Jonger Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 OMG the sun is out...how long will it last? Neither the EURO or the GFS (0z/6z) look all that cold for here. More like near normal. Feb norms are still very cold in these parts. The lakes exploded Thu-Fri.... Its all I give a crap about. Looks like mid teens for highes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Looks pretty quiet through mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 With the lack of any snow cover across the Plains, I pretty much expect that cold shot to be quite modified. It could be good for the lake effect snow belts though. That "when all else fails..." saying comes to mind, because the folks in the lake effect snow belts will likely get a good dumping regardless if significance synoptically precedes the cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z is a torch after a very quick shot of cold air (single digits here...big whoopee)... Put a fork in Feb folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Sun finally came out here! It's only been gone 3 1/2 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z is a torch after a very quick shot of cold air (single digits here...big whoopee)... Put a fork in Feb folks. Yes, put a fork in the entire month when it's only the 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z Euro shows really cold air mass at 168hr but quickly leaves by HR192 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Yes, put a fork in the entire month when it's only the 4th. And the ensembles are ALL over the place to boot. Wasnt it IWX yesterday that said there is literally zero confidence in the extended? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Sun finally came out here! It's only been gone 3 1/2 days! Amateur! Live on THIS side of Lake MI. 3.5 days without sun is nothing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z is a torch after a very quick shot of cold air (single digits here...big whoopee)... Put a fork in Feb folks. Beautiful day in gorgeous la crosse.. Go take a vintage radio flyer sled down one of the glacier encrusted snowed hills - just don't take your misery of winter out on a tree head first. Take the boy ice fishing. Slobo's are hitting down by stoddard. I'm riding pimps ball state proffesor hard. Big ending to winter for some. will it be the west, east, or LAF side of the sub-forum who cashes in on a big storm though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Amateur! Live on THIS side of Lake MI. 3.5 days without sun is nothing lol Lol, being sarcastic! I know what's it's like in Seattle with clouds, clouds and more clouds! Chilly day today with a strong breeze off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Lol, being sarcastic! I know what's it's like in Seattle with clouds, clouds and more clouds! Chilly day today with a strong breeze off the lake. Sometimes we never see the sun for 2 weeks at a time. Coincidentally its a full sunny day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Fork in it boys... Trust me Bow- They are killing the perch around here this year. Its weird, we never caught many perch in the past and all of a sudden in the last 2 or 3 years, it seems like the perch have just taken over. We are using "tip downs". One of the guys had a 15 inch perch...looked more like a walleye. Tons of guys out fishing. Its insane this year around here. Must be the economy (no one has a job) or something. I've never seen so many guys out. Not much for panfish, but you are right...Stoddard is a great place to go if you come this way. I know a lot of guys who head down there for panfish. Sledding? On what? The rocks! My kid's sledding trip got cancelled. I don't see them rescheduling. Maybe we'll get a whopper in late Feb or mid March, but the clock is ticking. Sitting at around 17 inches for the year...Still can end below 20...probably more like 30...snow in April is pretty common most years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Sometimes we never see the sun for 2 weeks at a time. Coincidentally its a full sunny day today. Seattle and Portland are likely the only areas in the country that's cloudier than us (year round). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Seattle and Portland are likely the only areas in the country that's cloudier than us (year round). Lake clouds really suck if you ask me. The models are deemed useless until further notice. The only thing that makes sense right now is seasonal trends. Thus whatever the models show for a cold shot..you need to subtract 2-4 days of duration. Transient nature might continue. This leads me to another question. What teleconection is responsible for the ultra progressive transient pattern. The AO seems logically but does it have to do with the NAO also? My guess is a continuation of what we have been seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Overcast again here today. At least the fog has lifted though. Cloud ceilings have been lifting, so we may some clearing before the sun sets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I will say this. I have spent A LOT less on my computer this winter. It only takes 15-20 minutes to see all I need to see with the all the weather data and models. Hard to spend much more time when there is nothing to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Up to 40F... had sun all day finally... its been too long. 12z Euro says "No cold for you"... Torch away boys! We're going to pay for this sometime...either crap spring or crap summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Lake clouds really suck if you ask me. The models are deemed useless until further notice. The only thing that makes sense right now is seasonal trends. Thus whatever the models show for a cold shot..you need to subtract 2-4 days of duration. Transient nature might continue. This leads me to another question. What teleconection is responsible for the ultra progressive transient pattern. The AO seems logically but does it have to do with the NAO also? My guess is a continuation of what we have been seeing. Lake clouds suck.... Lake effect snow owns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Yes, put a fork in the entire month when it's only the 4th. +1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 couple warm days no biggie. big end to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Buy it: There is Feb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 Buy it: There is Feb... I think it is telling us what happened more then what is next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 0.2% chance of happening, but P002 would be pretty sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 0.2% chance of happening, but P002 would be pretty sweet Well aren't you an optimistic one. I would give it a 0.0000000001% chance of happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 TWC just posted on their facebook page that Andy Gabrielson was killed in a car crash today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 TWC just posted on their facebook page that Andy Gabrielson was killed in a car crash today Oh wow thats's horrible news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 A truck, a tow truck and an ATV all fell through the ice today on Lake Onalaska (basically the Mississippi River behind the dam at Dresbach). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Seattle and Portland are likely the only areas in the country that's cloudier than us (year round). Yeah they have on average 200-225 cloudy days a year. Even more clouds on the actual Pacific coast. Milwaukee and Chicago are about 180 respectively. Last year we didn't do to bad for clouds, about 190 cloudy days here. If the clouds are not 'productive' then they get boring! High 39° today, wind off the lake kept the temperature rise in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Note sure if anyone has been over to the main forum to see this new weather tool in Excel but it is amazing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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