Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Very light snow here with very very light returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The flurries have now become a solid light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 you make a call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 I said 5-8" last night for MBY and still like that. Need over 5.5" at ORD to beat Caplan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Going with 3 inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I think one of our early Dec snowfalls had an advisory? Dont exactly remember. Its all about the issuing forecaster. DTX is always conservative like that, and imo its stupid not issuing one esp for consistency purposes with GRR. Right now they are going with advisory for Monroe (3-5) and no advisory for Detroit with "conservative" (their words) forecast of 2-4". If NAM/EURO are right, you can bank on them upgrading Detroit to an advisory. Technically, ONLY Oakland County had a Winter Storm Watch that was downgraded to a WWA for the November 30th event, but it was only for the far NW part of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 SEMI snow Map. General 2 to 4" for most. Up to 5" in some spots around Ann Arbor and SW Wayne Cty. 1 to 2" in Northeastern Macomb and St. Clair as dry air will be a havoc on snowfall initially. My Call for DTW 3.6". FNT 2.6" PTK 2.7" PHN 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Considering is is 8 degrees and cloudy, I see temps having a hard time getting to 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Well I have gone from 10 below to positive 2 since 1AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 also pwtr gettin' close to .5 in SW Iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 also pwtr gettin' close to .5 in SW Iowa I think the fgen maps will be much more useful in pinpointing where heavy bands line up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I think the fgen maps will be much more useful in pinpointing where heavy bands line up yeah...was just checkin' the saturation v virga . . . but yur image verifies as heaviest reports are coming outta NW Iowa for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 yeah...was just checkin' the saturation v virga . . . but yur image verifies as heaviest reports are coming outta NW Iowa for the most part we're in the process of saturating right now, i think the city starts seeing light snow around 10:30, it also looks like we'll see a nice fgen band from RFD ESE into the city...but that's just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 KDBQ 201337Z 07004KT 1 3/4SM -SN OVC022 M17/M22 A3011 RMK AO2 SNB29 PNO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Obvious trolll is obvious. Obvious looser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Final, final. ORD: 5-7" MDW: 5-7" RFD: 5-7" MKE: 4-6" IKK: 3-5" FWA: 4-6" OKK: 2-4" LAF: 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Obviously, we're in nowcast mode, but the 12z NAM has shifted the heaviest band in Iowa down to Waterloo, the farthest south it has ever had it. Current radar and obs have a heavy band over that location now. Waterloo is down to 1/4 mi vis. I am currently still getting a solid light snow, with an accumulation of 0.6" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Final, final. ORD: 5-7" MDW: 5-7" RFD: 5-7" MKE: 4-6" IKK: 3-5" FWA: 4-6" OKK: 2-4" LAF: 1-2" I think LAF will get another 3, going to be all snow there. I'm optimistic about an 1 inch will fall IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Obvious looser. You spell about as good as me Final, final. ORD: 5-7" MDW: 5-7" RFD: 5-7" MKE: 4-6" IKK: 3-5" FWA: 4-6" OKK: 2-4" LAF: 1-2" start calling you cyclone.. 1-2" lol. 4" for Kenosha maybe lol. Gl down there! 7" 2 day total looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 SEMI snow Map. General 2 to 4" for most. Up to 5" in some spots around Ann Arbor and SW Wayne Cty. 1 to 2" in Northeastern Macomb and St. Clair as dry air will be a havoc on snowfall initially. My Call for DTW 3.6". FNT 2.6" PTK 2.7" PHN 1.5". imo biggest wild card is ratios. So many different numbers have been thrown out for ratios, and thats what it will all come down to. Temps will be in the teens. Will this be a sandy powder (10:1), a fluffy powder (20:1) or somewhere in between (15:1)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I think LAF will get another 3, going to be all snow there. I'm optimistic about an 1 inch will fall IMBY. Yeah I don't know. QPF looks rather meager here. I'm worried about missing out on the WAA portion entirely and then "southern" portion of the storm up here skirts to the south. Kind of a squeeze play. Models have flipped flopped a little on this idea. I think 1-2" is a good middle ground...if there is such a thing with light amounts either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Obvious looser. calling him loose? That's kind of weird... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 start calling you cyclone.. 1-2" lol. 4" for Kenosha maybe lol. Gl down there! 7" 2 day total looking good. Euro or bust for me with MKE. Hoping the good ratios work out...though I like my lower end of the call better at the moment. I would be shocked if we get over 2". Too far south and then too far north. We'll see. Good luck to you as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 imo biggest wild card is ratios. So many different numbers have been thrown out for ratios, and thats what it will all come down to. Temps will be in the teens. Will this be a sandy powder (10:1), a fluffy powder (20:1) or somewhere in between (15:1)? DTX nailed it in reference to flake size being an inhibitor . I'm going for the under on the totals. General 1-3 for the metro areas and 4 totals in TOL. This system might be headed further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Saints- I was thinking 4...but i guess it all depends on snow ratios. Name says 4 to 6...sure looks like the heaviest stays well south... Chicago looks golden. -1F and the snow is falling pretty good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 calling him loose? That's kind of weird... iPhone typing FTL.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 DTX nailed it in reference to flake size being an inhibitor . I'm going for the under on the totals. General 1-3 for the metro areas and 4 totals in TOL. This system might be headed further south. Definitely better the farther south you go. Right now I will say I will be shocked if DTW gets less than 2" or more than 5", I realistically expect 3-4". Biggest snow of season is 3.4" at DTW on Dec 5th but by a mile this will still be the biggest impact snow of the season with temps/road conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Definitely better the farther south you go. Right now I will say I will be shocked if DTW gets less than 2" or more than 5", I realistically expect 3-4". Biggest snow of season is 3.4" at DTW on Dec 5th but by a mile this will still be the biggest impact snow of the season with temps/road conditions. Wrong thread for this..... But you have to lol. It's Jan 20th and here we are talking about a 3.5 inch snow being the big fish. josh? You want to frolic with the sub 20 inch folks now? Lol. JK. This winter has been a headake for the State. Even Snyder complained about the lack of snow during the State of the State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 numerous sites reporting 1/2 mile and 1/4 mile vis in Iowa now.... rampin' up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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