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DT, Henry M, Steve D, JB Talk


TheTrials

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Currently its 2-1 favoring no event next weekend with Steve D/JB going no and DT going yes though he's being somewhat wishy washy to what he really thinks, Henry M I'd imagine will tie the score 2-2 almost guaranteed.

DT has just waffled back and forth with the models all winter-no real forecasting there.

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I'll give Steve credit. He is the only one to basically not hype any of the so called events we've had this winter. In fact he was too low and not bullish enough with the October and January events where he called for too much rain and little accumulations.

Anything we get now will be one of those thread the needled type events. Just no cold air around and it will have to be perfect timing and a situation where just enough cold air can be dragged into a storm.

Currently its 2-1 favoring no event next weekend with Steve D/JB going no and DT going yes though he's being somewhat wishy washy to what he really thinks, Henry M I'd imagine will tie the score 2-2 almost guaranteed.

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Yep. And as has been pointed out, if JB did any historical research whatsoever he would know that to get NYC below 10F in mid Feb, you HAVE to have some pretty good snowcover in and around the city, a solid north wind with clear skies, and 850s < -25C. None of these things was present last night. Our temp actually rose from 26 to 28 between 10 and midnight and stayed at 28 the entire night.

I am not defending him but thats what Thrs`s 12z Euro progged .35 in qpf on Sat and minus 30 at 5k feet air 24 hrs later . Thats what i bit on .

The whole forecast went awry. and not just his The truth of the matter is the whole pattern hasnt changed .

i was convinced on Thrs westhampton was getting to 0 sunday am - NOAA`S point and click was 8 friday morning for sunday in westhampton,

wasnt like they didnt see it either . JUST A BUST ALL AROUND

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in his blog, he called for "Single Digits" in NYC and near zero in Boston. Of course he was counting on 3-6 inches of snow prior to that and the vortex not being shunted east.

What blog? You have a subscription? I only found this on his tweets:

Euro has nice look too at 48, says near 0 NYC Monday am

Emperor of the north will lay down his carpet before calling pic.twitter.com/hjHbNPty

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What blog? You have a subscription? I only found this on his tweets:

Euro has nice look too at 48, says near 0 NYC Monday am

Emperor of the north will lay down his carpet before calling pic.twitter.com/hjHbNPty

I paid for a year right before Irene to get 2 months free. Big mistake. He's been terrible this year. He went beyond that in the blog and actually said single digitis in NYC and near zero in Boston and that "point and clicks" were out to lunch (no they weren't!)

I should have just followed him on Twitter for this year--oh well-hindsight is 20-20.

he has a comments section on the blog and folks are just taking him to the woodshed today...

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with no cold air and no block, nothing to force it east...I'd say primary up to Buffalo. A late secondary won't save anyone.

If I were to guess, I would say this storm will stay well south and east of the entire area, including the Mid-Atlantic.

This is more of a Miller A type storm, so its not really a primary and a transfer. The day 3-4 storm is that.

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