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January 20-21 2012 Snowstorm OBS & Disco


earthlight

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With the bands in southern NYC and Rockland County still in place, the heavier snow seems to be consolidating over Hudson county... hopefully I'll also get my 15-20 minute share of heavy snow before going back to the dry slot, the other possibility is for the banding in Morris county to start shifting a bit east.

post-1753-0-72402000-1327155595.gif

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  On 1/21/2012 at 2:14 PM, SBUWX23 said:

Folks..another thing with this crying wolf about QPF being under model. The ASOS's out there do not do well when the temperature is well below freezing. The best way to determine that is do a melt/core sample. Before you cry model bust, think about this.

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  On 1/21/2012 at 2:22 PM, psv88 said:

i think the event is underperforming for most of nassau, most of the heavier echoes went north, south or blew up to the east. Light snow, about 2-2.5 inches now.

meh.

If you wind up at or close to 3" that still puts you in the range of every published forecast ive seen for this event

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  On 1/21/2012 at 2:19 PM, William said:

HRRR (latest, forgot which hour) looks good for much of Long Island for next 2 hours...

...what about the rising temps,william??.its gonna be a race to

the finish w/ regards to temps rising and the snow/precip. winding down..

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  On 1/21/2012 at 2:14 PM, SBUWX23 said:

Folks..another thing with this crying wolf about QPF being under model. The ASOS's out there do not do well when the temperature is well below freezing. The best way to determine that is do a melt/core sample. Before you cry model bust, think about this.

Yep. When I was taking the New Brunswick wx obs this morning I melted the snow that had fallen in the rain gauge and got about 0.20'' of liquid. And that was only through 7 AM.

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Man this storm is playing out like the one in 2001-2002. We should get near 4" when it's all said and done just like that one storm in that winter, and then we torch in a day and a half with rain. And then next week we stay torching. I'm still happy we have at least one winter snow event just to say this winter is not a total loss.

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