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Jan 20th snow event part 2


Thundersnow12

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I would have figured they'd add wayne and washtenaw with the 3pm afd, apparently not.

It is either 4 or 6 TOTAL ( 4 in 6hours or 6 in 12hrs i think? ) that is needed for a advisory. Can have a advisory for less but usually only see that if there is wind or Ice involved or the worst of it hits during the PEAK of rush hour. :) Usually see them for less as well for the first event of the season.

The way it looks one is not needed. Only reason for one here is it is hitting during the rush hour as we certainly do not look to hit the typical accumulation that is needed ( 6+ here ) for a advisory. Over towards Van Buren/by the lake i suppose it is possible. Looks like 2-5 for most of the area in a advisory out this way with the 5 inch totals near I94 on south.

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IND still calling for all snow for LAF.

I think our goose is cooked in that regard. Lesson learned...WAA always is greater than modeled.

Though the returns are sorta diminishing as they head into the county. May not really matter.

Radar looks sweet up in N IL. Enjoy guys (and gals).

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2.5-3" here, jives with the 0.23" liquid at MSN as of 3 pm. It's notable how low the snow ratios are though, goes to show that if things are too cold and therefore dry you don't get optimal snow growth.

Back edge of accumulating snow will come through in the next few hours. This clipper will leave things looking very wintry since snow depths are now back to half a foot+.

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2.5-3" here, jives with the 0.23" liquid at MSN as of 3 pm. It's notable how low the snow ratios are though, goes to show that if things are too cold and therefore dry you don't get optimal snow growth.

Back edge of accumulating snow will come through in the next few hours. This clipper will leave things looking very wintry since snow depths are now back to half a foot+.

trolling?

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This isn't a complaint...just an observation. The heavier bands that did move through earlier here in Marion were nice, but flakes were very small thus little accumulation. The next shot at a decent amount of snow would be the band in Northern Illinois pivoting it's way into Northern Indiana. Although I do think that will happen, my location will be on the southern edge of this band. Was thinking 2-4 here earlier, but 1-3 seems much more realistic. Lots of differences between yesterday's clipper and this one. More dry air was involved and flake size has been insufficient. (at least for now) More concerned about my hometown of Seymour, Indiana where a tenth to three tenths of an inch of ice are expected. Could be power outages there.

EDIT: Also been seeing an amazing amount of mini dry slots move through here. That is a complaint. lol

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A little surprised that LOT didn't upgrade the row of counties to the south of the warning since the forecasted totals are basically the same as those in the warning. Maybe a case of not bothering to upgrade since the amounts are a bit marginal and there was already an advisory?

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This isn't a complaint...just an observation. The heavier bands that did move through earlier here in Marion were nice, but flakes were very small thus little accumulation. The next shot at a decent amount of snow would be the band in Northern Illinois pivoting it's way into Northern Indiana. Although I do think that will happen, my location will be on the southern edge of this band. Was thinking 2-4 here earlier, but 1-3 seems much more realistic. Lots of differences between yesterday's clipper and this one. More dry air was involved and flake size has been insufficient. (at least for now) More concerned about my hometown of Seymour, Indiana where a tenth to three tenths of an inch of ice are expected. Could be power outages there.

You should get in on some developing precip from the southwest later this evening. read the AFD!

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A little surprised that LOT didn't upgrade the row of counties to the south of the warning since the forecasted totals are basically the same as those in the warning. Maybe a case of not bothering to upgrade since the amounts are a bit marginal and there was already an advisory?

probably this and at this point, i can't imagine it does much from a public awareness standpoint.

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