B-Rent Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 2/6/07 says hi. That was a wonderful birthday present. First in on a house fire in ripping snow is awesome. I'm worried even if we see a .1 ice event here around Anderson. Squirrel farts have been knocking out power to half the city lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 How's it looking for the DGZ and snowflakes sizes for N. IL? Does the warm air aloft ever cut into the DGZ in the warning area?I I'm thinking it's going to be pretty good/larger sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 0z ecmwf is coming in a bit further south and possibly a bit wetter for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Looking at the radar with my eyes it certainly seem the south is gonna win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00z Euro nudging south but fairly wide band of decent QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Man I didn't realize how much I looked at the HRRR until today/tonight. Definitely feeling like a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Can't wait for the De-spoiler! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00Z Euro: MOP: 0.14 ORD: 0.50 MKE: 0.39 BTL: 0.39 DET: 0.34 PTK: 0.27 TOL: 0.49 LAF: 0.18 DVN: 0.21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00z Euro nudging south but fairly wide band of decent QPF. Definitely didn't cave to the other models, but a bit of a nudge SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Can't wait for the De-spoiler! Looks like close to .4 for DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 .45" at DPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Looks like close to .4 for DTW The good news I guess is that the Euro is fairly consistant with the qpf being between .3 and .4 with good ratios, maybe someone can squeeze out several inches.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 The good news I guess is that the Euro is fairly consistant with the qpf being between .3 and .4 with good ratios, maybe someone can squeeze out several inches.. 3 to 5" has been pretty consistent around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 OKK??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 KLSE on the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Definitely didn't cave to the other models, but a bit of a nudge SE. I do wonder if it's too liberal with the northward extent. There is a lot of dry air up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Eh, why not guess some storm total numbers: ORD: 7.2" MKE: 4.1" MOP: 1.8" DTW: 4.0" TOL: 5.8" BTL: 4.5" LAF: 1.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Euro still the driest outlier for the QC, but a step in the right direction. My earlier call for here was 2", but considering the shift south of all the 00z guidance I'm thinking we have a shot at 3". My earlier 1-1.5" for the QC can be bumped to more like 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I do wonder if it's too liberal with the northward extent. There is a lot of dry air up there. Yeah, I'm thinking maybe a little suppression going on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 0z ECMWF LSE: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -13.1 -14.0 1024 70 99 0.17 542 524 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -13.0 -14.1 1024 73 79 0.07 543 525 MSN: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -13.8 -13.2 1024 70 98 0.15 544 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -13.4 -12.8 1023 83 93 0.23 544 527 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -18.4 -12.8 1024 84 21 0.01 546 527 MKE: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -12.3 -13.8 1024 70 100 0.08 545 527 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.8 -13.1 1021 81 99 0.27 544 528 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.9 -13.8 1022 76 38 0.04 545 528 SBM: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -12.5 -15.8 1024 62 100 0.04 541 523 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -11.9 -14.3 1023 81 97 0.13 542 524 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -15.3 -14.3 1024 81 26 0.01 543 525 CID: FRI 12Z 20-JAN -14.0 -8.6 1023 59 100 0.04 550 533 FRI 18Z 20-JAN -11.8 -8.5 1021 76 96 0.12 550 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -11.4 -10.4 1022 81 87 0.04 548 532 DVN: FRI 12Z 20-JAN -12.1 -8.5 1023 45 100 0.01 550 532 FRI 18Z 20-JAN -10.9 -7.8 1021 69 93 0.14 551 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.8 -8.6 1021 80 92 0.05 549 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -15.1 -9.1 1023 83 39 0.01 550 532 PIA: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.0 -3.8 1020 49 86 0.04 554 539 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.4 -4.6 1019 66 95 0.03 552 538 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.3 -5.8 1021 77 54 0.01 551 535 RFD: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -11.5 -10.1 1023 72 100 0.17 548 531 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -10.4 -9.8 1021 86 100 0.23 547 531 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -12.8 -11.5 1023 85 37 0.04 