sfenn1117 Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 to call something b.s right off the bat ....where a band of nearly 3/hr stuff was falllin for a couple hours + seems silly North haven will be near the jackpot but a total like that would be on pace for a foot....no one will see a foot out of this. Jackpot will prob be 9 maybe 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 In most storms there is gonna be some weenie band that sets up and exceeds forecasts. If the met's forecasted for that upper end ..then the 90% of the region that doesn't get nearly as much would call it a busted forecast. Up here on the fringe 1.5 inches was it. Flurries at times and a nippy 13.5F. About 5.5 to 8 inches on the ground. Does this depend on what elevation of the property you're on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Ramping up nicely albeit still with small flakes. 12/13/07 intensity now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Dude every storm we go thru this. All you ever do is take the GFS qpf as verbatim and make a map off that I told you I used the NAM/GFS/SREF...I did a mix. Up until like maybe the 15z SREF the probs for 4''+ were incredibly low and even not on the map...there weren't even any probs for 8''+...but by the 15z run the probs for 4''+ increased a decent amount but I was already at the bar before the game. The NAM for QPF across the region had anywhere from 0.4'' to I think it was 0.6-0.7'' across eastern MA...GFS was around 0.3'' to 0.4''. I thought the NAM was a bit too wet so I adjusted lower more towards the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Obligatory deck shot. First tapatalk attempt. Hope it works. Sent from my PC36100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Fresh new snow down to well south of NYC..CAD FTW tomorrow night/Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 I just went out to measure again and I'm still getting 2 in.. Not sure why its not changing but I'm probably just measuring wrong? ;p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Ryan says we have no more than 2 What do you have... 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 I just went out to measure again and I'm still getting 2 in.. Not sure why its not changing but I'm probably just measuring wrong? ;p Does the ruler only go up to 2 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 What do you have... 3? I'll let you know final total when it ends later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 North haven will be near the jackpot but a total like that would be on pace for a foot....no one will see a foot out of this. Jackpot will prob be 9 maybe 10 based on what? you can't say what is or isn't gonna happen when a band like that sets up and drops about .65 or so qpf over a location i've been watchin the qpf history in s. ct and they reached .5 about an hour ago. prolly near .6 plus somewhere so ya i buy it it's gonna be an outlier either way bc the band was only about 3-6 miles wide and there may not be more reports from directly under it. picture proof would be nice but what is .6 or .65 qpf with temps in low 20's and great snow growth /ratio's in that death band equal ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Does the ruler only go up to 2 inches? Ikr.. idk whats going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Sledding was perfect. 8.0 on the nose. What a day, what a day what a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 I'll take a measurement once I get dressed. Just getting in from making naked snow angels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 worcester about to get in on some nice snow band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Rates picking up now but still small flakes...just measured 2.7"...which gives us an average of .4/hour Still, its snow ...decent band incoming too...finally some 20+ dbz action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastBayWx Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 21 F with Heavy Snow. 5.6" new so far and it currently is coming down at 1-2"/ hour. Finally winter has arrived here in coastal New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 yeah starting to look like the monday morning commute is going to be nasty! mod snow here not a bad storm at all Fresh new snow down to well south of NYC..CAD FTW tomorrow night/Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Looks like we might have a bit over 2 inches here in N Chelmsford, but going to measure in a minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Sledding was perfect. 8.0 on the nose. What a day, what a day what a day What is very encouraging is we are in overachiever mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 2.5" in Marlborough 18.6°/6.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 I'll let you know final total when it ends later on You're waiting to hear what all the other posters in NE CT have so you can tack on a few tenths and call it upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Sledding was perfect. 8.0 on the nose. What a day, what a day what a day what town...and which part of town n/w/s/e are u in.. if ya don't mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfenn1117 Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 based on what? you can't say what is or isn't gonna happen when a band like that sets up and drops about .65 or so qpf over a location i've been watchin the qpf history in s. ct and they reached .5 about an hour ago. prolly near .6 plus somewhere so ya i buy it it's gonna be an outlier either way bc the band was only about 3-6 miles wide and there may not be more reports from directly under it. picture proof would be nice but what is .6 or .65 qpf with temps in low 20's and great snow growth /ratio's in that death band equal ... Based on obs, other reported totals, family, and 24 years of living in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 You're waiting to hear what all the other posters in NE CT have so you can tack on a few tenths and call it upslope Man you're killing it today!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Sledding was perfect. 8.0 on the nose. What a day, what a day what a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 You're waiting to hear what all the other posters in NE CT have so you can tack on a few tenths and call it upslope lol. Mt. Tolland Upslope FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Fresh new snow down to well south of NYC..CAD FTW tomorrow night/Monday Your obsession with not losing snowpack FTL... embrace the green grass on the way for tues-thu before snow comes back Thu night/Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Man you're killing it today!! lol The storm is an underperformer to OK performer for the northern half of CT. No great rates... a gradual 3" or so. Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz. No other way around that. S CT is just getting pounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Based on obs, other reported totals, family, and 24 years of living in that area not sure what 24 years experience would mean haven't seen any obs directly under death band again what does .60-.65 qpf (already fallen) equal for totals with the ratio's under that band? here in wakefield mass it is starting to snow better again and i'm interested to see wether we get a nice band from ORH over to the northshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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