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January 20-21 2012 Snowstorm OBS & Disco


earthlight

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Yep. When I was taking the New Brunswick wx obs this morning I melted the snow that had fallen in the rain gauge and got about 0.20'' of liquid. And that was only through 7 AM.

Sounds right on. I had 0.24" at 8 AM via a core sample. That was with 2.1" of snow, fwiw.

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How is 2-2.5" a major shaft zone? Calm down bro.

im calm, heaviest snow of the day right now, flakes are getting bigger. maybe i can squeeze out another inch before it ends.

My forecast called for 4-6 btw...(from NWS)

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Over 2 inches. Coming down really good. 3-5 inch calls for the city will verify.

For once I'm not in the screw zone..

:hug:

Man this storm is playing out like the one in 2001-2002. We should get near 4" when it's all said and done just like that one storm in that winter, and then we torch in a day and a half with rain. And then next week we stay torching. I'm still happy we have at least one winter snow event just to say this winter is not a total loss.

Next week isn't going to torch. 40's and 50's aren't a torch lol. I see a good February but we will save that for another thread.

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Just checked the mesoanalysis for 14z... the 925 mb and 850 mb plots show all of us below 0C except southern Jersey, so the changeover may be just how deep the convection/cloud mass is at a give time to places closer to the 0C line. If you lose snow growth saturation, its going to be sleet or be freezing rain since the precip didnt crystalize. Unless of course the mesoanalysis is wrong

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Folks..another thing with this crying wolf about QPF being under model. The ASOS's out there do not do well when the temperature is well below freezing. The best way to determine that is do a melt/core sample. Before you cry model bust, think about this.

Mesonet reports for 12hr precip look pretty low, especially outside the consistent band. I'm not sure how reliable they are though.

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