548 530 ORD: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.2 -10.0 1022 78 99 0.12 549 532 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.3 -8.7 1020 87 99 0.28 548 532 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.2 -9.9 1021 83 51 0.09 548 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -8.4 -9.6 1023 75 12 0.01 550 532 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -3.7 -6.9 1025 70 19 0.01 554 535 MDW: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.1 -9.2 1022 76 99 0.10 549 532 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.7 -8.2 1020 85 99 0.25 549 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.6 -9.1 1020 83 54 0.09 548 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -6.5 -9.5 1023 76 12 0.01 550 533 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -4.9 -5.7 1025 69 17 0.01 555 535 DEC: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -4.1 -1.2 1019 41 76 0.01 557 542 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -2.7 -0.6 1016 51 90 0.00 555 543 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -5.7 -2.1 1019 72 73 0.03 554 539 VPZ: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.9 -7.9 1022 66 100 0.06 550 533 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.2 -6.9 1020 82 100 0.23 550 534 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -9.7 -7.8 1020 86 73 0.12 549 533 LAF: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -6.8 -3.6 1021 50 99 0.03 554 538 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -5.4 -1.0 1018 62 86 0.03 554 540 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.4 -3.6 1018 82 83 0.12 552 538 IND: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -4.6 -1.3 1020 43 92 0.01 557 541 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -2.6 1.1 1017 52 63 0.01 556 543 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -4.3 -0.5 1017 81 96 0.08 555 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -6.6 -2.9 1021 81 42 0.02 554 538 OKK: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.3 -4.5 1022 48 100 0.02 554 537 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.2 -1.3 1018 66 89 0.06 553 539 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.7 -4.2 1018 86 92 0.15 552 538 FWA: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.8 -7.4 1023 42 100 0.01 551 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.7 -3.9 1020 77 100 0.15 551 536 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.2 -5.5 1019 89 97 0.23 550 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -10.3 -6.5 1022 85 19 0.01 551 534 HAO: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -1.3 1.9 1017 52 48 0.01 557 544 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -1.8 3.0 1014 82 98 0.04 556 545 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -3.8 -1.3 1018 82 67 0.06 555 541 DAY: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -3.1 0.1 1018 54 61 0.02 555 541 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.4 0.9 1016 83 97 0.07 554 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -5.6 -3.0 1019 86 63 0.08 553 539 CMH: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -3.1 -0.6 1019 60 75 0.03 555 540 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.1 1.4 1016 84 97 0.06 554 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.8 -2.3 1018 85 73 0.12 553 539 TDZ: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.2 -7.8 1022 73 100 0.14 550 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -5.7 -6.5 1019 89 100 0.29 548 534 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -9.4 -8.2 1022 83 16 0.04 549 532 CLE: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -5.8 -9.1 1023 70 100 0.06 550 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.0 -5.8 1018 87 99 0.27 549 534 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.5 -7.6 1019 83 42 0.12 549 534 MKG: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -8.1 -15.5 1023 67 100 0.02 543 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -8.4 -13.5 1022 83 98 0.21 543 526 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -11.2 -13.2 1022 82 62 0.05 544 527 GRR: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.9 -13.1 1023 56 100 0.01 544 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.2 -12.2 1022 86 100 0.20 544 527 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -13.1 -12.0 1022 88 72 0.08 544 527 BTL: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -8.1 -11.7 1024 51 99 0.01 546 528 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.1 -9.8 1022 82 100 0.23 547 530 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.5 -9.8 1021 88 84 0.15 546 530 ADG: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.9 -8.8 1022 76 99 0.19 548 531 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.1 -7.9 1020 89 99 0.26 547 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -13.7 -8.9 1023 82 10 0.01 548 531 DTW: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.5 -11.0 1023 75 98 0.13 547 529 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.4 -8.9 1020 88 98 0.24 546 530 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -13.4 -10.0 1023 83 9 0.01 547 530 PHN: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -10.5 -13.2 1024 83 100 0.07 544 525 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.4 -11.7 1021 84 97 0.14 543 527 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -11.6 -12.0 1022 81 9 0.01 545 528 YKF: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -8.8 -15.1 1024 64 100 0.01 542 523 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.9 -13.4 1021 78 100 0.09 541 525 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -12.7 -13.5 1021 77 24 0.01 542 525 YYZ: SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.6 -14.2 1021 71 99 0.08 540 524 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -7.2 -13.8 1021 72 45 0.03 540 524 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Is it just me or is the ratios really high for SEMI. Im thinking around 15-17 to 1??. DTX is calling 11-14 to 1. Thinking way higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 00Z Euro: MOP: 0.14 ORD: 0.50 MKE: 0.39 BTL: 0.39 DET: 0.34 PTK: 0.27 TOL: 0.49 LAF: 0.18 DVN: 0.21 For my backyard i have never ever seen a model stay so consitent. I think this makes either 3 or 4 runs in a row with .39! Looks like the euro mainly did a little trimming along the ( Northern and southern ) edges. Big noticable difference is the added QPF further west in N.IA/S.MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Very cold/dry airmass. Look at those -20's dewpoints in northern Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Weatherunderground Euro snow maps look really good!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Weatherunderground Euro snow maps look really good!! Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 0z ECMWF LSE: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -13.1 -14.0 1024 70 99 0.17 542 524 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -13.0 -14.1 1024 73 79 0.07 543 525 MSN: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -13.8 -13.2 1024 70 98 0.15 544 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -13.4 -12.8 1023 83 93 0.23 544 527 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -18.4 -12.8 1024 84 21 0.01 546 527 MKE: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -12.3 -13.8 1024 70 100 0.08 545 527 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.8 -13.1 1021 81 99 0.27 544 528 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.9 -13.8 1022 76 38 0.04 545 528 SBM: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -12.5 -15.8 1024 62 100 0.04 541 523 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -11.9 -14.3 1023 81 97 0.13 542 524 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -15.3 -14.3 1024 81 26 0.01 543 525 CID: FRI 12Z 20-JAN -14.0 -8.6 1023 59 100 0.04 550 533 FRI 18Z 20-JAN -11.8 -8.5 1021 76 96 0.12 550 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -11.4 -10.4 1022 81 87 0.04 548 532 DVN: FRI 12Z 20-JAN -12.1 -8.5 1023 45 100 0.01 550 532 FRI 18Z 20-JAN -10.9 -7.8 1021 69 93 0.14 551 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.8 -8.6 1021 80 92 0.05 549 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -15.1 -9.1 1023 83 39 0.01 550 532 PIA: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.0 -3.8 1020 49 86 0.04 554 539 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.4 -4.6 1019 66 95 0.03 552 538 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.3 -5.8 1021 77 54 0.01 551 535 RFD: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -11.5 -10.1 1023 72 100 0.17 548 531 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -10.4 -9.8 1021 86 100 0.23 547 531 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -12.8 -11.5 1023 85 37 0.04 548 530 ORD: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.2 -10.0 1022 78 99 0.12 549 532 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.3 -8.7 1020 87 99 0.28 548 532 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.2 -9.9 1021 83 51 0.09 548 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -8.4 -9.6 1023 75 12 0.01 550 532 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -3.7 -6.9 1025 70 19 0.01 554 535 MDW: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.1 -9.2 1022 76 99 0.10 549 532 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.7 -8.2 1020 85 99 0.25 549 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.6 -9.1 1020 83 54 0.09 548 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -6.5 -9.5 1023 76 12 0.01 550 533 SAT 18Z 21-JAN -4.9 -5.7 1025 69 17 0.01 555 535 DEC: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -4.1 -1.2 1019 41 76 0.01 557 542 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -2.7 -0.6 1016 51 90 0.00 555 543 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -5.7 -2.1 1019 72 73 0.03 554 539 VPZ: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -9.9 -7.9 1022 66 100 0.06 550 533 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.2 -6.9 1020 82 100 0.23 550 534 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -9.7 -7.8 1020 86 73 0.12 549 533 LAF: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -6.8 -3.6 1021 50 99 0.03 554 