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DT, Henry M, Steve D, JB Talk


TheTrials

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Last February with a sub ten degree Fahrenheit reading in Central Park -- 2007.

Yep, Feb 5, 2007. That was a frigid day (I remember it even in DC where I was living at the time). High in NYC was 18, low was 8. I'm sure in the burbs it was WELL below zero. That was actually part of a streak of 6 days where the highs were 32 or lower and the lows stayed in the single digits/teens.

Even DCA was 22/13 that day.

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Remember not so long ago when JB thought it would get down to near 0 in NYC tonight... and right now, as of 2AM, its 28 degrees in Central Park. :arrowhead:

I remember - in fact a few people around here thought so too and they blasted me when i said only upper teens and low 20's without snow cover - looking forward to the next couple days JB is going to be doing another hype job with this potential storm next weekend to try to gather more subscriptions to his weatherbust service....

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I remember - in fact a few people around here thought so too and they blasted me when i said only upper teens and low 20's without snow cover - looking forward to the next couple days JB is going to be doing another hype job with this potential storm next weekend to try to gather more subscriptions to his weatherbust service....

He'll probably downplay this one and it will be the one that finally does happen.

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JB does have his moments. I remember him being one of the very few to nail the 3/13/10 massive wind event, when most other outlets were just mentioning the run of the mill 40-50 mph rainy nor'easter. He mentioned hurricane force gusts, which is exactly what we experienced. But I agree, he goes out on a limb and gets excited way too often, and gets burned as a result. I think he got 07-08 right, when he mentioned it being mainly a warm winter south of Boston.

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JB is quoting Piers Corbyn (who has busted on every single one of his calls this year). Desperation reigns supreme. This has been JB's worst winter bar none. He's always bad in warm winters, but this one he has reached a new low.

one of the reasons he is bad in warm winters is because he is always trying to find a way to invent a cold/snowy scenario to attract new subscribers -and most of the time he busts - example- this winter -- in the cold winters when he does that its easy to be correct because there is a much greater chance of a cold/snowy period. Lets face it he is a businessman - whatever brings in the $$ he goes for it.....

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one of the reasons he is bad in warm winters is because he is always trying to find a way to invent a cold/snowy scenario to attract new subscribers -and most of the time he busts - example- this winter -- in the cold winters when he does that its easy to be correct because there is a much greater chance of a cold/snowy period. Lets face it he is a businessman - whatever brings in the $$ he goes for it.....

agree-even today he's hyping a 1-2 inch snow event-who cares, it's 40-45 and won't stick. I don't call that an event. His column though is devoid of any discussion of cold or pattern changes--I'd say he's finally seeing the light there...

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NO he did NOT call for 0 in NYC. He was saying what the EURO was showing at that time a week ago...lol..I actually read his tweet...lol

in his blog, he called for "Single Digits" in NYC and near zero in Boston. Of course he was counting on 3-6 inches of snow prior to that and the vortex not being shunted east.

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in his blog, he called for "Single Digits" in NYC and near zero in Boston. Of course he was counting on 3-6 inches of snow prior to that.

Yep. And as has been pointed out, if JB did any historical research whatsoever he would know that to get NYC below 10F in mid Feb, you HAVE to have some pretty good snowcover in and around the city, a solid north wind with clear skies, and 850s < -25C. None of these things was present last night. Our temp actually rose from 26 to 28 between 10 and midnight and stayed at 28 the entire night.

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one of the reasons he is bad in warm winters is because he is always trying to find a way to invent a cold/snowy scenario to attract new subscribers -and most of the time he busts - example- this winter -- in the cold winters when he does that its easy to be correct because there is a much greater chance of a cold/snowy period. Lets face it he is a businessman - whatever brings in the $$ he goes for it.....

Whos not in the bussiness of making money?Actually he's been calling for a mild winter... nothing like the last 2 years. He's said that a million times . Nobody puts a gun to your head to subscribe in the first place. He tweets most of his thinking for free anyway. Theres really no need to subscribe unless you want a bit more details. The more he busts the less people will subscribe and renwew. His credibility is on the line.

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Whos not in the bussiness of making money?Actually he's been calling for a mild winter... nothing like the last 2 years. He's said that a million times . Nobody puts a gun to your head to subscribe in the first place. He tweets most of his thinking for free anyway. Theres really no need to subscribe unless you want a bit more details. The more he busts the less people will subscribe and renwew. His credibility is on the line.

Wrong. He called for a cold december and a milder end of winter witht the northeastern US getting b/w 100-125% of normal snowfall. (most will be lucky to get to 40%) He then called for a pattern flip to much cold and snowier by 2/1 and even used the term "fab feb" and "mad March". So he busted twice on the same winter forecast. We've had nothing that can be called a snowier/colder pattern anywhere in the US outside of maybe Maine. His individual storm forecasts have been dreadful too. His worst season since 01-02 by far.

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