of above average temps in Detroit, even with transient/modified cold shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Nam dives the PV due south from the far north into the Hudson Bay. What would be the result if the PV stays in the Hudson Bay for a while? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 I wouldn't trust any model past 84 hrs this winter. Yeah. The new 3 week severe weather outlook from SPC doesn't look too good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 There was plenty of sun if I remember. You could almost tan on some of those weekends. Not sure I'll have to check the OBS. Either way with this month expected to torch Feb 98 is its distant cousin. Interesting that I might get my chance at a Blizzard this year. As I'm headed to Maryland next weekend. I've been in. Nor'easter before and they own anything we get around the lakes...( GHD obvious exception) Checked my obs...not a lot of sun at all in Feb 1998. It was cloudy, warm, snowless, and rainy. Winter 1997-98 as a whole was very cloudy. There was a bit more sun in the winter of 2001-02, maybe thats what your thinking of when connecting mild winter with sunshine. And LOL to thinking this Feb will come close to Feb 1998. I dont think so. That wasnt just a mild February, it was in a league of its own for warmth, behind only 1882. There are no signs whatsoever that point to this Feb being close to that. Feb 98 was what really put that winter in sucktitude hall of fame. There was actually a snowy week in Nov, a moderate snowfall Dec 10th, and a 2-week period of continuous snowcover and frequent snowfall in Jan. Then in Feb winter completely disappeared, the likes of which we have yet to see a DJF month since come close to. And where in the heck are you getting that MD will be getting a blizzard? I dont see it on any of the models. Ive heard some banter from some people talking about a storm in that timeframe (which no models currently show lol) but even if it does happen, good luck getting it to be a 12"+ storm. If they get their first snowfall of the season when youre there, consider it a win. In reality we will probably get more snow in Detroit than you will in MD next weekend (of course it will be of the usual 0.5 to 2-inch type variety this winter is known for). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 And it's pretty difficult to completely flip an anamoly like that when you're already almost 1/4 of the way through the month. So there's a good chance this February will mark the 9th month in a row of above average temps in Detroit, even with transient/modified cold shots. Feb will probably end up on the + side, but its only 4 days into the month with very mild temps, which is why the temp departure looks so gawdy. See what the depature looks like one week from now, will probably look like a run-of-the-mill above normal month lol. Oh and its more pc to say this will likely be the 9th month in a row without a below normal temperature departure, because its not the 9th month in a row above normal (Sept had an exact 0.0F departure). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Yeah. The new 3 week severe weather outlook from SPC doesn't look too good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Yeah. The new 3 week severe weather outlook from SPC doesn't look too good as well. You actually made me check the SPC site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 You actually made me check the SPC site. Why do they have a 21 day outlook? , that is just rediculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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