Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I think our goose is cooked in that regard. Lesson learned...WAA always is greater than modeled. Though the returns are sorta diminishing as they head into the county. May not really matter. Radar looks sweet up in N IL. Enjoy guys (and gals). Short range models look cold enough. I think we'll be ok when we get halfway decent returns in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Do they not have headlines out right now? Headlines for a 1-4" event. Why? Really no point for this area. Plus it will mostly be after any form of rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sumner, I believe Brandon has a good handle on what's going on: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Short range models look cold enough. I think we'll be ok when we get halfway decent returns in here. Pretty pessimistic at this point. Radar returns certainly favor areas north of a LAF to Marion line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Headlines for a 1-4" event. Why? Really no point for this area. Plus it will mostly be after any form of rush hour. It was in reference to a comment that there weren't any out when there actually are. Just not where it's supposed to be a 1-4" event, like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Short range models look cold enough. I think we'll be ok when we get halfway decent returns in here. Well I'm more worried about the decent returns part to be honest. ILX radar looks kinda cool right now. Some barely detectible returns developing and moving north. It's now or never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Well I'm more worried about the decent returns part to be honest. ILX radar looks kinda cool right now. Some barely detectible returns developing and moving north. It's now or never. True, radar doesn't look very good at the moment. Might be a struggle to get a couple inches but we're good for rallies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sumner, I believe Brandon has a good handle on what's going on: I am forecasting higher amounts in Northeast Central Indiana (Marion - Decatur areas) where the short term guidance shows those areas could get in on some snow from both systems as well as some frontogenesis and instability increases from the South. Might be a little bullish, but this is a pretty tough forecast. Ratios should be pretty high for a while this evening and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 it almost, almost, looks like moisture wants to be or is being drawn up from the south, KY (SE-KY) now....wonder if that is part of influx the NAM/GFS had shown for parts of eastern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 4.0" here with 1.4" in last hour. good increase in flake size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 True, radar doesn't look very good at the moment. Might be a struggle to get a couple inches but we're good for rallies. It's what we do best. Just called my parents. They said it's coming down with authority at times up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Probably somewhere close to 4" with lighter snow falling. My call was 2" which wasn't too far off considering the extreme southern gradient. Extremely tough forecast for the QCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I am forecasting higher amounts in Northeast Central Indiana (Marion - Decatur areas) where the short term guidance shows those areas could get in on some snow from both systems as well as some frontogenesis and instability increases from the South. Might be a little bullish, but this is a pretty tough forecast. Ratios should be pretty high for a while this evening and tonight. Interesting. I live here in Marion. Thanks for the new perspective... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 It's what we do best. Just called my parents. They said it's coming down with authority at times up there. Radar looks very nice from Chicago southward through Kankakee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Didn't take an exact measurement, but just took the dog outside. Since 3:30 we're up to between 3 and 4 inches. No huge snowflakes outside, but what's coming down is coming down hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 A little weird seeing the tornado probs south of the IN/KY border. Like a different world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Radar looks very nice from Chicago southward through Kankakee. Has to be some nice 1"+/hour rates going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Solid 2.5" here. 50/50 small vs. medium flakes. Lake effect shows signs of moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 2.4" as of 4:00 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Appears that ratios are lower than anticipated. Low end of the forecast FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sorry to clutter things up, but I found this HRRR image quite funny. That skinny band from MO to IL and IN made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Posted 18 January 2012 - 01:04 AM this will be a Alek and i80 special event. mke blows in clippers and chicago always seems to have a nice east to west fluffy banding event like this a yr. Yeah its not a clipper but it played out like one pretty much here. Looks like my 2.7" call will work out just about dead nuts on...Cyclone jackpot call not far off? when you're good, you're good - ahahahaaaaa. Looks like we're done ouside of a tenth or two maybe.. Great pics of the ripping snow all and keep them coming and gl to the rest of you all going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 A little weird seeing the tornado probs south of the IN/KY border. Like a different world. Here, just two counties up the forecast is for .2 to .4 inches of ice. Maybe it will be thunder ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Sorry to clutter things up, but I found this HRRR image quite funny. That skinny band from MO to IL and IN made me laugh. Take it home to the bank! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Has to be some nice 1"+/hour rates going on. I'm about 3 miles NW of Kankakee. Still heavy snow. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 401 PM CST FRI JAN 20 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0354 PM SNOW 2 NW KANKAKEE 41.14N 87.89W 01/20/2012 M2.1 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR. HEAVY SNOW. VISIBILITY AT .25 OF A MILE. 1.1 INCHES LAST HOUR. STARTING TO BLOW AND DRIFT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 A little weird seeing the tornado probs south of the IN/KY border. Like a different world. Yes, and even while its snowing moderately small flakes here at Elkhart currently I just got through reading the Louisville NWS report that says Jan. 17 was the most prolific Jan. tornado outbreak on record for their area with 9 currently confirmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Taking a wider look, snow extends a couple counties deep into Iowa, so there is still a lot left to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 I'm about 3 miles NW of Kankakee. Still heavy snow. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 401 PM CST FRI JAN 20 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0354 PM SNOW 2 NW KANKAKEE 41.14N 87.89W 01/20/2012 M2.1 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL SO FAR. HEAVY SNOW. VISIBILITY AT .25 OF A MILE. 1.1 INCHES LAST HOUR. STARTING TO BLOW AND DRIFT. 1.1" last hour is very good. Keep it going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 Take it home to the bank! You live in a bank? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 20, 2012 Share Posted January 20, 2012 You live in a bank? I wish. That's where Obama loves to spend the government's money so I would have lots of it. HA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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