NEXtreme Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 No, zero snow in Feb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Is HM hyping up feb yet? When that happens the PNA will go to -5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 No snow in February is a tough thing to do, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 Is HM hyping up feb yet? When that happens the PNA will go to -5 ? HM hyping something? He isnt one for hyping, and when he does get excited, hes usually dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 28, 2012 Share Posted January 28, 2012 ? HM hyping something? He isnt one for hyping, and when he does get excited, hes usually dead on. The good HM is my favorite poster on the board lol im talking about the accuweenie one in the thread title Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 The good HM is my favorite poster on the board lol im talking about the accuweenie one in the thread title Henry damnit, dont sully HM's name like that damnit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I was talking to DT last night and he likes the storm for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 29, 2012 Author Share Posted January 29, 2012 I was talking to DT last night and he likes the storm for next weekend. A long long long time ago when DT wasn't trying to bring hits to his website and face book page, this would have meant something. Now, its about as meaningful as the CRAS output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 JB on Twitter major trough to buckle into the east later next week into much of Feb. Euro reversal to cold sign warm pattern to break over US for Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongIslandWx Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 JB on Twitter I'll believe it when I see it. In this winter, where progression has ruled, I find it difficult to believe that this "Fab Feb" is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 I'll believe it when I see it. In this winter, where progression has ruled, I find it difficult to believe that this "Fab Feb" is coming. Good old the trend is your friend. In this case it would be a big plus forJB as he continues to go against the grain with his feb call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2012 Share Posted January 29, 2012 DT WATCH FEB 11 -12 2012 ... IF there is going to be a BIG one on the East coast this winter ..a M.E.C.S -- MAJOR EAST COAST SNOWSTORM --event it could be around FEB 11 or so . By that time1)the deep cold arctic air will be in place... 2) the NEW N American PV will be in place... 3) the AO will likely be strongly negative 4) and the NAO will be either neutral or negative.... 5) there may be a short wave in the southern Jet stream -- the STJ-- that crashes into s CALIF feb 6-7 that bears watching for a possible Phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 DT changes his mind every time he posts. One minute he's hyping a storm, then he's saying how the CMC/Euro look completely different than the GFS and don't show much if any snow. Meanwhile Steve D. doesn't like this weekend's storm and thinks it will turn cold but not stormy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 DT changes his mind every time he posts. One minute he's hyping a storm, then he's saying how the CMC/Euro look completely different than the GFS and don't show much if any snow. Meanwhile Steve D. doesn't like this weekend's storm and thinks it will turn cold but not stormy hmmm it appears DT is just discussing the different models and what they show, not hyping anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I suppose. But I wonder why when its one run of one model why its worth mentioning at all...especially with an ***alert*** tag in front of it. Obviously anyone looking for snow is going to read that and get excited. hmmm it appears DT is just discussing the different models and what they show, not hyping anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I suppose. But I wonder why when its one run of one model why its worth mentioning at all...especially with an ***alert*** tag in front of it. Obviously anyone looking for snow is going to read that and get excited. Unfortunately those who do think that are just idiots. This is why most people blame the weather guy for the weather when it doesn't pan out the way they thought they heard it, because most people only hear what they want to hear. Nothing is set in stone yet on this weekend. Like most sensible people have been saying, it will be model kaos for a few more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 No snow in February is a tough thing to do, man. Even in the garbage winters, it seems like we can pretty much count on one moderate snowfall in February, i.e. 94-95, 07-08, 06-07, 96-97, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 I suppose. But I wonder why when its one run of one model why its worth mentioning at all...especially with an ***alert*** tag in front of it. Obviously anyone looking for snow is going to read that and get excited. How about people learn a little reading comprehension? I mean it is ridiculous that a met should not comment on a model in a blog or something of that sort for fear that someone will misconstrue it as a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 While I think the eastern two-thirds of the nation may see the first extensive dose of "real" winter weather, I should remind everyone that it is unlikely that the chances for cold and snow will go much beyond the middle of February. For one thing, the La Nina episode over the equatorial Pacific Ocean appears stable and may impact the course and structure of the westerlies about North America. For another, consider that there is NO connection of the convection associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation with the polar jet stream and mAk vortex below the Aleutian Islands. Since the upcoming cold surges seem to be tied to a gigantic +PNA to -EPO ridge sequence, you need a constant infusion of energy from tropical forcing to "keep the pipeline going". Still, there is evidence that a negative 500MB height anomaly will persist across the northern Pacific Ocean through at least February 13. And, many of the numerical models show a linkage between ridging across the Siberian Arctic coastline and the vast thumb-projection jet stream curvature through western North America. Those two teleconnections are friendly to long-lived cold in the lower 48 states to the right of the Continental Divide. And if you are looking for a memorable winter storm, consider that the southern branch jet stream will undercut that western ridge and (according to the three ensemble families) offer the chance for a storm across the Gulf Coast and moving very tight to the Atlantic Coast in the February 11 - 13 time frame. Analog forecasts for February favor warmer values returning to these regions in the second half of the month. So my feeling is that if a bigger snow or ice machine does develop, mid-February represents something of a "now or never" scenario for winter weather enthusiasts. Larry Cosgrove's forecast and views. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 30, 2012 Share Posted January 30, 2012 Even in the garbage winters, it seems like we can pretty much count on one moderate snowfall in February, i.e. 94-95, 07-08, 06-07, 96-97, etc. Truth be told, I can't remember one in February 1997... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 these are the February's with no measurable snow in Central Park... 1938 1971 1981 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 No snow in February is a tough thing to do, man. February 1998 had zero snow at Central Park. As another poster pointed out, that year should have gone down as the all time record low snowfall total if not for that springtime snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 these are the February's with no measurable snow in Central Park... 1938 1971 1981 2002 Better add 1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Even in the garbage winters, it seems like we can pretty much count on one moderate snowfall in February, i.e. 94-95, 07-08, 06-07, 96-97, etc. In January 2002 I did have a 6 inch snowstorm which accounted for about 3/4 of the snow that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Better add 1998. yea 1998 had no snow at all...the others had a trace...My eyes are going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 ******ALEET******* It MIGHT snow sometime between now and the end of March *******END ALEET****** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 The scary part is I'm only half sure that you're kidding... ******ALEET******* It MIGHT snow sometime between now and the end of March *******END ALEET****** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 In a search for some optimistic news I came across DT's 7:08pm discussion posted on his website. Worth a read... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 yea 1998 had no snow at all...the others had a trace...My eyes are going... 2004 was pretty horrid as well...what did it have 0.7 or something? I know 2003-2004 was only the 3rd or 4th time double digits fell in Dec/Jan and less than 1 fell in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 2004 was pretty horrid as well...what did it have 0.7 or something? I know 2003-2004 was only the 3rd or 4th time double digits fell in Dec/Jan and less than 1 fell in February. An offshore storm clipped the Twin Forks that month...depositing 4 to 5 inches generally...though just 0.1" in Port Jeff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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