538 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -5.4 -1.0 1018 62 86 0.03 554 540 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.4 -3.6 1018 82 83 0.12 552 538 IND: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -4.6 -1.3 1020 43 92 0.01 557 541 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -2.6 1.1 1017 52 63 0.01 556 543 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -4.3 -0.5 1017 81 96 0.08 555 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -6.6 -2.9 1021 81 42 0.02 554 538 OKK: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.3 -4.5 1022 48 100 0.02 554 537 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.2 -1.3 1018 66 89 0.06 553 539 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.7 -4.2 1018 86 92 0.15 552 538 FWA: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.8 -7.4 1023 42 100 0.01 551 534 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.7 -3.9 1020 77 100 0.15 551 536 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -7.2 -5.5 1019 89 97 0.23 550 536 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -10.3 -6.5 1022 85 19 0.01 551 534 HAO: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -1.3 1.9 1017 52 48 0.01 557 544 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -1.8 3.0 1014 82 98 0.04 556 545 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -3.8 -1.3 1018 82 67 0.06 555 541 DAY: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -3.1 0.1 1018 54 61 0.02 555 541 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.4 0.9 1016 83 97 0.07 554 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -5.6 -3.0 1019 86 63 0.08 553 539 CMH: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -3.1 -0.6 1019 60 75 0.03 555 540 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -3.1 1.4 1016 84 97 0.06 554 542 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.8 -2.3 1018 85 73 0.12 553 539 TDZ: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -6.2 -7.8 1022 73 100 0.14 550 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -5.7 -6.5 1019 89 100 0.29 548 534 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -9.4 -8.2 1022 83 16 0.04 549 532 CLE: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -5.8 -9.1 1023 70 100 0.06 550 533 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.0 -5.8 1018 87 99 0.27 549 534 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -4.5 -7.6 1019 83 42 0.12 549 534 MKG: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -8.1 -15.5 1023 67 100 0.02 543 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -8.4 -13.5 1022 83 98 0.21 543 526 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -11.2 -13.2 1022 82 62 0.05 544 527 GRR: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -7.9 -13.1 1023 56 100 0.01 544 526 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.2 -12.2 1022 86 100 0.20 544 527 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -13.1 -12.0 1022 88 72 0.08 544 527 BTL: FRI 18Z 20-JAN -8.1 -11.7 1024 51 99 0.01 546 528 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -9.1 -9.8 1022 82 100 0.23 547 530 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.5 -9.8 1021 88 84 0.15 546 530 ADG: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.9 -8.8 1022 76 99 0.19 548 531 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.1 -7.9 1020 89 99 0.26 547 532 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -13.7 -8.9 1023 82 10 0.01 548 531 DTW: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -7.5 -11.0 1023 75 98 0.13 547 529 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.4 -8.9 1020 88 98 0.24 546 530 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -13.4 -10.0 1023 83 9 0.01 547 530 PHN: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -10.5 -13.2 1024 83 100 0.07 544 525 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -10.4 -11.7 1021 84 97 0.14 543 527 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -11.6 -12.0 1022 81 9 0.01 545 528 YKF: SAT 00Z 21-JAN -8.8 -15.1 1024 64 100 0.01 542 523 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -8.9 -13.4 1021 78 100 0.09 541 525 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -12.7 -13.5 1021 77 24 0.01 542 525 YYZ: SAT 06Z 21-JAN -6.6 -14.2 1021 71 99 0.08 540 524 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -7.2 -13.8 1021 72 45 0.03 540 524 How does MIE look on the Euro? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Link? http://www.wundergro...i=0&ls=0&rad2=0 You've got to change it to Euro and then map Type Snowfall..Also you can zoom it all the way to your location.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 How does MIE look on the Euro? Thanks. MIE FRI 18Z 20-JAN -6.2 -3.9 1022 42 99 0.01 555 538 SAT 00Z 21-JAN -5.0 -0.7 1018 60 75 0.04 554 540 SAT 06Z 21-JAN -5.6 -2.0 1017 86 99 0.14 553 540 SAT 12Z 21-JAN -7.5 -4.4 1021 87 39 0.03 552 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Since the HRRR continues to be offline... the latest RPM looks pretty sweet for pretty much all of northern Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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