Ian Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Its early, but only the southern cells have been able to stay somewhat discrete. seems like se ar/n ms/maybe parts of sw tenn are going to be under the big gun. this stuff is just about to run into higher cape/ehi and sig torn/supercell parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storm reports starting to come in, all hail so far. http://www.daculaweather.com/spc_storm_reports.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beneficii Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 seems like se ar/n ms/maybe parts of sw tenn are going to be under the big gun. this stuff is just about to run into higher cape/ehi and sig torn/supercell parameters. And those parameters are continuing to push north as the warm front progresses north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 seems like se ar/n ms/maybe parts of sw tenn are going to be under the big gun. this stuff is just about to run into higher cape/ehi and sig torn/supercell parameters. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0648 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN AR CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5... VALID 230048Z - 230145Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 5 CONTINUES. SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS CNTRL AR AND INCIPIENT REGIONAL TORNADO OUTBREAK APPEARS TO BE UNFOLDING...WITH PROBABLE SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES DEVELOPING ACROSS S-CNTRL INTO NERN AR. AS OF 0045Z...LEAD BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS EXTENDED IN A NNE-SSW ORIENTATION FROM RANDOLPH TO COLUMBIA COUNTIES. SEVERAL EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY WITH INITIAL TORNADO WARNINGS HAVING BEEN RECENTLY ISSUED ACROSS S-CNTRL AR. MODIFIED 00Z LZK/SHV/JAN RAOBS SUGGEST MLCAPE OF 750-1250 J/KG IS PREVALENT AHEAD OF THIS BAND FROM S-CNTRL TO E-CNTRL AR. WITH EFFECTIVE SRH NOW IN EXCESS OF 500-600 M2/S2...EXTREME LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/VERY LARGE HODOGRAPHS BREEDS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN SUSTAINED/LONG-TRACKED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storms not looking quite as intense a they were a minute ago. Something may have happened to Little Rock's radar, or they changed settings. DBZ is all storms dropped at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storms not looking quite as intense a they were a minute ago. The one just north of Camden is stronger if anything...I agree about the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storms not looking quite as intense a they were a minute ago. well, except for the ones that do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 23z RUC... BNA TUP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 And those parameters are continuing to push north as the warm front progresses north. yeah why i included sw tenn (tho i guess it could be all w tenn) even though it's marginal there compared to further south right now. other places look ok and helicity is high elsewhere but that region i now see bounded by the meso -- ne ark looks iffier -- disc looks really primed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 23, 2012 Author Share Posted January 23, 2012 23z RUC... BNA TUP Jesus... Camden cell still with intense circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Jesus... Camden cell still with intense circulation. Have no idea why an SVS was not issued for this storm as it passed the town indicating a potential strong tornado. Even if one did not occur, I would have liked to have seen it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 658 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS... SOUTH CENTRAL LONOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS... NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 730 PM CST * AT 655 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHERIDAN. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. ANOTHER POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF SHERIDAN...ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADOES...THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE... SHERIDAN... REDFIELD... PINE BLUFF ARSENAL... ORION... KEO... HENSLEY ISLAND... ENGLAND... CANE CREEK... WRIGHT... TUCKER... TOMBERLIN... SHERRILL... SEATON... SAMPLES... PRAGUE... PETTUS... PASTORIA... JEFFERSON... THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 15 AND 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 ESRH near 550m/s by those warned cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Folks in Bearden, Fordyce and Kingsland better be in their safe spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Bearden is in trouble. Very intense cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wvaspartan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 701 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN OUACHITA COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... SOUTHWESTERN CLEVELAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 730 PM CST * AT 659 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF HIGHLAND INDSTRL PK...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAMDEN. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. * LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE... FORDYCE... TRI COUNTY LAKE... TIPTON... THORNTON... HARLOW... ELLISVILLE... BEARDEN... RAMSEY... NEW EDINBURG... MILLVILLE... IVAN... HOPEVILLE... HOLLY SPRINGS... HARMONY GROVE... EAGLE MILLS... CHAMBERSVILLE... AMY... VELIE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 23z RUC... BNA that's just some scary, scary ****. The nicest way I could put it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Cell N of Camden is looking serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 110 kt couplet, ridiculous BWER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Cell N of Camden is looking serious Check out that pinhole signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 BWER showing up on the Camden, AR tor cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Fordyce us a pretty decent little town, they gotta hope this goes north of town...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 No spotters on that Camden cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 925mb winds of 55 kts with greater than 1000J ML CAPE this time of year. Pretty dam good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 It's just skimming by Beardon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Fordyce us a pretty decent little town, they gotta hope this goes north of town...... 4,800 people in 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 these guys on KATV Channel 7 are not taking this very seriously. That storm near Beardon is really bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 You guys need to set your storm motion for SRV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 New SPc Stament MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0648 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN AR CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5... VALID 230048Z - 230145Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 5 CONTINUES. SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS CNTRL AR AND INCIPIENT REGIONAL TORNADO OUTBREAK APPEARS TO BE UNFOLDING...WITH PROBABLE SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES DEVELOPING ACROSS S-CNTRL INTO NERN AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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