Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Currently its 2-1 favoring no event next weekend with Steve D/JB going no and DT going yes though he's being somewhat wishy washy to what he really thinks, Henry M I'd imagine will tie the score 2-2 almost guaranteed. DT has just waffled back and forth with the models all winter-no real forecasting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I'll give Steve credit. He is the only one to basically not hype any of the so called events we've had this winter. In fact he was too low and not bullish enough with the October and January events where he called for too much rain and little accumulations. Anything we get now will be one of those thread the needled type events. Just no cold air around and it will have to be perfect timing and a situation where just enough cold air can be dragged into a storm. Currently its 2-1 favoring no event next weekend with Steve D/JB going no and DT going yes though he's being somewhat wishy washy to what he really thinks, Henry M I'd imagine will tie the score 2-2 almost guaranteed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Yep. And as has been pointed out, if JB did any historical research whatsoever he would know that to get NYC below 10F in mid Feb, you HAVE to have some pretty good snowcover in and around the city, a solid north wind with clear skies, and 850s < -25C. None of these things was present last night. Our temp actually rose from 26 to 28 between 10 and midnight and stayed at 28 the entire night. I am not defending him but thats what Thrs`s 12z Euro progged .35 in qpf on Sat and minus 30 at 5k feet air 24 hrs later . Thats what i bit on . The whole forecast went awry. and not just his The truth of the matter is the whole pattern hasnt changed . i was convinced on Thrs westhampton was getting to 0 sunday am - NOAA`S point and click was 8 friday morning for sunday in westhampton, wasnt like they didnt see it either . JUST A BUST ALL AROUND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 in his blog, he called for "Single Digits" in NYC and near zero in Boston. Of course he was counting on 3-6 inches of snow prior to that and the vortex not being shunted east. What blog? You have a subscription? I only found this on his tweets: Euro has nice look too at 48, says near 0 NYC Monday am Emperor of the north will lay down his carpet before calling pic.twitter.com/hjHbNPty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 What blog? You have a subscription? I only found this on his tweets: Euro has nice look too at 48, says near 0 NYC Monday am Emperor of the north will lay down his carpet before calling pic.twitter.com/hjHbNPty I paid for a year right before Irene to get 2 months free. Big mistake. He's been terrible this year. He went beyond that in the blog and actually said single digitis in NYC and near zero in Boston and that "point and clicks" were out to lunch (no they weren't!) I should have just followed him on Twitter for this year--oh well-hindsight is 20-20. he has a comments section on the blog and folks are just taking him to the woodshed today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEFsdFtMqao&feature=youtube_gdata_player Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers corbyn is calling for a HECS lol. I see some people that think a big storm is in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers corbyn is calling for a HECS lol. I see some people that think a big storm is in the works. Is Janice Huff calling for one too? For cryin' out loud. Your hero Piers called for numerous storms this year that have all busted. he's the JB of Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT says the gfs is wrong with the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it most likely is. Did you see the latest UKMET? It is getting close. DT says the gfs is wrong with the weekend storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it most likely is. Did you see the latest UKMET? It is getting close. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT says the gfs is wrong with the weekend storm. OP run had an error BUT ensembles have the storm well offshore http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/12zgfsensemblep12144.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT says the UKMET went 'boom', bringing snow up to NYC and LI Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT says the UKMET went 'boom', bringing snow up to NYC and LI I Ment why is the gfs being thrown out....seems pretty reasonable to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 and tomorrow they will all show a lakes cutter. Big deal at 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 and tomorrow they will all show a lakes cutter. Big deal at 7 days Agree. But its 5.5-6 days. Not 7. But I agree, that by tomorrow will be a lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Agree. But its 5.5-6 days. Not 7. But I agree, that by tomorrow will be a lakes cutter. with no cold air and no block, nothing to force it east...I'd say primary up to Buffalo. A late secondary won't save anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 why do you guys waste your time reading these awful mets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 with no cold air and no block, nothing to force it east...I'd say primary up to Buffalo. A late secondary won't save anyone. If I were to guess, I would say this storm will stay well south and east of the entire area, including the Mid-Atlantic. This is more of a Miller A type storm, so its not really a primary and a transfer. The day 3-4 storm is that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 with no cold air and no block, nothing to force it east...I'd say primary up to Buffalo. A late secondary won't save anyone. What are you seeing that none of the models see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 What are you seeing that none of the models see? seaonal trend of absolutely nothing working out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 why do you guys waste your time reading these awful mets? Do you mean "Mythology Mets"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 why do you guys waste your time reading these awful mets? so we can come here and bash the hell out of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 why do you guys waste your time reading these awful mets? Any thoughts on what you think may happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 The pattern is simply too progressive, as it has been the whole winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT is going bonkers on the weekend potential lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 why do you guys waste your time reading these awful mets? Because they actually give a forecast. What do you do besides spending your worthless day at DBM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 JB The battle royale continues in the MJO as Euro/UKMET/JMAN insist that winter is hear to stay,while NCEP MJO leave door open for collapse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 JB interesting. Gut says trust the Euro, but pattern to date says warmth will try to rule... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 JB just said in his video that he loves the pattern for the rest of this month into March. Cold and stormy in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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