Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Too many narrow polygons being issued for marginal circulations. They are interlocking and becoming very confusing as different storms are crossing in and out every few minutes. Makes it tough for the public to follow. The one legimate-looking TOR storm is the one I have been watching for about an hour which moved through Maury City and is now east of Dyersburg. Agreed. The storms the Memphis TV guys are discussing look more like stright line winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 23, 2012 Author Share Posted January 23, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0947 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE TN/LOWER MS VALLEYS CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 5... VALID 230347Z - 230445Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 5 CONTINUES. PORTIONS OF WW 5 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED PRIOR TO ITS SCHEDULED 06Z EXPIRATION WITH A NEW TORNADO WATCH THAT WILL ENCOMPASS AREAS FARTHER E/S IN WRN/MIDDLE TN...NRN/CNTRL MS...NWRN AL...AND PERHAPS NERN LA. BROKEN SQUALL LINE HAS ACCELERATED EWD ACROSS NERN AR ON APPROACH TO THE MS RIVER...WITH A MORE GRADUAL EWD PROGRESSION OCCURRING IN SERN AR. LONGER-LIVED MESOCYCLONES HAVE LARGELY WEAKENED IN AR...WITH A TRANSITION TO PREDOMINATELY BOWING/LEWP STRUCTURES. THIS SUGGESTS SIGNIFICANT TORNADO POTENTIAL IS EVOLVING INTO A COMPARATIVELY GREATER DAMAGING WIND THREAT. FARTHER E/SE...A BAND OF SHOWERS HAS SLOWLY DEEPENED FROM PORTIONS OF CNTRL LA INTO N-CNTRL MS. THESE SHOWERS APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AXIS AS 03Z SURFACE ANALYSIS NOTED A MODEST PRESSURE RISE/FALL COUPLET...WELL AHEAD OF PACIFIC COLD FRONT BACK IN NERN TX. GIVEN THE VERY STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...IT APPEARS REASONABLE THAT A COUPLE OF CELLS WOULD MATURE WITHIN THIS BAND OF SHOWERS AND DEEPEN INTO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ..GRAMS.. 01/23/2012 Things may be getting interesting in NE MS right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Amazing line of storms stretch from Chicago metro all the way to the LA/Texas boarder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Things may be getting interesting in NE MS right now. Watching the cell in the middle of the state the closest -- near Eupora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Watching the cell in the middle of the state the closest -- near Eupora. Eupora was hit hard on the 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Watching the cell in the middle of the state the closest -- near Eupora. Agreed, these cells in North-Central MS out in front of the mainline are really getting their act together quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Watching the cell in the middle of the state the closest -- near Eupora. This storm is certainly looking better, some kind of warning will be issued shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Could be something developing as you guys have pointed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Ya that cluster in front of the line is starting to look more and more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 This storm looking pretty bad. Extreme Northern Tennessee just west of Cottage Grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Walthall storm now warned. Edit: Severe TSTRM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Issued SVR Tstorm Warning on that Eupora cell... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1057 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MONTPELIER... * UNTIL 1145 PM CST * AT 1057 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARKSON MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANTEE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Also James Spann now streaming live: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/ABC-33-40-Main Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Also James Spann now streaming live: http://www.ustream.t.../ABC-33-40-Main Awesome! One of the best in the best in the business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Could be a storm spinning up near Marks in Northwestern Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Also James Spann now streaming live: Tornado watch now further east to reach all the way to Jefferson County/Birmingham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 7 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1100 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ALABAMA EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1100 PM UNTIL 600 AM CST. SEVERAL TORNADOES ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5. WATCH NUMBER 5 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1100 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 6... DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE EWD OVERNIGHT FROM NW MS/WRN TN TO MIDDLE TN AND NW AL...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL/NE MS ALONG THE MOIST AXIS/CONFLUENCE BAND. A VERY STRONG SHEAR ENVIRONMENT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK OF BOTH SUPERCELL AND QLCS TORNADOES WHERE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY EXISTS. EVENTUALLY...THE NE EXTENT OF THE TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BECOME LIMITED BY THE RESIDUAL COOL/STABLE AIR MASS THAT HAS BEEN SLOW TO ERODE FROM NE AL/NW GA INTO ERN TN. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050. ...THOMPSON Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes Likelihood High Moderate Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind High Moderate Severe Hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 nice looking developing hook around Houston, MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Looks like that cluster may be trying to form a line of storm in front of the main line. Wow! Very stormy night ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1112 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CHICKASAW COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST * AT 1112 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TREBLOC...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF HOUSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AMORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Houston Mississippi cell is now tor warned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 http://www.whnt.com/ ABC 33/40's former met Jason Simpson is also live on WHNT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 nice looking developing hook around Houston, MS Tornado Warning now for that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1112 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CHICKASAW COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST * AT 1112 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TREBLOC...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF HOUSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AMORY. Taking an almost identical path to the Smithville EF-5 from 4/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storm to the west of Oxford, MS trying to get its act togeather. Lets hope it doesn't. Ole Miss University doesn't need to be bothered tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Storm to the west of Oxford, MS trying to get its act togeather. Lets hope it doesn't. Ole Miss University doesn't need to be bothered tonight. storm is west. Storms are hauling north and east....i'm going to go on a limb and say they'll be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 trained spotter says Tornado on the ground in the warned area in east MS. I dont see it on radar but that doesn't mean it isnt there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 The storm near Corinth MS had an SVR issued, but showed signs of stronger rotation as it was being issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Watching a storm to the east of Corinth, MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 The storm near Corinth MS had an SVR issued, but showed signs of stronger rotation as it was being issued. Tornado warned now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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