usedtobe Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 30.6 with a 30% RH here in northern Calvert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 NAM didn't have any precip that close on sim radar, so no, that's not what I meant http://mag.ncep.noaa...el=&imageSize=L this stuff is racing in no model had any precip in here before 10pm and i have a very light rain sleet mix now 39/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 27/11 Radar has some snow aloft, all virga obviously. good stuff looks back to OH and WV We mostly care about the stuff down by Blacksburg, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 i dont recall.. im sure it was corny and or stupid. cold here, cloudy too I'll never forget that one for some reason. It was Thursday night. We'd all stayed up for the 0z models for a storm that the models had trended away from us all day. When the 0z came in even worse you said "I may kill the next person I see". Of course, by 12z the models started swinging wildly in our favor, so you escaped the homocide charge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 30 degrees with 14 dewpoint and cloudy Lotta that precip on radar movin due east - well south of my BY I expect a couple spits of snow, then mainly fz dz and sleet then to regular rain by about 4am or so. Strong WAA will warm me abv frz by sunrise Dry airmass will hold much of the pcpn off til Sat morning around 10am welcome to la nina in washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I just dropped below freezing currently at 31.8 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 30 degrees with 14 dewpoint and cloudy Lotta that precip on radar movin due east - well south of my BY I expect a couple spits of snow, then mainly fz dz and sleet then to regular rain by about 4am or so. Strong WAA will warm me abv frz by sunrise Dry airmass will hold much of the pcpn off til Sat morning around 10am welcome to la nina in washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 droppin', 31.8F, rh 45% / 13F dp. Seems about on tap with what guidance has shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 droppin', 31.8F, rh 45% / 13F dp. Seems about on tap with what guidance has shown. 31.6/14.8 Watching the Euro, one reason it doesn't give us much snow was that it didn't develop much precip west of 81 and the precip it developed Roanoke and east missed us to the SE. However, there are now returns west of Blackburg over to Beckley. Something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 31.6/14.8 Watching the Euro, one reason it doesn't give us much snow was that it didn't develop much precip west of 81 and the precip it developed Roanoke and east missed us to the SE. However, there are now returns west of Blackburg over to Beckley. Something to keep an eye on. Do you have a hunch/idea on what guidance system is more on par with reality? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 You got me eagle man - Let me rewrite that. 30 degrees with 14 dewpoint and cloudy Lotta that precip on radar movin due east - well south of my BY Dry airmass will hold most of the pcpn off til Sat morning around 10am, but I may see a couple spits of very light snow overnight, then a few spits of sleet and a little freezing drizzle. Once the bulk of the moisture reaches my backyard by 10am Saturday morning, the warm advection overhead will have raised my backyard temperature above freezing, and I will see mainly regular rain. welcome to la nina in washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 We mostly care about the stuff down by Blacksburg, though. I want it all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Do you have a hunch/idea on what guidance system is more on par with reality? The GFS timing looks better, but the NAM is doing well with placement of the precip, just maybe 2 hrs slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 I know it's just weenie radar but intellicast is really filling in nicely to our SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 28/6 in Hagerstown with virgaaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 6pm DCA: 34/10 IAD: 30/10 BWI: 32/10 MRB: 28/8 HGR: 27/6 7pm DCA: 34/9 IAD: 30/10 BWI: 31/12 MRB: 29/7 HGR: 27/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 30.9 here. Getting ready to head out for a girls night but plan on being home before 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Temp 30 DP 10 RH 43% Waiting patiently... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Hot Springs (W of CHO, SW of Stauton) reports mixed precip at 30/27 in 7 pm update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 You got me eagle man - Let me rewrite that. 30 degrees with 14 dewpoint and cloudy Lotta that precip on radar movin due east - well south of my BY Dry airmass will hold most of the pcpn off til Sat morning around 10am, but I may see a couple spits of very light snow overnight, then a few spits of sleet and a little freezing drizzle. Once the bulk of the moisture reaches my backyard by 10am Saturday morning, the warm advection overhead will have raised my backyard temperature above freezing, and I will see mainly regular rain. welcome to la nina in washington You will begin seeing a mix of snow pellets and sleet by midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 32/14 nearest wxbug to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 im excited for precip.. temps/dp are boring everything to the sw so far looks very mixy/sleety. i guess that might change heading ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 What a waste of echoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 as nice as the radar looks, my concern is that expansive precip is showing up because of more warm air aloft anyone else want to o-c disorder with me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 RUC/RR/HRRR all put precip into the metro areas by 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 23z RUC brings 0c 850 line past DC around 09z (5am) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2012 Author Share Posted January 21, 2012 as nice as the radar looks, my concern is that expansive precip is showing up because of more warm air aloft anyone else want to o-c disorder with me? Im on a phone now but there should be some mesoscale analysis or just use the next RUC initialization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 23z RUC brings 0c 850 line past DC around 09z (5am) Please stop quoting RUC temp profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Im on a phone now but there should be some mesoscale analysis or just use the next RUC initialization. When does the 00z sounding usually come out on the public sites? I just checked UCAR and it isn't there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2012 Share Posted January 21, 2012 Im on a phone now but there should be some mesoscale analysis or just use the next RUC initialization. the numbers are not that easy to read.. 850s <mn transplant beat me> -- link: http://www.spc.noaa.....php?sector=17# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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