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DT, Henry M, Steve D, JB Talk


TheTrials

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Actually he hasn't flip flopped. But he hasn't changed his opinion that the pattern is changing and cold and snow are coming. So essentially by not flip flopping he has been pretty much 100% wrong. (though he did call for snow in the NE last saturday pretty far out)

JB is ridiculous, he flip flops more than anybody out there, if only the pattern managed to flip flop as much as he does, then we'd be set for every winter. Can you just make up your mind and stick with it?

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One of JB's barbells hit him in the head and he now thinks he is a lawyer. Well he can sound like one. A few years ago he was asked about his hurricane call for that season and to paraphrase he told the interviewer that 'as I stated in May the GoM would be hurricane free'. He did tell her that he had predicted heavy EC action that season and of course nothing happened there either. The interviewer was uninformed or playing along. There was no followup!

Didn't he say that the MWest ala Chicago was the city to watch this winter? (rolling the video tape of last Feb. 01 is all Chicago has)

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With that DT opened fire on him again this morning, I guess he didn't learn after the pissing match he got into with the younger half last week.

Too bad DT can't ever stay on the high road. He's great when he focuses on the science and his cockiness is entertaining..but i think it reflects poorly on him when he attacks a fellow met like he did today. His FB page has probably attracted lots of followers that didnt follow his drama on all these forums and would have been a great place for him to 'start fresh'. Instead they all see how easy it is to bait him into self destructing. I still think he's an asset to whatever forum he posts in.

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Too bad DT can't ever stay on the high road. He's great when he focuses on the science and his cockiness is entertaining..but i think it reflects poorly on him when he attacks a fellow met like he did today. His FB page has probably attracted lots of followers that didnt follow his drama on all these forums and would have been a great place for him to 'start fresh'. Instead they all see how easy it is to bait him into self destructing. I still think he's an asset to whatever forum he posts in.

I noticed one of the comments on JB's blog sounded very similar to what DT said on Facebook-I'm guessing that DT has a JB subscription and posts under the comments (using a ficticous name-Joe L I think it is)

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DT does have a good write up on his thoughts as to why this is a n 01-02 redux

The only 2 real similarities are that most of the major forecasting outlets and well known meteorologists went cold both winters and the PV not really wanting to establish itself over Canada. Otherwise, worldwide this winter has been significantly colder than 01-02, this has been a horrid winter in eastern Asia, Alaska, and Russia....even Europe is about to go into a massive freeze (take a look at the latest models for a glance at that, its quite interesting, high temps of -7 or -8C in London 4-5 days from now)...those sort of things never occurred anywhere south of 50N in the 01-02 winter.

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this winter will not end up like 2001-02...We already have twice as much snow as that year...I figure at least two or three more snowfalls 1" or more...The total snowfall could reach 20" with one big storm...Temperatures should be slightly above average but still colder than January...Many years with a mild start had snowfalls in March...Even 2002 had a cold spell the first week in April...Don't throw away the shovel yet...

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this winter will not end up like 2001-02...We already have twice as much snow as that year...I figure at least two or three more snowfalls 1" or more...The total snowfall could reach 20" with one big storm...Temperatures should be slightly above average but still colder than January...Many years with a mild start had snowfalls in March...Even 2002 had a cold spell the first week in April...Don't throw away the shovel yet...

We will likely end up in the top 10 warmest winters though. I checked that yesterday and assuming Central Park averaged 36.5 for January we'd need to average I believe under 34.2 in February to not wind up in the top 10 warmest winters.

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We will likely end up in the top 10 warmest winters though. I checked that yesterday and assuming Central Park averaged 36.5 for January we'd need to average I believe under 34.2 in February to not wind up in the top 10 warmest winters.

34.2 is not that low for February...1989 was 34.5...I was thinking February ends up 35.8 like 1975...I might be to high but it is still lower than what January will average...

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Why would DT go against all the model guidance? I do not get it.

All the model guidance? The GFS shows nothing exciting. Seasonal to mostly mild for the first 11 days, then the usual colder period way out on its range and even that is nothing to write home about. Looks like the same old same old.

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All the model guidance? The GFS shows nothing exciting. Seasonal to mostly mild for the first 11 days, then the usual colder period way out on its range and even that is nothing to write home about. Looks like the same old same old.

Kind of like your posts.

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Why would DT go against all the model guidance? I do not get it.

He's not going THAT against it, although the 00Z Euro was quite cold at Day 10 with a nasty +PNA ridge. I have a feeling sometimes DT feels the need to take the opposite road of the models in scenarios where he feels alot of other mets are jumping onto the bandwagon.

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